Anne Hidalgo still widely in the lead, and Rachida Dati who widens the gap with her majority opponents. These are the lessons to be learned from an Ifop poll on the municipal elections next March in Paris, published in the JDD this Sunday.
In the first round, the “Paris en commun” list of the outgoing socialist mayor, who formalized his candidacy in Le Parisien on January 11, would get 25% of the vote. She would arrive in front of Rachida Dati's “Engaged to change Paris” list (19%). "Paris is really within our reach," also chanted the former Keeper of the Seals of Nicolas Sarkozy on Saturday, presenting his wishes.
The LREM deputies Benjamin Griveaux (15%) and Cédric Villani (13%), who presents himself as a dissident, pay for the division of their camp. The capital had however massively voted for Emmanuel Macron in the presidential election of 2017 and still allocated nearly 33% of the votes to the LREM list in the European elections. "In Paris, macronism is going up in smoke," reacted this Sunday morning on Europe 1 the president of the Republicans, Christian Jacob.
Between the two contenders of the majority is interposed the ecologist David Belliard (14%), subjected to stiff competition in a municipal landscape where all the candidates strive to green their program.
Griveaux and Dati shoulder to shoulder in December
Anne Hidalgo, who appeared in difficulty a year ago, after notably the Vélib 'fiasco, widens her advantage over her competitors. In the previous poll published by Ifop in December, it was already in the lead, but with only 22.5% of voting intentions. Benjamin Griveaux (17%) and Rachida Dati (17%) were shoulder to shoulder in front of Cédric Villani (14%) and David Belliard (12.5%).
This new investigation, carried out last week, took into account the rallying of the center-right candidate Pierre-Yves Bournazel to Benjamin Griveaux. However, Ifop also tested the hypothesis of maintaining the latter. In this case, the respondents still grant 25% of the voting intentions to Anne Hidalgo, but Rachida Dati only obtains 17%, ahead of Benjamin Griveaux (16%), David Belliard (14%) and Cédric Villani (12%) . It therefore seems that this rallying to the majority candidate benefits the candidate of the Republicans rather than him.
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Danielle Simonnet's LFI list and Serge Ferdebusch's RN list would each obtain 5% in all cases. Finally, in the second round, a hypothetical list of unions between the Hidalgo and Belliard lists would prevail very much (41%), ahead of that of Rachida Dati (22%) followed by Benjamin Griveaux (20%) and Cédric Villani (17 %).