"Israel Today" poll and i24NEWS using "brainstorm" reveals: The public shows no interest • Among Likud supporters, only 65% are sure they will vote • Only 50% of right-wing supporters are indifferent to Ashkenazi recordings: 70% said their exposure You will not influence their vote, only 9% said you will make an impact
Only 10 days before the Knesset elections and the mandate map remains in view. Neither party has a majority of 61 for forming a government, and even if this time all the party leaders stand talking and do not sit with each other, we are probably heading for a fourth election campaign.
Courtesy of the open studio Channel 20
A poll of "brainstorms" conducted for "Israel Today" and the i24NEWS television station revealed this week that if the elections were held today, the 56-seat right-wing bloc would have 44 seats, the center-left bloc 44, and in support of the joint list - 57. 7 seats. If Gantz wants to form a government with only the Jewish parties, while relying on the absence of the joint list, the center-left bloc and Lieberman together will appoint only 51 seats, less than the right-wing bloc, so at present it seems that without active support from the Arab MKs, Gantz cannot obtain a majority. To form a government.
The turnout will be decisive
Because the situation is stuck in terms of the mandate map, the survey examined the degree of security of voting participation - a figure that may prove decisive in the moment of truth. The poll shows that only 62% are sure to vote in Election Day. Another 24% estimated that they would vote with great certainty. It is precisely those who define themselves as secular will probably come at higher rates for polling stations: 71% of those who define themselves as such say they will surely vote. They are followed by national-religious, among whom 61% are confident of voting, traditional (60%), ultra-Orthodox and ultra-Orthodox (57%) and Arabs (51%).
Among party supporters, Labor-Bridge-Meretz voters appear to be most committed: 85% of them are confident they will be at the ballot box. Shas in second place (78%), followed by Torah Jewry (76%). Of blue-white supporters and Jewish power, 75% found it a vote of confidence.
Among Likud supporters, this rate stands at 65% (on the Likud program for removal of supporters to the polls, see p. 07). Right-wing voters, the survey found, turn out to be the most frivolous: Only 50% of supporters in the list said they would come to the polls for sure.
The mandates map has no major changes, as mentioned, but only moves within the bloc. Blue and white rose in two seats compared to the previous poll, to 36 seats. Likud - in one, to 33. Shas, the Labor Bridge, Meretz and the Right, each with eight mandates. % Only.
Netanyahu leads respectively
On the question of whether the prime minister is fit, the gap is maintained. Benny Gantz receives 35% support, compared to Netanyahu who receives 45%. Another 20% said they did not know.
The survey asked the extent of the possible impact of Ashkenazi recordings from the Harpaz affair. When asked whether the exposure will affect voting intent, 70% responded that it would not. 9% said you would make an impact, but precisely in the direction of strengthening their choice. Only 1% said the affair might make them look for a new political home.
As for a televised showdown between the candidates, which Netanyahu suggested this week: 50% of the public said they were in favor of the confrontation. Only 13% said they did not want it, while 37% said they had no opinion. 62% of Likud voters want a confrontation, and 42% of voters, who constitute a majority, said so, and only 21% said they did not want a confrontation.
The survey was conducted among 506 respondents who constitute a representative sample of the adult population with voting rights in Israel.
/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/prisa/75Z2EBZT7SHOQ5OETHNJVFN22A.jpg)
