Instant international
Written by: Xu Yongan and Hu Longhua
2020-02-11 20:02
Last updated: 2020-02-11 20:02The "Wuhan pneumonia" epidemic in China has not shown "peaking" or showing signs of receding, but US President Donald Trump is the first to predict that the virus will weaken as the temperature warms and then disappear. But scientists commented on his speech and said that the virus may reappear in autumn and winter.
US President Trump tweeted on the 7th, praising Chinese President Xi Jinping for his “strong, rapid and powerful focus” on fighting the virus. He also added that he thinks Xi Jinping will succeed, "especially when the weather starts to warm and we hope the virus will weaken and then disappear."
He tweeted that "under Xi Jinping's strong leadership, China has a strong anti-epidemic discipline, which will be a very successful operation. We are working closely with China and providing assistance."
Trump also mentioned his phone conversation with Chinese President Xi Jinping on February 6. Trump said, "I want to tell people in this room that I talked to President Xi for a long time-two nights ago, and he felt very confident. He felt that, as I mentioned, in April Or during April, it gets hotter and generally kills the virus. "
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Corona virus seasonality is even more worrying, is Trump's claim correct? An infectious disease expert Amesh Adalja at the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in the Business Insider reported on February 8 that four species can spread among humans and cause Coronaviruses with minor colds, like colds, are seasonal. He said the new virus "may temper off as we pass spring and into summer."
Is that equivalent to the US president making expert predictions? Business Insider reported on the 11th that this does not mean that it will disappear forever, it is more like "retreating" in spring and summer and returning in autumn and winter.
"If you look at the orbit of the virus (2019 new coronavirus, 2019-nCoV) and how it spreads in the community, plus the fact that we deal with the coronavirus every year during the cold and cold season, those factors are Pointing at this coronavirus will turn into a seasonal virus. "
↓↓↓ Click on the picture below: The anti-epidemic ability of each mask:
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Warming virus slows down? Expert: Not sure
Dr. Peter Hotez, Dean of the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine in Texas, said: "It is reckless to assume that things will calm down in spring and summer. "We really don't understand the seasonal basis, and of course we absolutely don't know the virus," he said.
Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious disease expert at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, said of Trump's tweet: "His (Trump) hope is also our (scientist) hope" But he said scientists don't know if the virus will slow down in April and disappear afterwards.
"This is a respiratory virus, and we know that respiratory viruses are very seasonal, but not absolute. Someone would," said Schaffner, a longtime consultant at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Hopefully stepping into the spring will help to subdue the virus. But we are not sure. "
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