Iran's leader faces the most important choice since his reign: How to respond to the elimination of the man who was his right-hand man? • Not sure he will hurry, but revenge will come

• Iran's response will come. Kassem Suleimani // Photo Archive: AFP

Suleimani's assassination is certainly a formative and dramatic step in the US-Iran rally since the Islamic and Khamene revolution was certainly surprised by the US move against his nurturing and modern-day counterparts. , But worldwide.

Accordingly, the amplitude in which Iran, led by Khamenei, can choose to respond is broad. But he has to take into account that an unchallenged reaction on his part could lead Trump to a significant military escalation against Iran, albeit in an election year.

A Revolutionary Guards spokesman responds with tears to Suleimiani's death

Iran's supreme leader has so far promoted his offensive campaign against the US and its allies in the Middle East on the assumption that it turned out to be false, that Trump would not dare to engage in military escalation against Iran in an election year. Immediately after the assassination, Khamenei had already appointed one of Suleimani's deputies, Ismail Qaani, to inherit it, but the blow that Iran suffered was particularly difficult.

Suleimani has been in charge of Quds forces since late 1997, and turned out to be one of the mega-terrorists and major strategic minds. It is doubtful that Kanye could get in his shoes. Hezbollah, for example, still fails to recover from the 2008 Mourniya strike.

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Iran, Hezbollah and Shiite militias are eager to avenge the killings, but conditions in the region are not playing in favor of Iran. Lebanon's protests could make it harder for Hezbollah to open a front against Israel on the Lebanese border. Therefore, he may choose to attack Israel in the Red Sea through the infrastructure he operates in Yemen, led by Abu 'Ali Tabatba'i, or act against it from the Syrian territory.

Israel, in any case, is already in military escalation with Iran and, following its elimination, only has to increase its preparedness and alertness. Chief of Staff Kochavi this week reflected the disappointment in Israel for the lack of military action by the US against Iran and hence the satisfaction with Israel from the assassinations by the US.

Iran's supreme leader, Khamenei. Will make the decision how to respond? // Photo Archive: IPP

Iran operates an extensive transnational terrorist campaign, which spans several continents, through which it systematically attacks terrorist cells that have systematically built Hizbullah's Quds Force and Unit 910 (an overseas terrorist organization in the organization), including cells that were apparently only captured within the US.

Khamenei has now faced the most significant choice since being appointed leader in 1989: how to respond to the direct and unprecedented US offensive against Iran's terrorist leaders. On the one hand, he would not want to drag Iran into direct war or military escalation with the US, on the other hand he could not go silent on the American move.