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Covid, the hospitalization curve accelerates. 36,282 cases, rate at 27.9%

2022-07-04T15:23:18.984Z


Costa: 'Living with the virus'. Hope slows down: 'Open game'. Rings: 'Our freedom costs us 2,000 deaths a month'. Sebastiani: 'Peak between 7 and 21 days' (ANSA)


36,282 new infections from Covid have been registered in the last 24 hours, according to data from the Ministry of Health.

Yesterday the infected had been 71,947.

The victims are 59

, two more than yesterday's 57.

A total of 129,908 swabs were performed, including antigenic and molecular, with the positivity rate of 27.9%, stable compared to 27.4% yesterday.

There are 303 patients admitted to intensive care, 12 more than yesterday.

The daily admissions are 27. The hospitalized in the ordinary wards are 7,648, 436 more than yesterday



The hospitalization curve for Covid-19 in Italy accelerates its climb,

while it slows the growth of the curve of the percentage of positive molecular tests, so as to indicate that the peak should be reached between 7 and 21 days from now.

This is what emerges from the analyzes of the mathematician Giovanni Sebastiani, of the Institute for the Applications of Calculation 'M. Picon', of the National Research Council (Cnr).

"From the analysis of the linear relationship between employment in intensive care compared to that in ordinary wards, currently equal to 2.7%, it is estimated that the Omicron BA.5 sub-variant, in current climatic conditions, has a percentage approximately 2.8 times lower of the variant that circulated in December 2021 (7.5%) ". o The data relating to the percentage of positive molecular tests indicate that for four weeks the mean curve has increased from 5% to 19%, and,

through the analysis of the weekly differences, they detect a growth slowed by about seven days, with the peak that should be reached in a period between 7 and 21 days from today.

A more accurate estimate will be possible with the data for the next few days.



"I have always said that the goal is to get to

live with the virus

and living together means, in my opinion, also taking into consideration the hypothesis that those who are positive and asymptomatic can

avoid isolation and quarantine

".

This was stated by the Undersecretary of Health,

Andrea Costa

, interviewed by RaiNews24.

The one on isolation and quarantine, he continued, "is a reasoning that will have to be done later, but sooner or later we will have to ask ourselves the problem, otherwise we risk re-blocking the country. Today we have not only asymptomatic positives who are at home to do the quarantine but even unconsciously they are around ".

"Our concern is the fragile,

today our freedom costs us two thousand deaths a month

".

This was stated by

Filippo Anelli,

president of the National Federation of the Order of Doctors and of the Bari section, speaking in Bari at the conference entitled 'The strange Covid case, predicting the unpredictable'.

According to Anelli with "the relaxation of individual protection measures, if we all remove our masks and kiss each other freely, obviously the virus circulates. So our freedom must be combined with the sense of responsibility of the citizens, a conscience that should be more stimulated" .

ANSA.it

Covid, the positives are over 1 million, but for the expert they are at least triple - Health & Wellness

According to Carlo La Vecchia, Professor of Medical Statistics at the University of Milan.

there would be nearly 2 million unregistered cases.

'5% of the population would have contracted the virus'.

'Definitely singular summer wave: we must go back to the first wave of the Spanish', the epidemiologist specifies.

Today 71,947 new cases, 57 victims (ANSA)

"I believe that coexistence means acknowledging that we are in an endemic phase. Obviously - added Costa - we must wait for this moment of rising infections to pass, which fortunately is not producing pressure on our hospitals, where the numbers are still largely under control. . I believe - he added - that we must correctly convey prudence and a sense of responsibility and not messages of alarmism and fear ". 

"

The challenge of the pandemic is still open

. Even the data these days show us that we are still in this game, despite having tools that we lacked in previous years, in the early stages of the battle against Covid": this is how Health Minister

Roberto Speranza

, at the Sole 24 Ore Pharma & Life Sciences Summit.

"In this new phase of the challenge, we objectively have different conditions, with which we can try to open a different season of investments".

The real challenge, he said, "is to transform the greatest crisis experienced in recent decades into a possibility of a restart for health policies".


Source: ansa

All life articles on 2022-07-04

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