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Winning the AMLO plane raffle is less likely to win the lottery ... or destroy a meteorite

2020-01-21T21:46:07.455Z


The Apocalypse is more likely to win that draw, according to a researcher. Also read how it compares to being attacked by a shark or struck by lightning.


"Who sent them to buy that plane, in which head it is possible to buy a very luxurious plane," Andrés Manuel López Obrador wondered Monday. The Mexican president wants to get rid of the Boeing 787 Dreamliner that his predecessors used to travel, and this week he has proposed five options, since the sale he launched a year ago has failed. "It is not an occurrence," he said of the most striking of them: a raffle among all Mexicans, in exchange for a $ 26 ticket, to win the plane.

How likely would you be in that case to win the presidential raffle?

"It is a little more than 2,000 times more likely that the apocalypse reaches Earth, for a specific person to win the presidential plane when they buy their little piece, " Professor Alfredo Sandoval Villabazo has calculated in an article on the University website Iberoamerican

The researcher has hypothesized the sale of six million tickets at a price of 500 pesos each (the equivalent of $ 26). The income in that case would be 160 million dollars, compared to the 130 million that López Obrador wants to obtain at least and the almost 230 that it cost.

The probability of winning the draw of one in six million, well below, explains the researcher, that of winning the Mexican lottery (it is 75 times easier to achieve the latter). Or that the Earth is destroyed by a meteorite.

Regarding the meteor, the researcher highlights that the space rock baptized as Bennu has a probability between 2,700 of crashing against our planet between the years 2169 and 2199, with a force equivalent to 80 million atomic bombs like the one detonated by the United States against the city Hiroshima Japanese during World War II.

The probability of winning the American Mega Millions lottery is one in 303 million; in the case of Powerball, it is one among 292 million. The possibility of being struck by lightning throughout his life is 1 in 15,000.

The chance of dying from a poisonous plant or animal is 1 in 45,000.

The possibility of having an appointment with one or a supermodel is 1 in 88,000.

The possibility of dying in a plane crash is 1 in 188,000.

And the possibility of being attacked by a shark is 1 in 3.7 million.

(Edited by Ivette Leyva)

Source: telemundo

All news articles on 2020-01-21

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