[Brussels / London 20th Reuters]-The European Union (EU) is willing to make a decision on re-extension of the EU withdrawal deadline requested by British Prime Minister Johnson, and gain time to determine the situation in the UK. Several diplomats revealed on the 20th.
The House of Representatives passed a motion to postpone voting on a withdrawal plan that Prime Minister Johnson agreed with the EU on 19th until the relevant bill was passed. As a result, parliamentary approval of the withdrawal proposal will not be obtained during the same day, and the prime minister will request the EU in writing to postpone withdrawal until January 31 next year in accordance with a law established in September by an opposition without withdrawal. Forced to do.
At the 20th meeting of the 27 ambassadors of the EU, excluding the UK, it was decided to send an agreement with Prime Minister Johnson to the European Parliament for approval.
A diplomat said, “We are waiting for things to become clearer this week. At the same time, we will be able to identify the movement in London.”
Another official said the 20th meeting was very brief and had no questions or discussions.
EU President Tusk revealed on Monday that he received an application for postponement of withdrawal from Mr. Johnson, and said that it would take several days for the EU to discuss the response.
Finnish Prime Minister Linne, the EU presidency, said it was "wise" to agree to the third postponement of withdrawal.
Since EU leaders want to avoid chaotic withdrawal without consensus, it is unlikely to refuse a request to postpone withdrawal. The EU hopes that the withdrawal plan agreed with Prime Minister Johnson will eventually be approved by the British Parliament. Prime Minister Johnson is expected to present a withdrawal proposal to Congress in a few days.
A EU diplomat said, “The ball is in the British Parliament. I want to see how things will evolve in the coming days.
Several diplomats pointed out that the EU is more likely to intervene if it is likely that unavoidable withdrawal will occur due to trends in the British Parliament. EU leaders may agree to a new withdrawal deadline at an emergency summit next weekend.
For the EU, there are a wide range of options for the new withdrawal deadline, one month after the end of October, six months later or more.
Goldman Sachs <GS.N> lowered the probability of “no agreement” from 10% to 5% on the 20th after the British Parliament postponed voting until the related bill for the withdrawal proposal was finalized It was.
Assuming that the EU withdrawal until October 31 is still the basic scenario, the probability of “no departure” remains 25%, and the probability of “agreed departure” has been raised from the previous 65% to 70%.