For 2020, a 9.8% cut in greenhouse gases is expected at national level compared to 2019. This is the estimate of the Higher Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (Ispra) which speaks of a "substantial reduction" especially due to restrictive measures related to the health emergency from Covid-19.
For the definition - it is explained - some information is still needed but the reduction of emissions should have been 9.8% "compared to an expected reduction in GDP of 8.9%".
This last one confirms the "decoupling" between emissions trend and economic index.
According to the Institute "the estimated trend is due to the reduction of emissions for the production of electricity" with a "minus 12.6%". But also "for the lower demand for energy", and for "the reduction of energy consumption also in other sectors" as in industry with "minus 9.9%", in transport with "minus 16.8%". due to the reduction of private traffic in the cities, and to heating with "minus 5.8%" due to the partial or total closure of public buildings and commercial activities. The definitive official data of Ispra for 2019 show "a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions compared to 2018 by 2.4%, while in the same period there was a growth in GDP of 0.3%". Comparing this element with the estimated reduction in emissions for 2020 and GDP - explains the Institute - "we confirm, in general, the decoupling between the trend of emissions and the trend of the economic index".