"
In the next 30 days, according to the current pace, we will have 2,500 deaths among unvaccinated people, deaths that could have been avoided
. This is why I keep saying that not getting vaccinated is like riding a motorcycle at crazy speed without a helmet".
Prof.
_
Sergio Abrignani, immunologist and member of the CTS
at Maria Latella's Sunday Coffee on Radio 24. "In the population over 50 for which the vaccination obligation will start tomorrow there are over 2 million and 200 thousand unvaccinated people who contribute to 75% of hospitalizations in intensive care and 60% of deaths. In the last ten days we have had an average of 160 deaths per day, of which 85-90 were not vaccinated. They died that could have been avoided ", added Abrignani.
"On the resumption of schools I agree with the decision taken by the government, in a country where children can go to the cinema, to restaurants and bars it would be incomprehensible to me to close the school", said the immunologist. "Surely we will need to monitor the situation but it is a risk to be taken when everything is open; nothing makes us foresee that we will return to lockdown" added Abrignani.
Meanwhile
, the rush of the first doses of the anti-Covid vaccine continues
: yesterday 68,990 were administered, the highest number since last October 15, when they were 71,033. Also two days ago the level of first injections was high (66,565), a value 60% higher than the daily average recorded in the previous week. Data that could reflect the thrust of the new anti-no vax squeeze determined by the latest government measures. There are still over 5 million over 12 without vaccines.
"
Omicron has upset all plans,
there are many infections, but they are also linked to the amount of tampons that travel at an average of over one million and two hundred thousand per day. However, the exponential growth of infections is accompanied by a linear growth in hospitalizations and intensive care. If we compare today's data with those of last year, we observe that with one tenth of the infections we had almost double the number of hospitalizations and intensive care. This means that the vaccine barrier has worked: in the 120 days the barrier holds a lot ", said the special commissioner for the Covid emergency,
Francesco
Figliuolo, on the program 'Half an hour more' on Rai3. "
Yesterday I sent a circular to the Regions to activate extraordinary vaccination windows for those over 50 "
. "Extraordinary vaccinations that will be done in the hubs but there will also be dedicated days. In some regions, such as Lombardy, vaccinations are being planned even at night while, where possible, we will proceed with inoculations without reservations", he added. "We have made 23 million boosters - said Figliuolo -. We have numbers that place us in the very first places in Europe. Even the first doses are increasing: we have reached 70 thousand a day and 15 thousand for those over 50". "We have stocked up, since January we have available more than 27 million doses. The machine is working, the problem is to vaccinate those who have never seen the serum, to persuade them by all means".
"The vast majority of hospitalized and ICU people are not vaccinated," he added.
Another 40 thousand packs of anti-Covid Molnupiravir pills are on the way, adding to the nearly 12 thousand already distributed:
"they will go to the patients who are most likely to have a serious outcome of the disease", explained Commissioner Figliuolo.
Then again: "
It is important to return to school which is a safe place with masks and distance
. The face-to-face lessons are also important from the point of view of social equity: there are realities in the territory, like some areas of the south, in where there is still little possibility to access the wifi, "said Figliuolo.
"
The emergency is linked to the state of exceptional need and also to have emergency procedures
; we need to see how the situation evolves, but
I have already prepared the plan for the transition and I am constantly updating it - underlines Figliuolo -
in order to to be able to pass all the skills and activities in a normal state. This, I imagine, will cause some ministries to worry, but the spotlight on General Figliuolo will go out ".
SEBASTIAN MATHEMATICS ANALYSIS
- The 32 provinces in which the Covid-19 epidemic ran fastest in Italy at the end of 2021 cross Italy from North to South almost seamlessly: from Lecco to Enna, they are those where the increase in cases doubled in a smaller number of days and could therefore coincide with the provinces where Omicron spread more in the last weeks of last year:
this is indicated by the analysis of the mathematician Giovanni Sebastiani, of the Institute for Applications of Calculus 'M. Picone', of the National Research Council (Cnr)
.
"From the analysis of the curves of the incidence of positives in the 107 Italian provinces in the three-week period ending on January 2, 2022, an exponential growth (modulated by a periodic weekly component) results with times of doubling of the increases that have frequency maximum at 4.5 days. The provinces with doubling times less than or equal to 4.5 days are 32 ", notes the mathematician.
