The mysterious mystery that caused the corona numbers in India to plummet - Walla! health

2021-02-08T06:37:07.534Z

Until a few months ago India marched confidently to the dubious title of world corona champion. It makes sense for a country with over a billion people. Recently something has changed there and the corona is in a slump, even though the vaccination project has just begun. So what's going on there?

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The mysterious mystery that caused the corona numbers in India to plummet

Until a few months ago India marched confidently to the dubious title of world corona champion.

It makes sense for a country with over a billion people.

Recently something has changed there and the corona is in a slump, even though the vaccination project has just begun.

So what's going on there?

Did poor hygiene and poor sanitation save the Indians from Corona?

To the full article

"It's not that India is testing less or the cases are reporting less," Jishnu Das, a health economist at Georgetown University told NRP. An indicator says the numbers have dropped. "

Scientists say it is a mystery and they are examining why corona numbers in India have dropped so dramatically, and even more so in September and October, months before vaccinations begin.

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One factor can be age.

As of 2016, 15.2 percent of Americans were over age 65;

The corresponding figure in India is 6 percent.

Half of the people in India are under the age of 25. Because of a younger population, more people may suffer from COVID but show no symptoms

If it's not the vaccines, what caused the morbidity to plummet?

Vaccination campaign in India (Photo: Reuters)

Another cause of the decrease is wearing masks.

The state obliged citizens to wear masks in public spaces, and this applies to everyone and includes fines and significant enforcement.

A third factor according to the hypotheses is the hot and humid climate in the country, with some studies suggesting that under these conditions the virus droplets do not remain suspended in the air.

Another theory: Indians enjoy a stronger immune system created by the prevalence of diseases like malaria and typhoid, and they experience milder cases as a result.

Earlier this month, Fortune reported on a January survey that included blood samples taken in Delhi, which found that 56 percent of those surveyed had antibodies against corona.

The number of corona cases there is 635,000, but this figure suggests that the true number of infections may be closer to 10 million, and the city may be close to achieving herd immunity.

The climate and demographics of India have probably not changed during the plague.

So what is it?

Epidemiologists are wondering if this is a case of a milder mutation that has begun to spread in India, just as in England - where a more harmful mutation has begun to spread.

But the truth is, they just do not know.

Das from Georgetown explains that there are three possibilities: "One is that it's gone because of the way people behaved, so we have to continue that behavior. Either it's gone because it's gone and it's never going back - great !, or it's gone, but we We do not know why it disappeared - and the virus may return. "

It is precisely from this possibility that they worry.