Less than a week before the state elections in Thuringia next Sunday, a complicated coalition formation is to be expected. This is shown by a representative survey of the opinion polling institute Civey for SPIEGEL.
Accordingly, the left of Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow comes to around 30 percent. That would make her strongest. Behind them are AfD (23.2 percent) and CDU (22.9 percent) on par. The left improves by about five percentage points compared to a SPIEGEL survey a month ago. The CDU loses easily, the AfD gains easily.
The SPD continues to perform poorly and comes to only about 8 percent, the Greens land at about 7 percent. These two parties thus provide a head-to-head race. The FDP is 5 percent - uncertain whether it creates the entry into the state parliament.
Based on these figures, it is sufficient neither for a red-red-green majority, nor for the intended in Saxony and Brandenburg Kenya coalition of CDU, SPD and Greens. Even a so-called Zimbabwe Alliance of CDU, SPD, Greens and FDP has therefore no majority. The formation of a government would be a challenge. CDU lead candidate Mike Mohring has ruled out a coalition with both the left and the AfD. Possibly, Left Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow would be able to continue with a minority government on this basis.
In Saxony , the ruling since 1990 CDU fell in the election on 1 September to a new low (32 percent), the AFD came to 27.5 percent - their best state election result ever.
In Brandenburg , the Social Democrats took 26.2 percent of the vote. The AfD came second with 23.5 percent just behind in second place (2014: 12.2). The traditionally weak CDU in Brandenburg fell to 15.6 percent (2014: 23.0) on its worst national result.
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