If we were to vote today, Fratelli d'Italia would be even more firmly the first party with 28.4% of the vote, according to the latest poll by Quorum/YouTrend for Sky TG24.
Giorgia Meloni's party, down 0.1% compared to the last survey published on 19 December 2023, would have an advantage of 9.2 points over the Democratic Party, which stops at 19.2%, recording a -0.4 % compared to December.
Behind the first two parties, the 5 Star Movement is growing timidly again (13.6%, +0.2) and there is a rapprochement between the two main allies of the Brothers of Italy, namely the League (9.3%, - 0.7) and Forza Italia (6.5%, +0.6).
Behind them, Action reached 4.3% (+0.3) and would therefore become the sixth party above the threshold expected for the European Elections.
However, Alleanza Verdi Sinistra (3.7%, -0.3), Italia Viva (2.9%, stable), +Europa (2.6%, +0.4) and all the others are below the threshold.
Opinions on the government are stable: 54% of Italians have a negative opinion on the executive's actions, while 38% express a positive opinion.
As regards trust in party leaders, Giuseppe Conte (39%, +2%) leads Giorgia Meloni (35%, -2%).
Elly Schlein rose slightly (27%, +1%), while both Antonio Tajani (25%) and Matteo Salvini (23%) lost a percentage point.
Survey carried out with CAWI methodology between 25 and 26 January 2024 on a sample of 803 interviewees representative of the adult population resident in Italy, investigated by gender and age quotas, stratified by educational qualification and ISTAT distribution of residence.
The margin of error is +/- 3.5% with a 95% confidence interval.
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