"I am in favor of reopening. We have improved data, the R0 has dropped, and it is likely that it will continue to decline this week as well."
Therefore, "consolidating the results,
starting from May 1st we can talk about reopening
".
Undersecretary of Health Pierpaolo Sileri said this during the Agorà broadcast on Rai 3, underlining however that "we must check the data and keep what we have earned, so as not to risk closing immediately"
.
No, therefore, to anticipate the reopening before April 30, but if the numbers of the decline consolidate, falling below an incidence of 180 cases per 100 thousand inhabitants, "from May 1st we can return to a more tenuous color of the Regions and some will be able to go back to being white ".
In this context, even reopening the restaurants in the evening for Sileri "may be feasible, not immediately from May 1st but progressively from week to week, to arrive at the beginning of June with openings on the English model".
This, he specified, "is a prediction guided by vaccinations: when you have vaccinated 75% of the over 89 and over 70, and you have protected the frail, hospitalization in intensive care should be a sporadic event, so even if the virus circulates it does not have serious consequences on the health system ".
Compared to the current epidemic situation, "each wave has a life of 50-70 days, we have passed the peak of the third wave", ICU admissions "drop and so do infections" while "the drop in deaths will happen soon" because those over 80, over 70 and frail that we are vaccinating, even if they have only received the first dose, probably "will not have severe forms, will not go to intensive care or hospital".
"A slowdown of the restrictions will only be possible with daily infections below 5,000 cases, maintaining a large testing capacity and resuming contact tracing to control the spread of the epidemic, hospitalizations in the medical and intensive Covid area largely below of the critical thresholds, respectively 40% and 30%, and vaccination completed at least for frail subjects and those over 60, categories with the highest risk of hospitalization and mortality ".
Several medical unions write it to the government
: Anaao Assomed;
Cimo Fesmed;
Aaroi-Emac;
Fassid (Aipac, Aupi, Simet, Sinafo, Snr);
Fp Cgil doctors and NHS managers;
Fvm Federation of Veterinarians and Doctors;
Uil Fpl National coordination of the medical, veterinary and health contractual areas;
Cisl doctors.
For workers' organizations, "any premature loosening of restrictions could put the lives of Covid-19 patients at risk, forcing operators to make harrowing choices from an ethical point of view, such as reverse triage, as well as health of patients with other pathologies, whose prevention and treatment risks being once again sacrificed due to the underestimation of the risk of a persistent high circulation of the virus, on which doctors and managers of the national health service have long launched, unheard, all possible alarms ".
"For the third time, after the second autumn epidemic peak, health workers are forced to make further sacrifices, even at the risk of personal health, as well as to face a situation of constant physical and mental overwork that is weakening their resistance", comment the trade unions.