National RT is expected to remain at 0.84 this week as well.
According to what has been learned, this is the value that the control room is evaluating in the weekly monitoring of Covid in Italy with ISS-Ministry of Health data.
Change of band for Sardinia.
From Monday the island could go from the orange to the yellow band, bringing 16 regions and autonomous province in the lightest band of the ranking.
One Region (Umbria) and one PA (Bolzano) have a punctual Rt greater than 1 even in the lower limit compatible with a type 2 scenario. The other Regions / PPAA have a punctual RT compatible with a type one scenario, but 5 regions report the average value around 1 (Abruzzo 0.99 - CI: 0.99- 1.05; FVG 1.03 CI: 0.99-1.08 ;, Liguria 0.95 CI: 0.89-1, 00; Marche 0.95 CI: 0.86-1.05; Tuscany 0.98 CI: 0.93-1.03).
This was revealed by the draft of the weekly monitoring of the control room.
Thirteen regions show a trend of increasing cases.
Italy finds itself in a "worrying context for the finding of viral variants of interest to public health in multiple regions which can lead to a rapid increase in incidence", notes the draft of the weekly monitoring of the control room.
The decrease in the incidence nationwide in the last 14 days is smaller than that observed in the previous weeks: 273.01 per 100,000 inhabitants (18-31 January) against 289.35 per 100,000 inhabitants (11-24 January), data flow Iss.
It should be noted that in at least one of the surveillance flows coordinated by the Ministry of Health and the ISS, 13 regions show an increasing trend of cases.
Thus in the draft of the new monitoring of the control room on Covid in Italy.
Incidence remains a lot in the Public Administration of Bolzano (686.57 per 100,000; January 25-31).
In 3 regions and autonomous provinces the incidence exceeds 200 per 100,000.
"The need to maintain the drastic reduction of physical interactions between people" and to "stay at home as much as possible" is confirmed.
It is also essential that "the population avoids all occasions of contact with people outside their own home that are not strictly necessary".
In this delicate phase of the epidemic, these initial signs of counter-trend could herald a new rapid widespread increase in the number of cases in the coming weeks, if adequate mitigation measures are not rigorously implemented both at national and regional level.
This is highlighted by the draft of the weekly monitoring by Iss-Ministry of Health.
The current framework at the national level "underlies strong inter-regional variations".
In some contexts, it is explained, "a new rapid increase in the number of cases could quickly lead to an overload of health services as it would fit into a context in which the basic incidence is still very high and there are still many people hospitalized. for COVID-19 in the critical area "
Rt punctual above 1 in three regions: Umbria with the highest data (1.18), followed by the Bolzano PA at 1.06 and Friuli Venezia Giulia at 1.03.
All other regions are below the threshold value of 1, with Abruzzo and Tuscany at the limit, respectively at 0.99 and 0.98.
The PA of Trento the lowest at 0.61, followed by Veneto and Basilicata at 0.63.
The data of the ISS-Ministry of Health Monitoring, as of February 3, 2021 relating to the week January 25-January 31 2021, say
the number of Regions / PPAA that have an employment rate in intensive care and / or medical areas above the critical threshold (7 Regions / PPAA).
The employment rate in intensive care at the national level is below the critical threshold (26%).
Overall, the number of people admitted to intensive care decreased from 2,372 (26/01/2021) to 2,214 (02/02/2021);
the number of people hospitalized in medical areas is also decreasing, going from 21,355 (26/01/2021) to 20,317 (02/02/20201).
This trend at the national level underlies strong inter-regional variations.
Monitoring Iss.
