[District Council Election] The political atmosphere is conducive to the popular selection of the people? Scholar: Winning half of the seats is a big win.

Political situation

Written by: Li Weixin

2019-11-23 19:36

The district board elections were held on Sunday (24th), and the elections were added to the elections. This year's district elections are fierce. There are democrats in the 452 constituencies in Hong Kong. It is widely believed that under the current political environment, it is very beneficial to the democratic elections. How many seats will the democratics get? Counting victory? Some scholars believe that the recent "three strikes" and the confrontation between the police and the people of the two universities have changed the voting intentions of the middle voters. The democratic elections are no longer as optimistic as June and July. If you have obtained more than half of the seats, it will be considered a "victory victory."

. Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Politics and Administration at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, believes that it is a "victory victory" for the Democrats to obtain more than half of the seats. (Photo picture / Ou Jia Le photo)

The city is concerned about the first election under the anti-reforms. There were 1,090 candidates for the district board elections, and 452 elected seats were contested. The number of voter registrations exceeded 4 million for the first time, and the number of newly registered voters exceeded 390,000. Among the 431 seats in the last district conference, the democrats won 123 seats, and the proportion of the parliamentary people and the system in the 18 district district boards was about 3 to 7.

Under the influence of the anti-reforms, the social tears are opposite, the voters' political attitudes and positions are clearly defined. It is generally believed that in this political atmosphere, it is more favorable to the democratic election. Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Politics and Administration at the Chinese University of Hong Kong, believes that it is a "victorious victory" for a democratic party to obtain a majority of seats. However, it is very difficult to obtain half of the seats, that is, 226 seats. If the democrats obtain this year The number of seats is more than that of the previous session. It can be said that "the democratic elections are good."

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Cai Ziqiang pointed out that the recent polls show that the election of the democrats is not as optimistic as June and July. The "three-year strike" and the confrontation between the police and the people of Zhongda and PolyU have all reversed the public opinion of the middle voters. The election of the system is not as bearish as before. He observed that the social situation was calm a few days before the election. If there were no major incidents of violence on the election day, I believe that it has little effect on the election.

Distribution of seats for the 2015 District Council elections

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