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The 2021 Oscar pool: the favorites in each category

2021-04-24T18:08:54.773Z


We choose a possible winner for each of the 23 statuettes according to the last finery of the season


In the early hours of Sunday to Monday in Europe (where there are two venues, in London and Paris, for the awards), five in the afternoon in Los Angeles (California), and the 93rd Oscar awards ceremony begins, here there is a review of the 23 nominations and their possible winners according to the previous awards season.

More information

  • The 36 Oscar movies you can watch from home

  • 'Nomadland' sweeps the Spirit, the 'indie' film awards

BEST FILM.

Nomadland

by Chloé Zhao. There doesn't seem to be much discussion. It has won the Golden Globe for best drama, the Bafta and the Syndicate award (in fact, they are not unions) of Producers, it is the fashion film. Last year they reached this final equaled

1917

and

Parasites.

Her heart, and a certain euphoric feeling surrounding her, pointed to the Bong Joon-ho film. The brain said that it had never won a foreign film in the main category. Today we already know that the weight in the results of non-US voters at the Oscars is significant. That there are no longer limits. And that further underlines the predilection for

Nomadland.

But, there is always a but, it was not even a candidate for best cast in the Actors Guild awards, in proportion to the profession that contributes the most members to the film academy. In that gala he won

The Chicago 7 trial,

by Aaron Sorkin, which would be the big cover. And both comply with the rule of montage: whoever wins the jackpot has usually been nominated in that technical category as well. Last year it was not

1917

and ... By the way, Zhao and McDormand are producers of

Nomadland

, and the second will become if the film wins the first actress to get the statuette as a producer. Another sign against

The Chicago 7 Trial:

Since 1935, not a single movie has won just the main Oscar. Y

The Chicago 7 trial

doesn't look like any more.

BEST DIRECTION.

Chloé Zhao, by

Nomadland.

Undoubtedly.

It has taken it all: Bafta, Golden Globes, Directors Guild ... even the Critics' Choice.

Zhao is unrivaled, and will become the second filmmaker, after Kathryn Bigelow, to win this accolade.

Chloé Zhao, at the Bafta.

BEST LEADING ACTOR.

Chadwick Boseman, for

The Mother of the Blues.

It will be the posthumous Oscar of the night, and will thus pay tribute to the one who seemed called to make great performances, until cancer ended his life on August 28. He has won the Golden Globe and the Actors Guild award (this is the one that makes the difference), while his great rival, Anthony Hopkins - the best work of the quintet - has won the Bafta for

The father.

But Hopkins already has the Oscar, for

The Silence of the Lambs,

and this award is going to be a nod to the new generations.

BEST LEADING ACTRESS.

Here's the battle of the season: all against Frances McDormand, who incidentally has been nominated at least once in the past five decades. Impressive. Against her is that she has already won it twice

(Fargo

and

Three advertisements in the outskirts)

and distributed it from the previous ceremonies. The Golden Globe was won by Andra Day for

the United States against Billie Holiday;

the Critics' Choice went to Carey Mulligan for

A Promising Young Woman,

and the Actors Guild Award went to Viola Davis for

The Mother of the Blues.

Davis already won the Oscar for

Fences,

but she is an actress with enormous prestige among her co-workers. McDormand won the Bafta, and if she - who certainly deserves it - takes this statuette there will be no doubt:

Nomadland

sweeps the night. However, there is still another consideration, the ethnic one. If Davis wins (the Andra Day thing would be a surprise at the height of Marisa Tomei for

My cousin Vinny), it

is likely, seeing the rest of the favorites in action, that for the first time in history there will not be a single Caucasian winner in the quartet of successful performers. And in inclusive times, that image scores a lot. If there is one hope for Mulligan, it is that on Thursday he won at the Spirit (that doesn't mean much either), the

indie

film awards.

, and that, according to the website Compare.bet, the English leads online bets with 42.2%.

Viola Davis, in 'The mother of the blues'.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR.

There is no debate here.

It will be for Londoner Daniel Kaluuya, for

Judas and the black messiah.

He has won the poker of the season (Golden Globe, Bafta, Critics' Choice and the Screen Actors Guild), and even that his partner LaKeith Stanfield is also a candidate will subtract votes.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS.

For Korean veteran Youn Yuh-jung by

Minari.

The Golden Globe was won by Jodie Foster, who is not even a candidate here, while the Asian rock grandmother won the Actors Guild and Bafta awards.

Another clear statuette.

BEST ORIGINAL SCRIPT.

A promising young woman,

by Emerald Fennell. In this category, riskier scripts are usually chosen,

indie

film bets

, and

A promising young woman

is. Three big signs in favor: having won the award from the Writers 'Guild, the Critics' Chioce and the Bafta.

BEST ADAPTED SCRIPT.

If at the beginning of the season it seemed clearly for Chloé Zhao, who took this category in the Critics' Choice, now the wind is blowing in favor of

The Father,

in whose writing the playwright Florian Zeller has had the collaboration of Christopher Hampton.

This Oscar will be the one that goes to Paris, since from that venue of the gala the candidates of

The Father will live

the ceremony.

Although, pay attention, the Writers' Union awarded

Borat 2

in this category

.

Olivia Colman and Anthony Hopkins, in 'The father'.

BEST INTERNATIONAL FILM.

Another Round,

by Thomas Vinterberg. He has won everything: European film awards, Bafta ... and if he has lost it has been against

Minari,

in a repeated dispute when the award is settled between films in a foreign language. This is not the case here. His rivals: the Tunisian film

The man who sold his skin

is a goal to the Academy;

Collective

is a documentary favorite (and that's the category it should win), and Hong Kong's

Better Days

is "good but ...". Is only up to

Quo vadis, Aida?

of the Bosnian Jasmila Žbanić, who could snatch the recognition.

On Thursday he won in this category at the Spirit Awards.

However, when a film in this category scores another important nomination (Vinterberg is also competing for directing) it usually wins here.

BEST ANIMATION FEATURE.

Soul,

by Pete Docter and Kemp Powers.

Due to the inertia of the voters, who as soon as a Pixar film competes, they choose it.

Golden Globes, Bafta and Annie (the animators' awards) confirm their advantage.

But

Wolfwalkers

would deserve it.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE.

Here's another fierce battle. Netflix promotes

What the octopus taught me

(the worst of the quintet, although it has won the Bafta and the Producers 'Union) and

Crip Camp, an extraordinary camp,

which has won the Spirit, the audience award at Sundance and the Critics' Choice. In addition, it counts the Obamas in production.

Time

is beautiful and gives a new vision on prison problems and racism in the US And the Romanian

Collective

is the most canonical of the quintet, in addition to defending a double nomination. The triumph of

The Mole Agent,

by the Chilean Maite Alberdi,

seems almost impossible

. One would tend to select

Collective,

but the weight of the Obamas is unquestionable.

So

Crip Camp,

by James Lebrecht and Nicole Newnham.

Now the octopus ...

Image of 'What the octopus taught me'.

BEST PHOTOGRAPH.

All previous awards have gone to Joshua James Richards,

Nomadland's cinematographer

and Zhao's partner.

All, except the one awarded by the American Society of Cinematographers, which was taken by Erik Messerschmidt, who makes his debut as responsible for the image in a feature film thanks to

Mank.

Out of voter inertia, and because of their fascinating depiction of dusty landscapes with

sweeping

sunsets, we chose Richards and

Nomadland.

BEST SOUNDTRACK.

Soul,

by Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross and Jon Batist. Interestingly, Reznor and Ross - leader and member, respectively, of Nine Inch Nails - are also candidates for

Mank's

soundtrack

,

because they are David Fincher's regular collaborators: with him for

The Social Network they have

already won the Oscar. But

Soul

is taking it all.

BEST SONG.

Speak Now,

from

One Night in Miami.

He won the Critics' Choice, and this year there are no flash stars in this category.

She is played by Leslie Odom jr, who in the Regina King drama plays Sam Cooke, and who is also a candidate for a supporting actor.

It could only have a rival in

Io Sì (Seen),

from

Life Ahead,

by Diane Warren, composer and candidate for the twelfth time (she has never won it) and Laura Pausini.

They took the Golden Globe.

Aldis Hodge and Leslie Odom jr, in the trailer for 'One Night in Miami'.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN.

Mank

,

with production design by Donald Graham Burt and sets by Jan Pascale.

Two reasons: the main one is that it is a great job, and the second is that the Art Directors Union and the Set Decorators Society of America awarded them in the period section.

It is true that those awards recognized

Tenet

in a fantastic film, but it does not seem like a rival.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN.

Ann Roth, for

The Mother of the Blues.

He has won the Bafta and the Costume Designers Guild Award for Period Film.

Roth, 90, was already doing this work in the 1960s, and has the Oscar for

The English Patient.

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRDRESSING.

Here the name of a Spaniard will sound, because it will be taken by the team from

La madre del blues:

Matiki Anoff, Larry M. Cherry, Sergio Lopez-Rivera and Mia Neal. López-Rivera is Viola Davis' personal makeup artist, and has even recreated beads of sweat on her face. Previously they have already won the Bafta and in the Hollywood Union of makeup artists and hairdressers.

BEST ASSEMBLY.

It would be lovely if Chloé Zhao took it for

Nomadland,

but the Bafta went to Mikkel EG Nielsen for

Sound of Metal.

Although in the Eddies, delivered by the Society of Film Editors of the United States, Alan Baumgarten won for

The Chicago 7 trial,

with a more vigorous montage. Tossing it up and down, and knowing that last year in the same situation the voters looked at the Bafta (for

Le Mans '66),

we chose

Sound of Metal.

BETTER VISUAL EFFECTS.

If

Tenet

doesn't win in this category, what's left?

They took the Bafta, although in the Visual Effects Syndicate the

Midnight Sky

team won

.

As in the previous one, let's prioritize the Bafta track.

Trailer for 'Tenet'.

BETTER SOUND.

The double bid for sound has finally been reunified, leaving the Oscar competition statuettes at 23. How can a movie that has the word sound in the title not win it? It will be for

Sound of Metal,

who have just received the Bafta and the awards from the Association of Motion Picture Sound and the Cinema Audio Society. Only one sign against: in the Golden Reel, awarded by the Motion Picture Sound Editors, they lost in their three categories of cinema. Although, how many sound editors vote at the Oscars?

BEST FICTION SHORT.

We all like Oscar Isaac, the protagonist of the wonderful

Mail Room.

But in the United States, the atmosphere is biased in favor of

Two Complete Strangers,

by Travon Free and Martin Desmond Roe, a version of

Trapped in Time

inspired by the murder of George Floyd: whatever the black protagonist does, he is always killed by the white cop. And it's on Netflix.

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT.

Never oppose a short focused on Nazism.

And although

A Love Song for Latasha

talks about an African-American teenager killed in recent riots in Los Angeles,

Colette,

by Anthony Giacchino and Alice Doyard, tells of an old woman's trip to the concentration camp where her brother, a member of the resistance, died. French.

Oscar for

Colette.

BEST ANIMATED SHORT.

Anyone who has seen

If Something Happens to Me, I Love You,

a wonder by Will McCormack and Michael Govier about the grief of parents whose daughter was killed in a shooting at their school, understands that the statuette is theirs.

It is also on Netflix.

Image of 'If something happened to me, I love you'.

Source: elparis

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