[District Council Election] The establishment of the system defeated the general public next stop, the standing committee, the election of the chief executive

Political situation

Written by: Lin Jian

2019-11-25 07:39

The district board elections have come to an end. Under the single-seat, single-vote system, the democrats achieved an unexpected victory. More than 300 seats were obtained before the deadline. Among the 452 elected seats, there was an overwhelming advantage, which had a considerable impact on the political situation in the future.

The most direct political influence of the democrats in the district boards is that they will control the overall situation of the next special election, because the future democrats can effectively control more than one-third of the election committee seats. In the next Legislative Council election, it is certain that the democrats have already taken a seat.

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Hong Kong and Kowloon, the New Territories directly elected seats, take 117 seats

At present, the Election Committee subsector elections, 117 of the 1,200 seats are District Councils, of which 60 are elected by the District Councils in the New Territories and 57 are elected by Members of the Hong Kong and Kowloon Districts. This means that as long as they occupy half of the seats in Hong Kong and Kowloon and the New Territories District Council, they can arrange all 117 electoral committees. The District Council currently has 452 elected seats and 27 ex officio seats, totaling 479 seats. However, because of the fact that the seats belong to the rural areas, they have exclusive sectors in the EC. Therefore, as long as they have a majority in the elected seats, they have a great chance to control the composition of the 117 Election Committee. In the past, under the leadership of the District Council, these seats were all organized.

The total number of elected seats for the Hong Kong and Kowloon District Councils today is 215, which is 108 seats for the majority of the seats. The total number of elected seats for the New Territories District Council is 237, which is 119 seats. Before the deadline, the seats that the Democrats received in Hong Kong and Kowloon and the New Territories have already far exceeded the above threshold. Under the next special preferred law, the Democrats are expected to take the 117 electoral seats.

The best choice for the left and right

In the 2016 Election Committee subsector election, the Democrats won 325 seats, assuming that this is the "basic disk" of the democrats. If we add 117 seats, we can control about 440 seats, which will occupy the overall electoral seat. Nearly 40%. Coupled with the current political atmosphere, the general public can be more likely to be elected in other constituencies.

Of course, it is too early to say that the Pan-People has obtained a semi-election committee seat to control the Chief Executive. But the more seats the Pan-People have gained, the more space in which the "invoices" are formed in the future elections. Low, this is quite a test of the West Ring's ability to hoop.

Even if the election committee seats are not half, the Pan-civilian can still play the role of "key minority". When confronted with Tang Ying-nian's internal struggle against Liang Zhenying and Zeng Junhua against Lin Zheng, they have the opportunity to become a powerful force to win and lose.

Liu Guoxun is currently a member of the Legislative Council District Council (first) functional constituency, but this time his seat in the District Council is not guaranteed. The number of seats in the Legislative Council will definitely fall on the Pan-people. (data picture)

The Legislative Council automatically enters a seat

At present, six of the Legislative Council Elections are listed as District Council members. Five of them are "Super District Council Members". They are elected by electors who do not have voting rights in other functional constituencies in Hong Kong. The other one is "District Council (First). It is elected by all district board members. The DAB Liu Guoxun participated in the Legislative Council District Council (first) functional constituency election in 2016 and was automatically elected without an opponent.

In this year's district board elections, Liu Guoxun's own seats are not guaranteed, and the democrats have won most of the district council seats. This means that in the upcoming Legislative Council elections, the seats of the District Council (first) functional constituency will definitely be obtained by the democrats. This is the second immediate impact of the pan-community election.

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