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(CNN) - While the political trial hearings are taking place at the Capitol, the people of Iowa on both sides of the political spectrum see the investigation of President Donald Trump as a boost to the chances of his party winning the general elections in November of 2020, according to a new CNN / Des Moines Register / Mediacom survey.
That sentiment is stronger among registered Republicans who do not plan to attend Democratic assemblies: 60% say the political trial investigation is more likely to favor President Trump's re-election against 26% who say he is likely to do so. more difficult. Among the possible Democratic assemblies, 45% say the investigation would make it easier for the Democratic candidate to win in 2020 compared to 24% who he thinks will make it more difficult. The proportion of those who say they are not sure of the impact the investigation will have is approximately the same in both groups of voters.
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For their part, attendees at Democratic assemblies are more likely to report after political trial procedures than registered Republicans. Nearly seven out of 10 likely attendees at Democratic assemblies say they are following the procedures, including 46% that indicate they were following them closely. Of those who follow very or very closely, 52% say the procedures will make it easier for the Democratic candidate to win the general election. That compares with only 36% of those who closely follow the query or don't think it will be easier.
The findings come immediately after the first week of public testimony in the investigation with eight other witnesses scheduled to testify in open hearings this week. The survey was conducted largely before public hearings began.
When it comes to registered Republicans, 30% say they are following the investigation very closely, and another 25% say they are following them closely. Among Republicans who follow the process very or fairly closely, 72% say this will make it easier for Trump to win reelection, while only 46% of those who are following him closely or in no way say that this is the case. .
An overwhelming majority of these registered Republicans (72%) say that the president did not use his office improperly to gain a political advantage against a potential opponent of 2020. Only 14% believe he did, but almost half of those they say they would consider or definitely vote for someone other than the president in general elections (47%) say they used their office incorrectly.
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Trump's Republican support is very high
The president's position among this group of Iowa Republicans is as strong as ever, with 85% approval of his job performance, earning four points since March. Separately, 83% say they have a favorable view of Trump. The president's opinions are more or less uniform among different age groups, but there is a gender division, with more men (88%) having a more favorable view of Trump than women (79%).
As strong as the president's job performance rates, Republicans like their economy management even more, with 89% approval. He also receives high marks in his handling of immigration (76%), trade with China (75%) and foreign policy (74%). A weaker point for Trump is ethanol, with a slight majority (53%) that approves his handling of that issue.
Vice President Mike Pence is as popular among these Republicans as the president, with 82% saying they have a favorable opinion of him.
Republican critics of the president, including two main challengers, are not doing so well. Senator Mitt Romney's favorable rating is now upside down, with 46% having a favorable opinion and 36% whose opinion is unfavorable. The senator from Utah had a favorable rating of 65% in December 2018. Then, only 21% had an unfavorable opinion.
A couple of the president's main opponents, former governor Bill Weld and former representative Joe Walsh, receive more negative points than positive ones, although both are largely unknown among these Republicans. Walsh's favorable rating is 8% compared to the unfavorable 12%. It is 4% favorable and 11% unfavorable for Weld.
Overall, 76% say they definitely plan to vote to re-elect the president, nine more percentage points since March, with clear majorities in almost all demographic groups. The only exception is the moderates, with 47% saying they plan to vote for Trump.
These registered Republicans are also optimistic about Trump's chances against the four major Democratic challengers with clear majorities who say they believe the president is almost certain to win every potential confrontation. The greatest confidence is to beat Bernie Sanders, with 62% who say they are almost certain that the president will defeat the Vermont senator. That compares with the 59% who say that about Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren, 58% for former Vice President Joe Biden and 56% for the Mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg.
There is a little more uncertainty among registered Republicans about the outcome of a possible confrontation between Trump and Buttigieg, with 15% saying they are unsure of what would happen in such a contest. For the other three Democrats evaluated, that number is in a single digit.
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Loyalty test
There is an equitable division on the question of whether Republicans registered in Iowa feel more loyalty to the Republican Party or Trump, with 43% electing the Republican Party and 41% appointing the President.
Those on the side of the Republican Party include Republicans under 35 (49% to 36%, respectively), those with a university degree (51% to 37%) and moderate self-described (55% to 31%).
Groups with the strongest loyalty to Trump include those who call themselves very conservative (52% on the Trump side versus 34% on the party side), evangelicals (46% to 41%) and those who live in rural areas (47% at 37%).
While some states seek to cancel nomination contests to benefit Trump, almost three out of four of these Republicans (72%) approve the decision of the Iowa Republican Party to hold a committee with a vote for a candidate in 2020. However , the interest is quite low, with only 30% of registered Republicans who say they will definitely or probably attend Republican assemblies.
The CNN / Des Moines Register / Mediacom survey was conducted by Selzer & Co. of Des Moines, Iowa, from November 8 to 13 between a random sample of 500 likely Democratic caucusgoers and 502 registered Republicans who do not plan to participate in the Democratic caucuses Reached landlines or cell phones by a live interviewer. The results of the complete samples of probable assembly members and registered Republicans have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points.
Donald Trump political trial