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[Wuhan Pneumonia · Live Broadcast] Mathematical model of HKU estimates that Wuhan may have at least 1,300 confirmed cases

2020-01-21T03:34:18.338Z


The outbreak of unknown pneumonia in Wuhan caused by the new coronavirus has continued to spread, with a total of 223 confirmed cases in Hong Kong. The Cooperative Centre for Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases of the Li Ka-shing Medical College of the University of Hong Kong will hold a press conference this morning (21st) to publish a real-time real-time forecast of the domestic and international spread of Wuhan's new coronavirus during the Spring Festival. Prof. Liang Zhuowei, Chair Professor of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong Medical College, and Prof. Liang Zhuowei, Founding Director of the WHO Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control Cooperative Center, and Professor Huo Qi from the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Division of the School of Public Health, the University of Hong Kong Medical College attended the event. "Hong Kong 01" will be broadcast live.


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Written by: Zheng Cuibi, Li Enci

2020-01-21 11:14

Last updated: 2020-01-21 11:25

The outbreak of unknown pneumonia in Wuhan caused by the new coronavirus has continued to spread, with a total of 223 confirmed cases in Hong Kong. The Cooperative Centre for Epidemiology and Control of Infectious Diseases of the Li Ka-shing Medical College of the University of Hong Kong will hold a press conference this morning (21st) to publish a real-time real-time forecast of the domestic and international spread of Wuhan's new coronavirus during the Spring Festival.

Prof. Liang Zhuowei, Chair Professor of Public Health Medicine, School of Public Health, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong Medical College, and Prof. Liang Zhuowei, Founding Director of the WHO Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control Cooperative Center, and Professor Huo Qi from the Epidemiology and Biostatistics Division of the School of Public Health, the University of Hong Kong Medical College attended the event.

"Hong Kong 01" will be broadcast live.

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Liang Zhuowei said that starting from today, the epidemic situation of Wuhan new coronavirus pneumonia in the past two weeks will be reviewed, real-time status, and the development of the epidemic in the next two weeks. He also said that an online application of a mathematical model of epidemiology will be introduced for health authorities to estimate whether there has been a case of superseizure.

Liang Zhuowei estimates that according to a mathematical model, as of January 17, Wuhan is most likely to have 1,343 patients with new-type coronavirus pneumonia. He described the numbers as similar to last week's estimates by Imperial College London, which could cite each other. Imperial College previously estimated an average of 1,700 cases.

The mainland officially announced that there were 198 confirmed cases in Wuhan as of January 20.

There have been more than 200 confirmed cases of new coronavirus pneumonia in Wuhan, of which 4 died in Wuhan and 15 medical staff were infected. The picture shows the situation of pneumonia in Wuhan Hospital. (CCTV)

[Wuhan pneumonia] WHO experts arrive in Wuhan to inspect at least some people

[Wuhan Pneumonia] He Bailiang: The number of people infected in Guangdong may increase significantly

[Wuhan Pneumonia] Taiwan Hsinchu Hospital Announcement: Patients with Suspected Cases in Emergency Have Visited Wuhan

[Wuhan pneumonia] The second case in Shanghai was confirmed in a 35-year-old man

[Wuhan pneumonia] 89-year-old man died of cumulative deaths increased to 4

Wuhan University of Pneumonia

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2020-01-21

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