The Limited Times

Now you can see non-English news...

Survey hammer: New election could completely change Landtag - Mohring with further consequences

2020-02-17T05:57:18.205Z


Two recent surveys show that a newly elected Thuringian state parliament would look very different. The AfD should look forward to another ballot.


Two recent surveys show that a newly elected Thuringian state parliament would look very different. The AfD should look forward to another ballot.

  • FDP politician Thomas Kemmerich was elected Prime Minister in Thuringia with AfD votes .
  • This outraged the entire Federal Republic. Subsequently Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (CDU) announced her waiver.
  • Current surveys show that the Thuringia disaster and the AKK shock primarily help one party.

Update February 14: CDU politician Mike Mohring takes further consequences after the election debacle in Thuringia: in addition to the group chairmanship, he also wants to give up the CDU state chairmanship. He said on Friday that he wanted to propose an early party congress with new elections to the state board, in which he would not stand again. "Our party needs pacification." He wanted to make his contribution to this.

CDU chair in Thuringia: vote of confidence over Mohring

Already last week the 21-member Erfurt CDU parliamentary group had agreed to a new election of their board at the end of May, at which Mohring should not run again. However, Mohring may have to give up the parliamentary group's chair much earlier: Eight Thuringian CDU state parliamentarians requested a vote of confidence on Mohring as a fraction leader on Friday. This will be voted on next Wednesday in the next regular parliamentary group meeting, as a spokesman said.

Another new poll meanwhile shows that a new election would be a disaster for the FDP. According to an Insa survey on behalf of the Funke media group, the party would fly out of the state parliament. The CDU also drops to only 14 percent. For this, Ramelows Linke head for around 40 percent. A total of 57 percent of Thuringians want the dissolution of the state parliament and new elections.

There also appears to be a “Thuringia effect” in the Hamburg elections.

Survey after election disaster in Thuringia: Clear majority wants new elections

Update from February 12 at 11:34 a.m .: After a poll was announced on Tuesday, which mainly affects the AfD, the question also arises in Thuringia: new elections or not? If you ask the population of Thuringia , the answer is relatively clear: 63 percent of them are, according to a survey by Infratest dimap, for new elections . This applies to the survey, which was commissioned by the MDR, for supporters of almost all parties. They are also in favor of the parliament being dissolved as soon as possible in order to clear the way for new elections.

But the six parliamentary groups are hesitant - ex-Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow (left) is striving for a red-red-green coalition rather than a rash new election. His re-election seems relatively likely after the election scandal last week.

In Berlin, meanwhile, everything revolves around the question of Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer's successor. The CDU leader announced her resignation on Monday and the race for party chairmanship and the Federal Chancellery is already in full swing. Among others, favorites include Friedrich Merz and Armin Laschet *.

Survey hammer in Thuringia: Almost every second German expects AfD government participation

Update at 1:47 p.m .: While current voter surveys are probably driving the sweat beads on the forehead of the CDU and FDP politicians, the next shock poll is coming, this time from the opinion research institute YouGov. As a result , almost every second German (48 percent) expects the AfD to be involved in a state or even federal government over the next ten years. Only 29 percent of the respondents do not see the AfD in government responsibility until 2030.

A good quarter of Germans (26 percent) would find it okay for the YouGov survey if the AfD were involved in a state government. And 19 percent would have no problem seeing the AfD sitting in a federal government. But a clear majority of 59 percent fundamentally rejects government participation by the right-wing party .

Survey hammer in Thuringia: completely new majorities - two parties lose dramatically

Update from February 11, 8.50 a.m .: The disaster surrounding the election of the prime minister in Thuringia and the surprising declaration of resignation by CDU boss Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer has so far been used primarily by the left. The clear losers are the CDU and the FDP. This is the result of current surveys. According to the latest Sunday question ("Who would you vote for next Sunday if there was a state election?") According to Infratest, the party Die Linke is 39 percent.

The CDU fell from 29 percent in October 2018 to a disastrous 13 percent. According to these results, "Today Journal" head Wulf Schmiese on ZDF makes a grim forecast for the CDU. The FDP , on the other hand, loses only slightly, sinks to four percent and would probably no longer move into the state parliament in the case of new elections.

The SPD recorded a slight gain of around one to two percent to a total of ten. Regardless of the events, the AfD remains stable at 24 percent. The election of the party did no harm. But there is also no benefit.

The events in Thuringia and their consequences were also dealt with in “Hart but fair” in Monday. And even the selection of the talk guests caused some outrage.

Update from February 8, 1:02 p.m .: After the scandal surrounding the election of the FDP politician Thomas Kemmerich as Thuringian prime minister, the liberals across the country fell in favor with voters . Between Monday and Wednesday, the Forsa Institute determined a value of ten percent for the FDP. After the Prime Minister election on Wednesday, only five percent of those questioned said that they would vote for the FDP if there was a general election on Sunday.

The second big loser in the survey is the AfD . Right-wing populists had a stable rate of eleven percent by midweek. On Thursday and Friday, only nine percent of those surveyed said they voted for the party - the worst value in a Forsa survey since mid-September 2017.

As a result, the events in Erfurt have no impact on the survey values ​​of the Union. As in previous weeks, it remained at 28 percentage points. The SPD and the Left improved in the second half of the week by two points each, the SPD from 13 to 15 percent and the Left from eight to ten percent. The Greens recorded a slight improvement nationwide from 23 to 24 percent.

At the same time, the resentment that Kemmerich could only become prime minister with the help of AfD deputies and accepted the election led to a clear mobilization of the citizens. From Monday to Wednesday, the proportion of non-voters and undecided was 24 percent, as in the previous week. On Thursday and Friday, this proportion fell by seven points to 17 percent.

After the Thuringian earthquake: Is there another electoral debacle at hand in new elections? Concussive survey for CDU

First report from February 6: Erfurt - After the fiasco in the Prime Minister election in Thuringia, which caused horrified reactions nationwide *, a survey quake has now shaken the Thuringian CDU. If there were new elections in the state, the CDU would lose as much as ten percent of its votes and thus only get 12 percent , a Forsa survey conducted on behalf of RTL and ntv . This result is particularly fatal given the fact that the election result of just under 22 percent last autumn was a bitter setback for the Thuringian CDU.

Survey quake in Thuringia: CDU wants to avoid new elections and goes into confrontation with AKK

In the light of such poll values, it is no longer surprising that the party, led by Mike Mohring *, apparently wants to avoid new elections at all costs . At a crisis meeting on Friday night, they even accepted a confrontation with the federal CDU , represented personally by CDU chief Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer . You can read about how the situation is developing within the CDU in our news ticker.

+

After the election of the Prime Minister Thuringia

© dpa / Martin Schutt

But not only the CDU emerged as the big loser of the political quake in Thuringia. According to the Forsa survey, the events in the election of the prime minister also have drastic consequences for the FDP . So the party of Christian Lindner and Thomas Kemmerich * would not make it into the Thuringian state parliament with an immediate new election. While she had narrowly narrowed the 5 percent hurdle in the last election in October, she would now only get four percent of the vote - and thus fly upright from the state parliament. FDP federal leader Christian Lindner has already drawn consequences from the events in the prime minister election * and wants to ask the question of trust at a special meeting of the party board on Friday. Previously, he had possible arrangements for dealing with AfD votes in the prime ministerial election, of which Business Insider reported, denied on Twitter.

Regarding today's reporting by @BIDeutschland (Business Insider), we note: At no time did the FDP party chairman, @c_lindner, internally or publicly approve of any kind of cooperation with the AfD. #Thuringia

- FDP (@fdp) February 6, 2020

Survey quake in Thuringia: The left are the big winner - red-red-green government would be possible again

But the election debacle in Thuringia apparently also produced a big winner : According to the Forsa survey, the left under former Prime Minister Bodo Ramelow * grew by six percent to a total of 37 percent . It is also particularly noteworthy that after the events in Thuringia, a red-red-green government alliance according to survey values ​​would be possible again . Because Ramelow's previous coalition partners SPD and Greens also saw slight gains . The 37 percent of the Left Party together with the nine percentage points of the SPD and the seven percent of the Greens would give a majority of 53 percent .

The AfD also recorded an increase in votes in the current Forsa survey - but only to a very moderate extent. It would increase from 23.4 percent to 24 percent previously.

After the scandal in Thuringia, leading federal politicians quickly made it clear that they principally ruled out cooperation with the AfD. A poll now revealed that the FDP voters surprisingly see it differently. The consequences of the Thuringian government crisis are also the subject of "Anne Will" on February 16.

dpa / cia

* Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen Digital editors network.

List of rubric lists: © dpa / Bodo Schackow

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-02-17

You may like

News/Politics 2024-02-24T14:42:52.523Z
News/Politics 2024-02-09T06:34:10.014Z

Trends 24h

Latest

© Communities 2019 - Privacy

The information on this site is from external sources that are not under our control.
The inclusion of any links does not necessarily imply a recommendation or endorse the views expressed within them.