After the sinking of the Zan bill in the Senate, the parties begin to calculate in view of the match of the matches: the election in February of the next President of the Republic who will succeed Sergio Mattarella, elected on February 3, 2015. There will be 1008 the Great Electors who will meet in joint session in Montecitorio.
In the first 3 votes, by secret ballot, 2/3 of the votes of the assembly will be needed, equal to 673, after the third ballot, an absolute majority, equal to 505, is sufficient.
To the 630 deputies and 320 senators of the XVIII legislature, 58 local delegates are added to compose the plenum of the assembly: in each Region two exponents will be chosen for the majority and one for the minority, except in Valle d'Aosta where only one will be chosen . The regional delegates have not yet been elected but, according to who won the regional elections, they should be 33 in the center-right and 24 in the center-left. The election of the next President of the Republic is not going to be simple at all, since neither of the two sides has an absolute majority to elect their candidate in the fourth ballot. And also because this Parliament was born on the wave of the great M5S victory which, however, has crumbled over the years: just think that the 5s parliamentarians at the beginning of the legislature were 338 and now they have remained,between changes of shirts and new groups, 233. A large number of elected representatives therefore do not respond to any indication of party and it is difficult to take them for certain in a calculation of majorities. Here are the balance of power, on paper, of the various political forces:
CENTER RIGHT
: can count on 451 major voters who refer to the parties within the coalition: 197 are from the League, 127 from Fi, 58 from Fdi, 31 from Coraggio Italia-Cambiamo-Idea, 5 from Us with Italy, to whom add the 33 regional delegates.
CENTER LEFT WITH M5S
: You can count on 420 votes if you exclude Iv, on 463 if you also count Renzi's party.
The Democratic Party has 133 major voters (Gualtieri, the new mayor of Rome will have to opt and therefore perhaps his seat will be vacant at the time of the Colle election), M5s has 233, Leu 18, Action- + Europe 5, Bruno Tabacci's Democratic Center has 6 deputies.
This block, to which the 24 regional delegates are added, plus Gianclaudio Bressa, enrolled in the group for Autonomies but elected with the Democratic Party, makes up 420 which would become 463 if Matteo Renzi's Italia Viva with 43 voters supported the center-left candidate.
SENATORS FOR LIFE
: For this election of the President of the Republic there are 6: Giorgio Napolitano, Mario Monti, Liliana Segre, Elena Cattaneo, Renzo Piano, Carlo Rubbia.
AUTONOMIES
: The group of linguistic autonomies-minorities has 4 deputies and 5 senators, whose group in Palazzo Madama also includes Gianclaudio Bressa (Pd), Pier Ferdinando Casini (Centristi for Europe) and life senators Cattaneo and Napolitano. MIXED GROUP: In this legislature the Mixed group of Chamber and Senate has risen and changed according to the birth of new members: the largest group is the former M5s patrol of Alternativa There is 19 major voters for the Quirinale votes, Action- + Europe-Radicals (5), Democratic Center (6 deputies), Maie (3 deputies, 3 senators), FaciamoEco (3 deputies), Nci (5 deputies). In the Mixed in the Senate there is also LeU (6) and many M5s exiles (24 in the Chamber who are not enrolled in any component together with theex Leu Michela Rostan while at Palazzo Madama there are 15 ex M5s, the 3 ex 5s now Italexit and 1 ex 5s now Potere al Popolo).