Political situation
Written by: Huang Wei Luo Jiaqing
2019-11-25 10:01
Last updated: 2019-11-25 10:01When Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Politics and Administration at the Chinese University, attended the Hong Kong and Taiwan program "The Millennium", he mentioned that this election is a "disguised referendum". Many amateurs who support the anti-reform movement and have no regional work experience can still be elected. He pointed out that the democrats have won more than 300 seats for the time being, nearly three times higher than the previous 122 seats.
He believes that more resources will undoubtedly bring more support to the anti-revision movement. However, he stressed that the expectations of the outside world have also increased. If the performance of the elected district board members is not satisfactory, it may cause a greater rebound. In addition, he mentioned that the current "no big Taiwan" characteristics of social transport, how to organize in the district council is a big problem. As for the founding party, he pointed out that the number of seats in the DAB was reduced from 120 to 20, which described the "resource gap" and the community's "pile" was completely removed.
It is more difficult to cooperate with the chief executives in the future.
For the current election of the founding party, Tsai Chee-yung is more miserable than in 2003. The number of seats in the DAB has been reduced from 120 to 20, which means that the "resource gap is enormous". The community "pile feet" were completely removed.
Cai Ziqiang pointed out that the government did not believe in the past polls that reflected the low level of government trust. However, the results of the district board elections were clear, emphasizing that "the current wave of government is here." He also pointed out that the members of the founding party who lost in the election this time will face the survival problem in the next step, and whether the party has enough resources to continue to raise them. Cai Ziqiang believes that this election has become a contradiction between the founding party and the government. It also has greater grievances against the chief executive Lin Zhengyue. The future cooperation between the founding party and the chief executive is even more difficult and the relationship is cracked.
Although the democrats won the district council elections, Cai Ziqiang was pessimistic about Hong Kong's future democratic process. He pointed out that since the president of the country, Xi Jinping, came to power, the country has tightened its policies and it has become more difficult to assess the resumption of political reform.
Many listeners expect the Government to respond. Tsai Tsang has voted 70% of the elections. Nearly 3 million people participated. The government "the ugly woman must finally see the family" responded to this representative result.
Regarding the actual impact of the District Council on Hong Kong, he explained that the District Councils are advisory bodies and that some government district policies need to be supported by the District Councils. He believes that the victory of the democrats may not have a "fatal effect" on the government. However, it is undoubted that the victory of the democrats will increase the resistance of the government at the regional level.
He also explained that the number of elected members of the Chief Executive Election Committee is expected to increase significantly. However, it emphasizes that the democrats are more scattered and often owe a unified indicator. For example, in the 2017 Chief Executive Election, not all of them supported one of the candidates, Mr. Tsang Chun-wah.
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