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Strong gap in immunity: Argentines better and worse prepared against the Delta variant

2021-08-02T09:42:21.028Z


There are provinces that double others in the coverage of their population with second doses against Covid. There are also wide differences with the first doses. The analysis, district by district.


Pablo Sigal

08/02/2021 6:00 AM

  • Clarín.com

  • Society

Updated 08/02/2021 6:00 AM

The slowness to vaccinate against the

coronavirus

sometimes has to do with the

ineffective logistics

of the State and others, with the resistance or laziness of some sectors of the population to inoculate themselves.

In Argentina a bit of both happens, although the incidence of the first factor is greater.

In the last week, two initiatives were known, one in Mendoza and the other in Chubut, which seek to seduce

those who get vaccinated

with a

prize

.

Just as in the United States they give 100 dollars to those who loosen their arms for the puncture, in Argentina they raffle whale sightings or give away wine and beer in restaurants.

Mendoza is located in the national context as one of the

most delayed

provinces

in the vaccination campaign.

Together with Chubut, they appear below the national average, both in terms of first and second doses applied.

Those two provinces, however, are not the worst performing in the country.

Clarín

did a survey, district by district, to find out which ones are

better and less

prepared to face the challenge of the Delta variant, whose community circulation for two known cases in the City already seems to be a fact.

The first salient data is the

strong immune gap

that exists depending on whether you live in one province or another.

Some

 double others

in second dose coverage.

There are also wide differences regarding the consolidation of the first doses.

v 1.5

The map of the second doses

Vaccines applied until July 31 in each province.

In% of the population.

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Public Vaccination Monitor

Infographic:

Clarín

It is based on what experts consider an

essential condition

to face the third wave of Covid: that people have complete vaccination schedules, since the Delta variant is

60 percent more transmissible

due to its high viral load. .

The national average indicates, until July 31, that the coverage of first doses is

 55 percent

of the population and

15 percent

, with second.

In addition, only 28 percent of those who were vaccinated received the two planned doses. 

From the analysis province by province, based on data from the Public Vaccination Monitor, it appears that

the porteños

are the ones who have received the most first doses, with a proportion of

66 percent

of the inoculated population.

While in second doses the first place is for

La Pampa

, with

23 percent

until the end of July.

At the other end of the table of positions is located

Misiones

, with the worst performance of first doses, by averaging

38 percent

;

and

Salta

, with the worst second dose indicator, since it has managed to reach only 

11 percent

of its population.

The provinces that are

above or equal to

the national average in

first doses

with respect to their population are: City (66%), La Pampa (60%), San Luis (60%), La Rioja (58%), Neuquén ( 58%), Río Negro (58%), Santa Fe (58%), Santiago del Estero (58%), Catamarca (56%), Córdoba (56%), Formosa (56%), Tierra del Fuego (56% ), Buenos Aires (55%) and San Juan (55%).

v 1.5

The map of the first doses

Vaccines applied until July 31 in each province.

In% of the population.

Tap to explore the data

Source:

Public Vaccination Monitor

Infographic:

Clarín

Below

are Mendoza (53%), Jujuy (52%), Tucumán (52%), Chubut (50%), Corrientes (50%), Entre Ríos (50%), Santa Cruz (49%), Salta ( 47%), Chaco (46%), Misiones (38%).

Between the Federal Capital and Misiones there are

28 percentage points

of difference in coverage.

The deficit does not have to do with the availability of vaccines (the distribution criterion is proportional to the number of inhabitants of each place), but with the

speed

with which each provincial State applies them.

As for the

second doses

, La Pampa has already vaccinated 23 percent of its population.

They are followed by City (22%), San Luis (22%), Córdoba (17%), Neuquén (17%), La Rioja (16%), Santa Cruz (16%), Santa Fe (16%), Tierra del Fuego (16%), Tucumán (16%), Río Negro (15%) and San Juan (15%).

Below the national average are Buenos Aires (14%), Chubut (14%), Corrientes (14%), Formosa (14%), Jujuy (14%), Santiago del Estero (14%), Catamarca (13%) , Chaco (13%), Entre Ríos (13%), Mendoza (13%), Misiones (12%) and Salta (11%).

Between La Pampa and Salta

there are 12 percentage points

of difference in the coverage of their populations, which in this case means

double

.

That is to say, in this month of August that begins, in which the second doses will supposedly accelerate -according to the Government-, Pampas and Salta are located in

very unequal starting points

.

Vaccination against Covid in a train station in San Miguel.

Photo: Juano Tesone

The most delayed provinces are those with the largest "idle stocks" of doses, while those with the highest coverage of immunized inhabitants are those with

almost no vaccines stored

in the refrigerators.

Is there a

relationship

between the number of vaccines applied and the impact that the second wave has had in each province?

Clarín

took the

April-July four-month period

as a parameter

and that link in some cases is confirmed, but varies according to the district.

Misiones, for example, which is the province that in proportion has applied the least first doses, has had a strong increase in Covid cases in that period, of

150 percent

, when the average increase at the national level has been

109

percent.

cent

.

In the province of Buenos Aires there is a coincidence between the coverage averages in vaccination with the national ones and the growth of cases has been

100 percent

.

In the City, where there are better vaccination rates than in the country, the rise in infections has been

88 percent

.

But the logic is not always fulfilled: La Pampa and San Luis, which appear in the elite of the provinces that best vaccinate, have had a strong acceleration of infections in the last four months,

190 and 236 percent

respectively. That is, vaccination is part of the solution, but not the whole solution. Strictly speaking, today's vaccines

prevent more

the possibility of serious illness and death than the chance of becoming infected and contagious.

This

immune gap

that exists within the borders of Argentina - which the central government observes and for now does not support - the entire country suffers.

at the same time,

 with respect to the world

: nations that with a higher proportion of second doses applied (some are already placing a third) are

better prepared

to face the Delta variant.

In Europe or the United States, the second dose level is

more than 50 percent

.

In our region, Uruguay has

64 percent

of its population vaccinated with two doses.

It is followed by Chile (63%), Colombia (23%) and Brazil (19%).

Peru is like Argentina, with 15 percent.

Regarding first doses, in South America only Uruguay and Chile surpass Argentina.

$

Look also

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Delta variant: in Province they expect that Covid cases will rise but they would not go back with the restrictions

Source: clarin

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