The blockbuster starring Tom Cruise seems to be in the running for the Oscar for best picture, the most sought-after award in American cinema - and beyond.
The nominations must be announced from 1:30 p.m. GMT on Tuesday, before the big winners' party, scheduled for March 12.
Behind the fighter planes of
Top Gun
,
Avatar 2: the way of the water
,
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
, but also the surreal and crazy
Everything Everywhere All at Once
or the very personal
The Fabelmans
by Steven Spielberg are racing for rewards .
Still others cite the Irish comedy
The Banshees of Inisherin
, the biopic about King
Elvis
, and the
TAR
with Cate Blanchett.
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In short,
"this year is one of the most uncertain"
, summarizes the specialized journalist Clayton Davis, of the magazine
Variety
.
He says he's spoken
"more than any year"
to many sources among Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences voters to probe their votes and try to figure it out.
"And I've never known so little in my entire career!"
he added.
Predictions made even more complicated by the recent influx of new members of the Academy from abroad, and to whom some attribute for example the success of the South Korean film
Parasite
in 2020.
“Foreign works have passed the mark these years, and I think it will continue to climb
,” added Clayton Davis.
The German feature
Nothing New in the West
arrives reinforced with British Bafta nominations, while the Indian action film
RRR
, which does not bother with delicacy, also arrives with very strong support.
The coronation of the actors
In the individual categories, Brendan Fraser (
The Whale
), Colin Farrell (
The Banshees of Inisherin
) and Austin Butler (
Elvis
) are already favorites for the Oscar for best actor.
Cate Blanchett, who has already won two statuettes, and Michelle Yeoh, for her role in
Everything Everywhere All at Once
, should be in the running for the Oscar for best actress.
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Actor Ke Huy Quan (
Everything Everywhere All at Once
), who appeared as a child in
Indiana Jones and the Temple
of Doom almost forty years ago, should mark his big comeback, and appear in the category of best supporting actor.
Angela Bassett (
Black Panther: Wakanda Forever
) is also set to appear in the Best Supporting Actress category.
She would thus become the first star of a Marvel film to be nominated for an Oscar.
Steven Spielberg should be named in the category of best director for his autobiographical film
The Fabelmans
.
blockbuster movies
Actors Riz Ahmed (
Sound of Meta
) and Allison Williams (
Girls
) will unveil the list of Oscar contenders on Tuesday from Los Angeles starting at 5:30 a.m. local time (1:30 p.m. GMT).
But TV ratings for awards shows, including the Oscars, have been trending down, with the Academy awarding lesser-known independent films to mainstream audiences in recent years, such as
Nomadland
and
CODA
.
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Many players in this industry hope that the nominations will be evenly distributed among mainstream films in 2022, which are highly anticipated by the public after the pandemic.
The second part of James Cameron's saga,
Avatar: The Way of the Water
, exceeded the symbolic bar of 2 billion dollars at the box office last weekend.
And
Top Gun: Maverick
, released in May when the fate of theaters was still uncertain, grossed around $1.5 billion.
It could
"win the prize for best film"
, estimated Clayton Davis.
This ceremony closes a year which has again been placed under the sign of Covid-19 for the cinema industry, putting in difficulty giants of the sector such as Cineworld, the world's second largest cinema operator, which filed report this fall.
