Dramatic figures in the first poll of "Israel Today" and "Brainstorm" for the 2020 elections • Blue and white lead in 6 Netanyahu-led Likud mandates • On the other, under Gideon Sa'ar, the Likud retains its power - and the right-wing bloc jumps • Third round crisis: only 59 % Are sure to come to vote

• Photo: Dudi Waknin, Oren Ben Hakun

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu begins the third campaign last year with a significant gap from his rival Gantz, and with no fear of losing power at the end of the road. While the blue and white led by Benny Gantz is leaping, the Likud-led Likud is declining. In the internal arena, Netanyahu also loses the advantage, when he faces the party's leader, MK Gideon Sa'ar, according to the poll, was given the same number of seats as Netanyahu, if he was headed by the Likud.

The survey was conducted yesterday (Thursday) by the Institute of Mastering, headed by Prof. Yitzhak Katz among 500 respondents who are a representative sample of the adult population in Israel. The sampling error is 4.4%.

Photo: Gil Kramer

First, the survey looked at the extent of the Israeli public's estimated participation in the elections, as it is a third election. Only 59% said they would certainly vote. 23% said they would vote very likely. The survey also shows that there is an equality between the willingness of blue and white voters to vote with Likud voters.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon

The poll shows that if the elections were held today, the Likud-led Likud would receive 31 seats. Blue and white leap to 37. The joint Arabic list also recorded an increase to 14 seats. The work bridge with 6, and the Democratic camp with 4 seats. If these are indeed the results of the truth - this is in fact Benjamin Netanyahu's ousting of the prime minister, since the leftist bloc with the Arab factions, according to this poll, has 61 seats that would block any possibility of Netanyahu forming a government.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon

The right-wing bloc, on the other hand, drops to just 51 seats, with Shas accepting eight seats, Torah Judaism - 7, the new right headed by Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked - 5, while right-wing unification does not pass the blockade, as does Jewish power. Israel Our Home, headed by Avigdor Lieberman, has been awarded eight seats in this poll.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon

When Gideon Sa'ar is headed by the Likud, the party is headed by 31 seats, as Netanyahu would have received, but in such a situation blue-and-white comes down to only 33. In the block map - the center-left block, together with the common list, drops below 61 and receives only 57.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon

On the question of whether the Prime Minister, who has so far enjoyed a significant gap, Netanyahu has eroded the prime minister's status and increased Gantz's power. 42% said Netanyahu was the most deserving, 40% thought Benny Gantz was the best fit, and 18% said they didn't know or answered any other answers. But when Gantz faces Sa'ar, Gantz rises to the advantage over the Likud candidate, with 36% believing that Gantz deserves better, while only 31% favor Sa'ar. 33% said they did not know or answered other answers.

Sixty percent of those surveyed said they intended to vote in the third round for the same party. 13% said they would change the way they voted and 27% said they were considering it.

Despite Netanyahu's attempt to accuse Yair Lapid and Benny Gantz of facing the third consecutive election campaign, 43% believe he, Netanyahu, is the main culprit in the election. Following him in the blame march is Avigdor Lieberman with 30%, Benny Gantz is the main culprit in the eyes of only 5% of respondents, while Yair Lapid is guilty in the eyes of 6%.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon

And what is the will of the people after the elections? 30% would like to see a Likud and white unity government, 19% prefer a unity government in the right-wing bloc, 20% prefer a narrow right-wing government, while only 15% want a narrow-left government.

Photo: Oren Ben Hakon