It has become the fad of Florian Philippot and many "anti-containment".
According to the president of the Patriots, Sweden would be an example in its management of the health crisis, without having implemented coercive measures.
Change in the number of Covid deaths over the past week compared to the previous one (Le Monde dashboard):
* France + 24% (curfew, restaurants, bars, ... closed)
* Sweden -23.4% ( never had any confinement, no curfew, everything is open)
And they dare to talk to us about reconfining?
- Florian Philippot (@f_philippot) January 24, 2021
Supporting figures, Florian Philippot thus affirms that the country has seen its death curve decline in recent weeks.
“Evolution of the number of Covid deaths over the past week compared to the previous one […]: France + 24% (curfew, restaurants, bars… closed).
Sweden -23.4% (never had any confinement, no curfew, everything is open).
And do they dare to talk to us about re-defining?
He wrote on Twitter.
Figures that do not reflect the health reality in the country, which recently recognized "a failure" in its management of the crisis.
What figures is Florian Philippot talking about?
The president of the Les Patriotes group quotes data published every day by the Le Monde site.
fr, on "the health situation in France and abroad" in maps and graphics.
They are updated every day.
According to the table updated on January 24, the evolution of the number of Covid deaths over the past week compared to the previous one has fallen by 23.4% in Sweden, as the advance Florian Philippot.
But for France, the figure is greatly overestimated.
The change in the number of deaths is not 24% but 9%.
Why are the Swedish figures to be put into perspective?
First, to better understand the damage of the epidemic, it is necessary to look at the deaths reported to one million inhabitants: on January 24, the daily mortality in Sweden was estimated on average at 9.7 deaths. per million inhabitants, compared to 6.2 in France.
As of January 17, it was 20.8 for Sweden, against 5.4 in France.
The situation there is therefore much more alarming.
Moreover, as the analysis site "Our world in data" reminds us, the figures for deaths in Sweden should be taken with a grain of salt.
“In the data that we present […] deaths in Sweden are indicated by date of death, while deaths in other countries are indicated by date of declaration.
This is important because it takes several days for all deaths on a particular day to be reported, ”the site says.
“The count of deaths in the last 10 days in Sweden should therefore always be interpreted as an incomplete count of deaths that occurred during this period”.
The figure for contaminations is therefore more illuminating.
The country has one of the highest incidence rates in Europe with 785 cases per 100,000 inhabitants over fourteen days, according to the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention.
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Over the last ten days, while France and Sweden have 67 and 10 million inhabitants respectively, the number of cases recorded per day on average per 1 million inhabitants in the crown was 381, against 293 in France.
But many experts agree that the density differences between the two countries make comparisons difficult.
“Comparing the two countries is a bit quick in the sense that the Swedish territory is as large as Germany for the size of the Ile-de-France population,” Pascal Crépey noted in our columns in November.
What is the situation in Sweden?
Unlike the measures imposed elsewhere in Europe, the Nordic kingdom has indeed carried out a different strategy based mainly on recommendations, without containment and almost without coercive measures.
As for the mask, it was not recommended for a long time anywhere in the public space.
Since January 7, it is officially recommended for public transport, but only during peak hours.
But if the strategy remains less strict than in many countries, the kingdom has tightened the screws since November.
Contrary to what Florian Philippot suggests, the country is not exempt from all restrictions, with several series of measures restricting in particular tables in restaurants or switching distance education in high schools.
Faced with the strong second wave in the Nordic kingdom, Parliament also voted last week a law temporarily giving the government new powers against the epidemic, including allowing businesses to close for the first time.
What about his neighbors?
Norway, Finland, Denmark and Iceland are doing much better.
In mid-January, Finland, which experienced semi-containment in March, could thus boast, with Greece, of being the only country in the orange zone: with less than 150 confirmed cases per 100,000 inhabitants and a positivity rate less than 4%.
If they have not experienced such strict confinement as in France, these countries very quickly switched to telework, and integrated measures such as wearing a mask or the obligation of quarantine.
"In reality, these Nordic countries have been able to combine the best of the Swedish and German approaches, with less dogmatism than the Swedes and perhaps more perseverance than the Germans, especially during the summer and autumn of 2020," noted in early January the epidemiologist Antoine Flahaut with 20 Minutes.
