Job opportunities: Young people with little school education will have a harder time in the future

The job opportunities for low-skilled youth will look even bleaker in the next few years - that's what experts say.

Among other things, career orientation should be intensified.

Demographic change, shortage of skilled workers and digitization - these are just three buzzwords that influence the labor market in Germany.

At the same time, the demands on prospective employees are increasing, which means that young people with low qualifications in particular may face problems.

Education experts from the

have assessed the future prospects for young people with little school education in 2030.

With this body language, the job interview goes wrong

With this body language, the job interview goes wrong

Poor job opportunities: In the next few years, the qualification requirements for jobs will increase

100 education experts took part in the survey conducted by the

and the

.

They dealt with the future prospects for prospective employees.

For the next eight years, more than half of those surveyed (53 percent) assume that the qualification requirements in training occupations will increase.

By this they also mean those professions that are relevant for young people with a low level of school education.

In this context, 61 percent of those surveyed assume that job opportunities and employment opportunities for low-skilled people will decrease.

At the same time, it is clear that those surveyed assume that the number of unskilled workers will increase by 2030.

The shortage of skilled workers is an urgent issue of our time.

But it is also about the personal future of young people.

As a society, we have to ask ourselves whether we can continue to afford it and want many young people not to be able to join the company every year while at the same time the number of unfilled training places is increasing. 

Andreas Knoke, Head of Programs at the German Children and Youth Foundation

In order to counteract this prediction, resolute action is needed so that the young people can be given the chance to develop individually.

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Experts say that job opportunities for low-skilled workers will decrease by 2030.

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© Andrey Popov/Imago

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In 2030 there will still be unfilled positions and unplaced applicants

Education experts generally see structural problems and imbalances in the labor market.

85 percent of those surveyed stated that they believed that there would still be vacant training positions in 2030 and that there would still be unplaced applicants who could not fill these positions.

Around 60 percent see transitional measures for young people who were unable to get a training place at the first attempt as likely.

Clemens Wieland, training expert at the Bertelsmann Foundation, sees a clear mandate: "We must offer all young people reliable training prospects."

This emerges from the coalition agreement of the federal government under the point of training guarantee.

This should be implemented "quickly and effectively",

.

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How can job opportunities be improved?

• Career orientation: Almost 90 percent of those surveyed believe that school career orientation needs to be improved so that there can be better transition opportunities.

  It is criticized that the offers are currently too little oriented towards the strengths and potential of young people.

  The flood of information is also overwhelming, especially for young people with low school degrees.

  More support with orientation is important.

• Individual support: That is what 83 percent of those surveyed would like. Continuity is important here, so that the transition from school to training is smoother.

  In this case, the young people should be picked up where they are.

  They should then be brought into the training with coaching and advice.

• Making the systems more flexible: For example, partial qualifications that can be acquired are possible in order to gradually lead trainees to a degree.

  61 percent of those surveyed consider this model to be “rather” to “very desirable”.

  However, those surveyed see implementation as more difficult, because 60 percent believe that the concept is unlikely.

  At the same time, 70 percent of those surveyed expect that companies will increasingly ask for people with partial qualifications.

Rubric list image: © Andrey Popov/Imago