"
In Rome, Calenda's supporters have largely
", half is estimated, "
opted for Gualtieri
, who also confiscated about
a quarter of Raggi's votes
. Michetti therefore failed to convince voters outside his initial pool and moreover, he suffered a higher degree of abstention among his own than the defections in the Gualtieri area ".
This is revealed by the 'Radar' edition of the SWG, which analyzes the flow of votes in the ballots
.
"The analysis of the political position of the two electorates makes this dynamic clear - it is explained -, Michetti's consensus remains largely confined within the limits of the center-right, while support for the Pd candidate in the second round has expanded to the center" .
"
A similar situation is observed in Turin
- it is added -: the voters of the candidate of the 5 Star Movement have chosen more Lo Russo than Damilano and, moreover, in the center-right the propensity to return to the polls has proved weaker. center-left had already taken the lead in the first round so the gap could only widen. In particular, in the run-off,
Lo Russo also attracted votes from areas outside the center-left
, or from politically not placed voters ".
Overall, therefore,
in the ballots in Rome and Turin, "the voters of the excluded candidates reward the center-left above all"
.
The data were processed by a Cati-Cami-Cawi survey on a representative sample of 1,000 voters residing in Rome.
Data re-weighted on the basis of real data from the Interior Ministry.
