Angle: The British Parliament, the way left to stop EU withdrawal without agreement-Reuters News-International

[London, 30th Reuters]-The British Parliament reopens on September 3 after the summer vacation, and parliamentarians set out to stop Prime Minister Johnson from heading for a "no agreement" exit from the European Union .

However, the number of deliberation days left before the October 31 withdrawal date is limited. The options that can be taken for prevention are summarized.

◎ Revision of law

British law stipulates that the UK will leave the EU on October 31. Only the government of time can change this date.

In other words, Congress needs to pass a law that requires Prime Minister Johnson to request the EU to postpone withdrawal. Also, if the EU agrees to extend, it is necessary to change the domestic law.

In extreme cases, it is even possible to force Johnson to withdraw from the law using a legal change.

However, it is not easy to pass a law that goes against the government. This is because ministers have almost complete control over the agenda for deliberation.

It is necessary to overcome three hurdles for the revision of the law. (1) Finding means to hijack the agenda (2) Place enough votes for the House of Representatives (3) If you pass the House of Representatives, you win a series of votes in the Senate.

There are risks at each stage.

In order to seize the agenda, the assistance of President Berkow is needed. The chair has supported the prevention of withdrawal without agreement in the past. The opposition labor party wants to use the extraordinary deliberations in the first week of September to seize the agenda, but this method has never been tried.

In order to pass the bill in the House of Constants 650, it is necessary to make a protester within the ruling conservative party.

Even in the Senate, where there are a large number of parent EU factions, if a conservative member of the EU skeptics tries to interfere with the proceedings, it may be an obstacle.

Above all, each procedure takes time for parliamentary deliberation. Prime Minister Johnson announced on May 28 that the parliament will be closed for more than a month from mid-September to mid-October.

However, the method described above has been once successful. Parliament has passed a law requiring former Prime Minister May to postpone withdrawal. Mr. Mei eventually decided to postpone withdrawal without regard to this law, so the effectiveness of the law has not been fully tested.

◎ Change of administration

Parliament can create two opportunities to overthrow the Johnson administration through a cabinet distrust resolution and attempt to prevent withdrawal without agreement.

First, if a non-confidence resolution is passed, an election may be held and a new administration may be created that aims to postpone withdrawal or withdraw withdrawal.

But Johnson has the authority to postpone the election until October 31st. Aides said that he is willing to do so.

The second method has never been tried and is more difficult to predict.

If a non-confidence resolution is passed, a new government can be established within 14 days. If a majority of the members who voted for the untrusted resolution were united and a stable new government could be established, it would be possible to postpone withdrawal.

But for now, the ruling and opposition parties are reluctant to unite with a single candidate.

In addition, the election law that allowed this procedure was enacted in 2011 and has never been tried in this way. There is criticism that the mechanism is not precisely defined, such as who has the authority to do what during the 14th.

Johnson argued that he was not obligated to resign, and decided he would stay in power until the election, and could hold an election after October 31st.