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5 conclusions of the New Hampshire Democratic primary

2020-02-12T10:31:13.669Z


In New Hampshire, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders got the televised celebration that escaped a week earlier. But once again, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, ...


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Why don't young people vote in the primary? 3:47

Nashua, New Hampshire (CNN) - In New Hampshire, Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders got the televised celebration that escaped a week earlier.

But once again, the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, Pete Buttigieg, made him sweat.

Sanders' victory solidified his career status as a national favorite, with his numbers in the polls and fundraising above those of his rivals. But Buttigieg tied with him in the New Hampshire delegate count, according to the CNN estimate, giving the former mayor a slight advantage in the general delegate count so far.

Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar achieved a third place much stronger than expected, which opens a new two-person career with Buttigieg down the moderate lane in the Democratic presidential primary.

Now, the race will move to Nevada and then to South Carolina, which places the diverse base of Latino and African-American voters in the party prominently.

Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden now have to regroup and discover how they can have a comeback in those states before the funds raised run out and the race for delegates is out of reach.

Here are five conclusions from Tuesday's primary in New Hampshire:

Sanders got what he needed

Sanders wins the Democratic primary in New Hampshire

Sanders did what he needed to do in New Hampshire: win.

There is no narrative war this time. The vote was simple and, although closed, decisive. The Sanders campaign got the celebration - and probably the fundraising boost that comes with a primetime victory speech - that was lost in Iowa.

Now they are going to Nevada, which could be their strongest state in the first four, after making some stops in the Super Martes states along the way.

If there is any cause for concern among Sanders supporters, it would be their margin of victory here. Sanders was never going to win by 22 percentage points, as he did in 2016, in such a deep field. But the strong demonstrations of Buttigieg and Klobuchar made it clear, if there was any doubt, that the moderate wing of the party is not ready to wave the white flag and campaign behind the Vermont senator.

On the other hand, Sanders will benefit from the continued viability of those moderates, who seem to be further from joining than last week. Add to that the specter of former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, who has been silently spending hundreds of millions of dollars on the states of the Super Martes, and an even deeper fragmentation of Sanders' opposition could be on the way.

Buttigieg's solid second place

Buttigieg, second in New Hampshire

Buttigieg and his top advisors wanted to stay from Sanders in New Hampshire and it seems they have succeeded.

“Here, in a state that follows the motto 'Live free or die', you decided, inserted that famous independent streak and, thanks to you, a campaign that some said should not be here at all, has shown that we are here to stay, ”Buttigieg said at his party Tuesday night.

The strong demonstration comes after the Iowa Democratic Party, despite the chaos that involved its process of party assemblies, said the former mayor received the majority of the state's national delegates.

The end of New Hampshire validates both Buttigieg's ability to receive attacks from his rivals, something that happened repeatedly in the last debate, and that his constant contrast to Sanders' promises of a "revolution" has resonated in most Democratic voters Moderate

"Vulnerable Americans cannot afford to seek ideological purity over an inclusive victory," Buttigieg said in a new line added to his speech.

Like Klobuchar, however, the most difficult part of Buttigieg's path to the candidacy is ahead of him.

For months, the mayor has said that the best way to win over Latino and black voters, two demographic groups that have fought mightily to influence them, was to show them that he was a winner in Iowa and New Hampshire.

As the race heads to the very diverse states of Nevada and South Carolina, the mayor has the opportunity to check it out.

Klobuchar has its moment

Amy Klobuchar achieves third place in New Hampshire

Klobuchar had had several powerful performances in the debates. But none like last Friday.

And by finishing in the top three in New Hampshire, Klobuchar can now confidently look at that debate as the highest point of his candidacy.

"Tonight in New Hampshire, while everyone had ruled us out even a week ago - thank you, experts - I came back and we complied," Klobuchar boasted on stage Tuesday, noting that some experts had anticipated that she would not pass from Iowa or arrive New Hampshire debate.

"And man, if we were in the debate in New Hampshire," Klobuchar said with a smile.

The final solid in New Hampshire is the moment that Klobuchar had missed for a year. He had had powerful performances in the debates in the past, but few had remained registered in the electorate. The difference with the contest last week was that this was the first in which voters should go to the polls days later.

The question now for Klobuchar is how to maintain this momentum.

Your campaign will probably receive much-needed funds, but the applicant lacks important organizations in Nevada or South Carolina and is beginning to change her focus to key contests that will be voted on March 3. And Klobuchar has not demonstrated the ability to win Latino or black voters, voter groups that will be key in the next two contests.

For now, however, Klobuchar remains on a wave after New Hampshire.

"We're on our way to Nevada," he said Tuesday, "because the best is yet to come!"

Bad night for Warren and Biden

Joe Biden over New Hampshire: This is not the end

Biden and Warren performed incredibly poorly, falling below the 15% threshold to win delegates in New Hampshire and ranking fourth and fifth, respectively.

And both offered advances in their speeches Tuesday night on how they will try to move forward.

Warren fired new and clear shots at Biden for an announcement with attacks directed at Buttigieg and Sanders for some of his supporters' tactics, complaining that "the fight between factions in our party has taken a sharp turn in recent weeks."

“These tough tactics could work if you're willing to burn the rest of the group to be the last man standing. They could work if you're not worried about leaving our party and our policy worse than you found it. They could work if you think that only you have all the answers and that you are the solution to all our problems, ”he said.

She continued: “But if we are going to beat Donald Trump in November, we are going to need great participation within our party, and to achieve that participation, we will need a candidate that the broadest coalition of our party feels he can support. We cannot afford to fall into factions. We cannot afford to waste our collective power. We will win when we join. ”

Biden, meanwhile, was already in South Carolina, insisting that the African-American voters who supported him are being ignored in a race for the candidacy that starts in two almost entirely white states.

Biden's campaign might not have known that a single-digit end was coming, but he knew that the former vice president was on his way to another difficult night. So he retired, jumping in a private plane on Tuesday night to South Carolina.

Unlike the crowd of about 100 people who stayed to listen to it by videoconferencing in Nashua, the Biden event in Columbia did not feature television screens. There were no live results that discouraged the crowd.

Now, Biden - for whom eligibility was a cover letter, until he began to lose the election - has to find a way to prevent his strong numbers among non-white voters from being affected by his bad start.

Biden, who told a crowd in Iowa a month ago that they had the "keys of the kingdom," made a new prediction in his video conference with Nashua: "We are going to win in Nevada and South Carolina."

Those who leave

Andrew Yang suspends campaign for Democratic nomination

The chaotic results in Iowa did not lighten the group of presidential candidates, but New Hampshire did eliminate several in the race.

Andrew Yang, the entrepreneur whose online “Yang Gang” (Yang gang) emerged as an impressive and dedicated support and fundraising force, retired as soon as the results of New Hampshire were announced. The proposal that encouraged his campaign was his impulse for a universal basic income, or a “liberty dividend” of US $ 1,000 per month, as explained by Yang.

Colorado Senator Michael Bennet also retired. He had been to New Hampshire and told a small group of supporters that "it is appropriate that we end the campaign tonight."

The former governor of Massachusetts, Deval Patrick, did not retire, but it seemed that his departure could arrive soon.

"Diane and I will go home and rest and reflect on this result and make some decisions tomorrow morning about what the future of this campaign can and should be," he said. "No matter what, the future of the cause endures."

N.H.

Source: cnnespanol

All news articles on 2020-02-12

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