What are the dialogues for in Venezuela?

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Jorge Arreaza, Aristóbulo Isturiz, Delcy Rodriguez and the opponent Javier Bertucci (Credit: MATIAS DELACROIX / AFP / Getty Images)

Editor's Note: Carlos Alberto Montaner is a writer and political analyst at CNN. His columns are published in dozens of newspapers in Spain, the United States and Latin America. Montaner is also vice president of the Liberal International.

(CNN Spanish) - Public opinion (Venezuelan and other latitudes) is very surprised with the new dialogue offer presented in Caracas.

After the failure of the call in Norway and in Barbados, the Maduro regime accepts as opposition other candidates representing light anti-Chavez in the country: essentially, Claudio Fermín, Timoteo Zambrano and Felipe Mujica. All three have little support from Venezuelan society, although they are well known.

Why do they show up? In my opinion, they are politicians in search of figuration. They have thought they saw an opportunity to enter the game in the abandonment of the dialogue by Juan Guaidó. I do not think that tempts them an economic reward, but instantly become the figures of change.

But what does the Maduro regime seek by agreeing to dialogue with them? First of all, I think, that they and their family members take international sanctions. And, secondly, save time.

The two things are related. Maduro will make the argument that he cannot “negotiate” with a gun in his head and will give resources to this opposition to lobby against the sanctions among his enemies.

Meanwhile, time goes by.

Surely, Cuba's advice is that: “wait in power for the main actors in the world to change and the moment of danger will pass. It is what we have done for sixty years. ”

Meanwhile, thousands of Venezuelans will continue to flee and the regime will continue to be maintained by migrant remittances and - I think - for drug trafficking and other related crimes.

Can Maduro remain in power in the midst of this situation? I do not think so. There will come a point where the same ones that today support him at the head of the government will take him out with disheveled boxes. Maybe we are a few dates from those events.

Nicolás Maduro