Security system concern: Putin will demand to restrict air traffic in Syria further

Israel is preparing for the Russian president's visit at the end of the month, in the background of his aspirations to be portrayed as a balance factor in the Middle East in light of regional tensions. Factors estimate that in parallel with demands that may come up on the table, Putin will not visit empty-handed, and the issue of Naama Issachar may also be brought up for discussion

Security system concern: Putin will demand to restrict air traffic in Syria further

In the background, the various processes in the Middle East are taking place in the defense establishment, the headquarters of the national security and the Prime Minister's Office in preparation for the arrival of Russian President Vladimir Putin at the end of the month during the International Holocaust Forum. According to sources, only at the last moment will it be possible to understand who the delegation will be, and accordingly: what importance the Russians attach to the visit and what areas it is likely to focus on.

Russia's president, officials in Israel explain, does not come empty-handed for such scheduled official visits, and he can surprise the government and the public in Israel in many areas - but at the same time the Russians also demand compensation accordingly. According to foreign publications, in the past year and despite sweeping denials in the security system, the Israeli air force has restricted the scope of attacks in the Syrian area against the Iranian consolidation process in accordance with Russian demand.

The security system is preparing for another Russian demand to reduce the possibility of Israeli air activity in the Syrian area and to reduce friction in general with Iran in the near future. In addition, the Russians hold extensive leases in Israel, and from time to time the issue comes up for discussion. According to Israeli sources, questions may also be raised about efforts to locate Israeli missing persons in the Syrian area as well as the issue of Naama Issachar, the Israeli citizen imprisoned in Russia, whose story is on the Israeli agenda. Officials in Israel explain that this is a very sensitive Russian issue, as it may be perceived as an Israeli intervention in Russia's internal affairs, but it could be resolved through a presidential pardon order.

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Suleimani has actually hit Syria's reconstruction efforts. Putin and Assad meeting yesterday

Russian President Vladimir Putin's meeting with Syrian colleague Bashar al-Assad on January 7, 2019 (Photo: official website)

Putin's surprise visit to Syria this week surprised not only political and security officials in Israel, but also Russia's professional and journalists. The clue to the nature of the visit was given a day earlier on Monday, after the Russian Ministry of Defense updated the local media on a telephone conversation between Secretary of Defense Sergey Shweigu and Iranian Chief of Staff Mohamed Bakery. This is an unusual call: not only the publication of the call, but also the fact that the minister The Russian defense did not call its Iranian counterpart, but the chief of staff - which is lower in importance. According to Israeli estimates, the Russian minister's call is mainly intended to convey reassuring messages to stabilize the region after the targeted thaw of Qods Force commander Kassem Suleimani and Iran's intentions to avenge.

According to Israeli estimates, the Russian president did not shed a tear when he heard that Suleimani was eliminated by the Americans because he had stopped regional stability processes, just as Baha Abu Al-Ata had stopped the Israeli-Hamas series in the Gaza Strip.

Suleimani actually deployed pro-Iranian Shiite militias, not in coordination with the Russian army that is based on warmth, and accelerated consolidation activity in opposition to the Russian interest and undermining the Syrian effort to stabilize the regime and drive a reconstruction process. Putin, for his part, favors weakened and declining Iran to further the Syrian reconstruction process in a better way with Russia. On the other hand, in order to preserve political-security balances, the Russian military has a Sunday-type exercise of its kind with the Chinese and Iranian navies.

Many in Iran are outraged at the Suleiman assassination, but fear of war with the US

The additional arena: Libya's international intervention

It is important to emphasize that while Putin visited Syria and met with Bashar Assad yesterday, Quds Force chief Ismail Qani held meetings with commanders in the Iranian army, as well as with commanders of militia and terrorist organizations such as Hamas senior Ismail Haniyeh and Islamic Jihad secretary general Zaid Nahala. Kassem Suleimani's power and influence stemmed primarily from his interpersonal relationships with leaders, senior commanders and field commanders through which he moved tactical and strategic processes into the space created by Kanye, and in Western intelligence organizations, and certainly in Russia, these meetings The interests of Iran and the heart Investigate the willingness to help the Qods Force's intentions to avenge the assassination, which has quite a few concerns.

Trying to get into Suleimani shoes. Kanye (Photo: Reuters)

Ismail Kani, the new commander of the Qods Force in the Revolutionary Guards, January 3, 2020 (Photo: Reuters)

Putin, it is estimated in Israel, would very much like to be a balance factor in the Middle East in order to maintain relative stability, as well as his achievements in Syria and the region. War can hurt his achievements. Some Israelis say that when a discourse arises about a possible US exit from Iraq, Afghanistan and even Syria, Putin should be concerned because he sees Americans as a balance and stabilizer. Clearly, any American exit from Iraq will pursue a war between Shiites and Sunnis, which will very quickly become a bloodbath to which it can. To be dragged into Iran and other countries.

The Egyptian-Libyan-Turkish issue also employs Russia. The Turks have copied the Russian-Syrian model and announced that the Libyan government is the one seeking Turkey's help, so it sends advisers and soldiers to Libya. The regional concern is that the goal of the Turkish move is to damage gas and oil routes in the future. Egypt does not see the move as an understatement, and Italy, with its influence in Libya, has been required to mediate between countries in the region as Russia stirs behind the scenes as well. An explosion between the countries involved is a matter of time.