Vaccination and Delta variant: here is what should be the menu of the speech, this Monday evening, at 8 pm, by Emmanuel Macron.
The President of the Republic should thus announce new measures as the epidemic regains strength on the territory and in the world.
“The epidemic is starting to start again,” Olivier Véran warned on Sunday.
New restrictions, in certain territories, will they be decided?
Several departments worry.
At the national level, the number of cases per 100,000 inhabitants fell from June 24 to July 8, the date of the latest figures available, from 20 to 35. After a continuous decline until June 26, the incidence curve resumed a walk up.
A slight change overall, which is however interesting to look at at the departmental level: out of the 96 metropolitan French departments, six out of ten show an incidence rate that has increased over the same period.
Read also The circulation map of the Delta variant in France
The incidence rate exceeds the initial alert threshold (of 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants) in seven departments in metropolitan France. The Pyrénées-Orientales now have a rate of 103 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, against 18 cases per 100,000 inhabitants on June 24. In Paris, the incidence rate reached 83 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, against 26 three weeks ago. The Alpes-Maritimes, Pyrénées-Atlantiques, Haute-Garonne, Hauts-de-Seine and Hérault also have an incidence rate of over 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants.
Outside mainland France, the situation is particularly worrying overseas, where vaccination is slipping. In Martinique, the incidence rate is almost 210 cases per 100,000 inhabitants, compared to only 31 three weeks ago. In Guyana, it reached 190, even though it was declining (246 three weeks ago). In Reunion, it has gone from 130 cases per 100,000 inhabitants to almost 170 in three weeks. In Guadeloupe and Mayotte, the overseas departments where the situation is the least critical, the incidence rates are rising. 42 and 8 cases per 100,000 inhabitants respectively.
The incidence rate has long been an indicator used by the executive to decide on new measures in a specific territory. Thus, in the Alpes-Maritimes and in the North, then faced with the English variant, a weekend curfew was decided in February in the face of a high incidence rate. At the first deconfinement, in May 2020, the government classified regions as "green" and "red". The situation could change this time, however: the numbers of hospitalized patients - 7,200 on Sunday - and in critical care - 950 - are particularly low and continue to decline slightly, with a vaccination that protects against serious forms.