[District election analysis] The average number of votes per district increased by 26%.

Social News

Written by: Chen Jiahui

2019-11-28 11:06

The 2019 District Council election rewrites the political landscape of the Hong Kong Parliament. The general public swept more than 80% of the seats, and gained control of 17 District Councils, completely reversing the situation in which all district boards were dominated by the system.

Although the organizational system was defeated, the overall number of votes received has increased. This year, 430,000 votes were added to the account, an increase of 55.9%. Excluding the rezoning and automatic election of the last election, the number of votes obtained by the establishment in 272 and more than 60% of the constituencies increased compared with the previous election. In terms of the general public, among the 256 constituencies that had democratic candidates in the current and previous elections, no major changes in rescheduling, and no automatic election in the last session, the general public received votes to account for 41% -60% The increase rate was nearly 90%, with an average increase rate of 51.7%.

In some electoral districts such as Shatin Diyi, although the votes obtained by the organizational system fell sharply, the fishermen benefited from the fact that two candidates from the general public hit the district and won seats.

Although the formation was defeated, the ability to attract tickets was stronger

This year's registered voters exceeded 4 million, with more than 2.9 million voters and a turnout rate of 70%, which led to the popular people ’s votes rising by more than 1 million, an increase of nearly double; while the formation faction lost, but still received 430,000 votes. An increase of 55.9% shows that iron tickets are still there, and the ability to attract tickets is stronger than the previous one.

Although the formation faction lost, there were still 430,000 votes received, an increase of 55.9%. It can be seen that the iron tickets are still there, and the ability to attract votes is stronger than the previous one. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

More than 60% of the constituent constituencies received votes

There are a total of 452 constituencies in Hong Kong, minus 75 constituencies with large changes in rezoning and automatic elections in the last term. This year's Pan-People won votes in 312 constituencies. Although the organizational system was not as popular as the general public, it was still able to obtain more votes in the 272 and more than 60% of the constituencies.

Fanmin has won votes in 312 and nearly 70% of the constituencies this year, and the establishment has also increased in votes in 272, that is, more than 70% of the constituencies. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

Careful calculation shows that among the 307 constituencies in which there were constitutional candidates for the current and previous elections, no major changes in the reorganization, and no automatic elections in the previous term, votes were increased among the 268 of the constituent camps, and 39 Lost votes in each constituency.

The votes received by the establishment system are generally about 21% -40%

If the increase in the votes obtained by the system is divided into five levels: 0% -20%, 21% -40%, 41% -60%, 61% -80%, and 81% -100%, the votes obtained by the system are generally in the range of 21% -40 %, Followed by 0% -20%. The highest increase in votes was over 90%, the lowest was 0.1%, and the average increase was 26%. In Wong Tai Sin Longqu Constituency, the number of votes generated by the establishment increased by 2,410 compared with the previous term, an increase of 90.1%. However, the establishment faction lost to its opponents in the district. The current district council member and the Kowloon Federation of Associations, Li Dongjiang, lost 260 votes to the pan-american "private" Zhuang Dingwei.

Formed votes are generally in the range of 21% -40%, followed by 0% -20%. The increase in votes was up to 90% and the lowest was 0.1%. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

In terms of the general public, among the 256 constituencies that had democratic candidates in the current and previous elections, no major changes in rescheduling, and no automatic election in the last session, the general public received votes to account for 41% -60% The increase rate was nearly 90%, with an average increase rate of 51.7%.

Among the 256 constituencies that had popular elections in the current and previous sessions, no major changes, and no automatic elections in the previous session, the votes received by popular citizens were generally between 41% and 60%, with an increase of nearly nine percent. Success, with an average increase of 51.7%. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

Ten electoral constituencies rose with no votes

The ten electoral districts with the largest increase in votes were formed by Long Qu, Wong Tai Sin District, Zhuyuan South, Li Jing Wan, Eastern District, Jianming and Nan'an in Sai Kung, South in Lai Chi Kok, Sham Shui Po District, Kam Ying, Matsuda, Wuxi Sha, and Tun Gate District Jingfeng. None of the above-mentioned ten districts won the prize. In the 268 constituencies that received an increase in votes, the establishment faction only won 25 seats, while the panmin people won 241 seats and the other camps won two seats.

The ten electoral districts with the highest increase in votes include Longqu, Wong Tai Sin District, Zhuyuan South, Li Jing Wan in the East, Jianming and Nan'an in the Sai Kung District, Lai Chi Kok South in the Sham Shui Po District, Kam Ying, Matsuda, Wuxi Sha, and Tun Gate District Jingfeng. None of the above-mentioned ten districts won the prize. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

Shatin Diyi drops more than 80% of its votes because of fishermen hitting the area

Among the ten constituencies with the largest drop in votes for the establishment, candidates for the establishment were won in two districts, including Liu Qing of the Democratic Party and Diyi Shatian in Shahe District's political district. The establishment obtained 1,580 votes in the district, a drop of more than 80%. However, the DAB Lin Gangkun was still able to profit from the fishermen in the pan-minded area, winning 1,923 votes and winning 43% of the seats.

The company's votes in Sha Tin Di Yi reduced by 1,580 votes, a drop of more than 80%, but the DAB Lin Gangkun was still able to profit from the fishermen in the pan-people collision zone, winning 1,923 votes and winning 43% of the seats. 制 Hong Kong 01 Cartography﹚

In addition, in the Yuen Long Xintian constituency, which is one of the most important rural affiliates, the formation faction lost more than 40% of its votes compared to the previous session, and faced with collisions and four-person melee. Can beat the popular candidate Xu Qilong by more than 200 votes.

01 Data District Council Election 2019