Hamburg election 2020: result is there - unexpected outcome for AfD and FDP

2020-02-23T22:27:11.374Z

The 2020 citizenship election in Hamburg is about who will lead the future government in the Hanseatic city. All information from the election day here in the live ticker.

In the 2020 elections in Hamburg, voters voted for their new state parliament.
The first mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) should remain in office according to the first projections.
The CDU received its worst country result in 70 years. FDP and AfD are concerned about remaining in the citizenship.

11:20 p.m .: Now there is a first result of the Hamburg election: As the regional election management reports, the Social Democrats come to 39.0 percent after simplified counting of the votes cast for the parties on the state lists. AfD and FDP would therefore remain in the citizenship with 5.3 and 5.0 percent respectively. The Greens would be the second strongest force at 24.2, the CDU at 11.2 and the left at 9.1 percent. A preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening.

Hamburg election 2020: waiting for the result - one party must continue to tremble

10.45 p.m .: The next projection from Hamburg is available. The AfD figures from infratest dimap should give cause for joy: the party is now at 5.3 percent, and it is becoming increasingly clear that it will re-enter citizenship . The situation with the FDP is different - the liberals remain at 5.0 percent, they must continue to tremble. Possibly similar to that in Thuringia, even up to a second count of votes. However, there is no official information on this yet.

A result was announced by the Statistical Office for Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein for 10.30 p.m. So far, the authority has not provided any definitive figures.

10:20 pm: “Anne Will” in the first is currently debating the Hamburg elections. The most important comments from Robert Habeck, Norbert Röttgen and Co. can be found in our ticker for the broadcast.

10:16 p.m .: The Hamburg citizens' election on Sunday was not only a bitter experience for the CDU, FDP and AfD - a voter was faced with uncomfortable hurdles when it came to voting.

Turn in the Hamburg election? Weidel celebrates, FDP again threatened to be a long time

9.49 p.m .: According to the latest projections, the trembling part of the Thuringian state election could repeat itself for the FDP : ARD and infratest dimap continue to see the party at 5.0 percent - according to election moderator Jörg Schönenborn even 5.00 percent. The AfD, on the other hand, continues to head for Hamburg citizens. It is currently estimated at 5.2 percent. Bundestag faction leader Alice Weidel already wrote in a tweet about "today's re-entry".

The FDP is concerned about re-entering parliament in the Hamburg elections.

9:17 p.m .: There are first press comments on the Hamburg elections - the reactions for the CDU are sometimes devastating.

9:02 pm: An interesting side aspect of the citizenship election : The first voters in Hamburg showed a clear preference on Sunday. The Greens account for 36 percent of their votes , according to an evaluation by the Infratest dimap institute for the ARD. The SPD follows in second place with 24 percent, the left receives 13 percent. According to this, seven percent of the first voters vote for the FDP - significantly more than the party as a whole is projected.

The CDU only gets six percent of the votes among the first-time voters, the AfD only records two percent of the votes, as can be seen from the age group survey. All citizens aged 16 and over were admitted to the Hamburg elections. The Hanseatic city had already lowered the voting age in 2013 in order to involve young people more in politics.

Citizenship election in Hamburg: AfD see further projections above the five percent hurdle

8:55 p.m .: The latest ARD projection now sees the AfD above the five percent hurdle - 5.1 percent are given as the current status. This would put the party ahead of the FDP, which remains at 5.0 percent. The ZDF currently leads the AfD and the FDP equally at exactly five percent each. By the way, the first tangible results have been announced by the State Office at 10.30 p.m.

8:50 p.m .: A topic on this election evening is also the coverage of the major television stations : While ARD man Jörg Schönenborn soberly announced the numbers of the first forecast at 6:00 p.m., there was suddenly cheers in the studio. Even an n-tv reporter was not particularly neutral about the result.

Hamburg election 2020: unexpected turn for FDP and AfD?

8:38 pm: Is there still a turning point for the AfD and FDP ? An extrapolation from the Statistical Office for Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein could indicate this. The Office submitted a projection at 20.02 after counting 37.7 percent of the voting districts, which the AfD sees at 5.6 percent and the FDP at 5.1 percent . This would move both parties into citizenship.

But still reason to be happy? AfD top candidate Dirk Nockemann on Sunday at his party's election party.

Otherwise, this survey shows those tendencies that were most recently recognizable in the projections by ARD (infratest dimap) and ZDF (research group elections): the SPD is approaching the 40 percent mark (currently 39.6 percent), the Greens are emerging "Only" 23.6 percent . In the first forecast of the TV stations, the Greens were still well above 25 percent.

Election in Hamburg: no seat for CDU top candidate Weinberg?

8:28 p.m .: Top CDU candidate Marcus Weinberg does not rule out staying in Berlin after the state elections and continuing to exercise his Bundestag mandate - such a decision would obviously not be entirely voluntary.

Due to the complicated Hamburg electoral system, it is conceivable that in the end the CDU will only move into the citizenship with electoral mandates, says Weinberg in the NDR. This would prevent him from being the highest placed list candidate. Weinberg demands that one has to think about a change in the electoral system. This is also in the interests of many voters. If he does move into the citizenship, he will take on the task, he explains - promises must be kept.

2020 citizenship election in Hamburg: New projections - AfD and FDP hope and fear

8:16 pm: The ZDF has now also submitted a new projection . The numbers largely coincide with those of the ARD. Here, too, the SPD is growing, the FDP (5.0 percent) and AfD (4.9) must or may continue to fear and hope to gain entry into the citizenship.

8:00 p.m .: Things are moving slowly: another projection from Hamburg has been published. According to figures from infratest dimap / ARD, the SPD can once again grow significantly , also at the expense of the Greens. The Social Democrats now come to 38.6 percent, the Greens to 24.8. The AfD is getting a little closer to the five percent hurdle - 4.9 percent is currently on book. There is no new data from ZDF and the research group elections.

Elections in Hamburg: first projections are available - AfD threatens to leave parliament

7:25 p.m .: The first projections from Hamburg are now available. The figures do not differ too much from the 6:00 p.m. forecast. The most important finding is that the AfD is actually threatening to leave the citizenship . The party still sees the projection of infratest dimap at 4.7 percent. The FDP remains at 5.0 percent. The numbers of the current projections at a glance:

ARD / infratest dimap: SPD 37.6 percent (-8.0) / Greens 25.4 (+ 13.1) / CDU 11.4 (-4.5) / Left 9.1 (+ 0.6) / FDP 5.0 (-2.4) / AfD 4.7 (-1.4)

ZDF / Research Group Elections: SPD 37.8 percent (-7.8) / Greens 25.4 (+13.1) / CDU 11.3 (-4.6) / Left 9.5 (+ 1.0) / FDP 5.0 (-2.4) / AfD 4.7 (-1.4)

19:23: The Hamburg AfD top candidate Dirk Nockemann sees the possible withdrawal of his party from the citizenship as "the result of a maximum exclusion campaign". The Hamburg-based AfD has long been consistently at seven to eight percent in surveys, said Nockemann on Sunday evening in the Norddeutscher Rundfunk. "Then it went down to Thuringia," he added.

With regard to the apparently racially motivated attack in Hesse, he said that "after Hanau, it was pretended that the AfD had its finger on the trigger". "It is unbearable what has happened here in Hamburg in the past three days," he said with regard to hostility towards his party. "This campaign was designed to take away the essential percentage points." In a survey published on Sunday, 60 percent of the respondents consider the AfD to be jointly responsible for the apparently racially motivated attack in Hesse.

Cheers about a nationwide demolition of the rising AfD results would be premature, meanwhile commented the Munich Merkur *.

2020 Citizenship Election in Hamburg: Bitter loss for CDU, FDP and AfD - a consequence of Thuringia?

7:13 p.m .: Left Party, SPD and Greens in Thuringia also see the Hamburg election result as a consequence of the events in their state. "The heavy losses for the CDU, FDP and AfD show how much the voters are punishing the breaking of the taboo on February 5 at the ballot box," said Susanne Hennig-Wellsow, Thuringia's left-wing state chairwoman, in the evening in Erfurt.

"The citizens of Hamburg showed the right-wing populists the red card and also made it clear to the FDP that there should be no indirect cooperation with this party," explains Thuringia's SPD leader Wolfgang Tiefensee. "The result of the AfD shows that machinations are condemned by the voters at the expense of democracy," said the Thuringian Greens chairmen Ann-Sophie Bohm-Eisenbrandt and Bernhard Stengele.

7:06 p.m .: The CDU would also be ready for a red-black alliance in Hamburg . "We do not rule it out," it is about setting the course for Hamburg, says top candidate Marcus Weinberg on ZDF: "We are ready for talks." However, the ball was in the SPD field.

The round of top candidates in the ZDF election program also ventured initial analyzes: Thuringia was “a heavy mortgage,” says FDP politician Anna-Elisabeth von Treuenfels Frowein. The result also has something “to do with Hanau and Thuringia,” assumes left front woman Cansu Özdemir.

7:00 p.m .: Meanwhile , the first projection is still a long time coming. ARD and ZDF had expected the first numbers around 7:00 p.m. to 7:15 p.m. The reason for the late publication of the first counting evaluations was the complicated Hamburg election system.

18:57: SPD top candidate Peter Tschentscher has the first forecasts positive as expected. If the “result is confirmed”, you can be satisfied. At the same time, the possible resignation of the AfD from the citizenship is a "great message that comes from Hamburg." His first choice for the future is a red-green coalition , he explains. However, other alliances are also possible.

The SPD celebrates the result of the Hamburg elections

Citizenship election in Hamburg 2020: FDP fears and looks for reasons - "Thuringia was quite important"

6:51 p.m .: FDP leader Christian Lindner was considered ailing even before the first forecasts were announced - also due to his role in the Thuringian prime minister election . When asked by ZDF presenter Bettina Schausten , however, he rejected that he had "washed too long" in the Thuringia case. It is true that Hamburg was a difficult place for the FDP even before Thuringia. The head-to-head race of the SPD and the Greens cost the liberals, Lindner speculates.

"No legend building" Lindner asked when asked whether the FDP had received a receipt for supporting AfD advances. In the past, Hamburg had supported "harmless AfD applications", for example on the subject of cigarette butts on sidewalks - but: "This will not happen again" after "Erfurt and the cunning of the AfD", emphasizes the FDP leader. "Even with harmless applications from the AfD" there will be no more approval from the FDP.

Earlier, Lindner had said at the FDP election party in Berlin that the party needed "strong nerves" again this evening. A result like in Hamburg is "a defeat" for the FDP.

Christian Lindner speaks at the election party of the federal FDP in the Hans-Dietrich-Genscher-Haus.

6.43 p.m .: Hamburg's FDP leader Katja Suding shares the events in Thuringia for the weak performance of her party. “We already know the first numbers that show that this was of great importance to our voters. That is why it was very important that we in Hamburg clearly distanced ourselves from the events in Thuringia, ”says Suding in the NDR.

6.30 p.m .: The Green Katharina Fegebank sees on the ARD microphone a "very clear mandate from voters that it should go on like this" - the Greens have been governing with the SPD since 2015.

According to the latest figures, the party is the only one in Hamburg's citizenship that has grown significantly. The eco party can wave 20 additional seats; the left could win a mandate. At the same time, the Greens in Hamburg posted their second best result in state elections.

18:26: CDU General Secretary Paul Ziemiak finds clear words in Berlin for the emerging election result: It was a " bitter day for the CDU Germany " and "a historically bad election result" for the Hamburg CDU. The events in Thuringia did not help the Hamburg CDU to point out their programmatic points, he states.

You can also find further reactions to the Hamburg election result in this overview at Merkur.de *.

Hamburg election 2020: Kipping sees clap for "Kemmerich coalition" - CDU with historically poor results

6.15 p.m .: Left-wing leader Katja Kipping interprets the result as a punishment for those parties who "vote with the AfD in case of doubt" - of course an allusion to the events in Thuringia. "The Kemmerich coalition has lost," she says to comrades in Berlin. In fact, according to the first forecasts, the CDU, FDP and AfD only get around 21 percent of the vote. Until 2008, conservative to right-wing forces in Hamburg regularly had more than 50 percent of the vote. In 2001, the Schill party had received almost 20 percent. Compared to the previous state election, the cumulative loss of the CDU, FDP and AfD is currently “only” around eight percentage points.

6:14 p.m .: According to the latest figures, the CDU is slipping to its nationwide worst result in state elections in almost 70 years.

6.10 p.m .: For comparison, the numbers of the first forecast of the ZDF or the research group elections: Here the SPD comes to 38.0 percent, the Greens to 25.5. The CDU is slightly weaker than the ARD (11.0 percent). The FDP is also 5.0 percent, the AfD slightly better than in the figures from infratest dimap, but also below the five percent hurdle (4.8 percent).

6:08 p.m .: Green top candidate Katharina Fegebank shows up at her party's election party at Club Knust in Hamburg-St. Despite the clear second place, Pauli is satisfied: "I am totally touched," she says. CDU top candidate Marcus Weinberg speaks openly to his party friends about a "bad result".

Marcus Weinberg at the CDU election party.

Citizenship election 2020 in Hamburg: SPD can choose between Greens and CDU

6:05 pm: Mathematically, it would be possible for the SPD both a renewed alliance with the Greens and a shift to a “grand coalition” - which, of course, no longer deserves the name in Hamburg given the CDU result. Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz is already giving the direction at the ARD microphone: A coalition that enjoys as much trust among the population as red-green has priority in the negotiations, says Peter Tschentscher's predecessor. Nevertheless, the decision of the Hamburg SPD is incumbent.

6:03 p.m .: The Greens should see the result with a laughing and a crying eye: on the one hand, the eco-party has more than doubled compared to the 2015 mayoral election - on the other hand, Katharina Fegebank's grip on the post of mayor has failed comparatively clearly.

Election in Hamburg: FDP and AfD must fear for citizenship - CDU punished again

6:02 p.m .: It already seems clear: Peter Tschentscher (SPD) may well defend the office as the first mayor. The CDU receives a bitter slag. The FDP has to worry about moving into the citizenship - it already looks comparatively bleak for the AfD .

6:01 p.m .: Here is the first forecast based on figures from infratest dimap on behalf of the ARD: SPD: 37.5 / Greens: 25.5 / CDU: 11.5 / Left: 9.0 / FDP: 5.0 / AfD: 4 , 7 / other: 6.8

Citizenship election in Hamburg: provisional final result probably not until Monday

17:56: In a few minutes there are first forecasts from Hamburg . Hamburgers will have to wait a long time for the preliminary official final result . Due to the complicated electoral system, there will probably only be one on Monday evening. The first projections are also not expected until 7.15 p.m.

After the polling stations have closed, only the votes for the parties will be counted on the state ballots, so that only the expected distribution of the 121 citizenship seats among the parties will be known by late Sunday evening. How these votes are distributed among the individual candidates on the state lists is determined by recounting the state ballot papers, which begins on Monday morning together with that of the constituency ballot papers.

5.44 p.m .: At the CDU , the anticipation for the announcement of the first forecasts should be rather low. In the polls, the Christian Democrats have been descending steadily since the end of 2019 - most recently, only twelve percent of those surveyed stated that they wanted to vote for the party of top candidate Marcus Weinberg. A remarkable failure story could thus continue: In February 2008, the CDU still held 42.6 percent of the vote in the general election. Since then, the party may have lost nearly three-quarters of its voters, the latest polls agree.

Public election in Hamburg: AfD is also afraid - election calls on Twitter

5:32 p.m .: The election results of the AfD are also looked forward to in Hamburg . In contrast to the past state elections, the right-wing populist party in the Hanseatic city is likely to have to struggle to jump over the five percent hurdle. The latest surveys saw the AfD in 5-6 percent of the vote.

Politicians and activists are campaigning for the ballot box on Twitter - with the declared aim of keeping the AfD out of the public. "It has never been easier to kick the AfD out of a parliament - when many vote democratically and anti-fascistly," wrote SPD vice -president Kevin Kühnert . Even the AfD itself is apparently not sure of moving in: the party needs “every vote,” tweeted MP Bundestag member Stephan Brandner at 5 p.m.

Ass up, #Hamburg. It has never been easier to kick the #AfD out of a parliament - when many vote democratically and anti-fascist. Spread the word! pic.twitter.com/AHTIq1d23e

- Kevin Kuehnert (@KuehniKev) February 23, 2020

5.20 p.m .: There is a clear increase in voter turnout in the Hamburg state elections . By 4 p.m., 57 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, as the state election management announced. In the 2015 general election, an hour later, at 5:00 p.m., only 52.3 percent of those entitled to vote had voted. In the end, the stake was 56.5 percent, the lowest level since 1949. The polling stations close at 6 p.m.

Hamburg's first mayor Peter Tschentscher cast his vote in the morning.

Citizenship election Hamburg shortly after Thuringia: Does the voter penalty for Lindner and the FDP follow?

4:41 pm: The FDP has to tremble this evening to re-enter the Hamburg citizenship . According to the ZDF Politbarometer , the liberals currently have five percent. A pretty tight forecast. In 2105 the FDP in Hamburg still had 7.4 percent. If the FDP does not make it into the citizenship, this can be seen as a penalty for the voters for the election debacle in Thuringia . Not only had the FDP candidate Thomas Kemmerich been elected to the prime ministerial office with AfD votes. Even today, the role of FDP leader Christian Lindner does not seem very clear. Lindner had repeatedly apologized for the debacle and his first reaction to it. But in Hamburg it currently does not look as if the FDP and he could pull themselves out of the affair so easily.

4.10 p.m .: Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD), the former Mayor of Hamburg, has unexpectedly made his way to the Hanseatic city. The Hamburg election 2020 coincides with the closing day of the G20 finance ministerial meeting in Riyadh. From there, Scholz embarked on the journey home early, as the Handelsblatt reports. To justify his return trip to Hamburg, he therefore said succinctly: "Because I live there." The Vice Chancellor probably wants the expected election victory of his successor Dr. Celebrate Peter Tschentscher (also SPD) together with his Hamburg party friends.

3:05 p.m .: What does the election mean for the CDU and FDP ? According to the current state of affairs, the two parties face the next catastrophe after the election debacle in Thuringia . According to the latest forecast, the FDP could even fall below the five percent hurdle. That would be fatal and could also mean the end for Linder as head of the FDP. According to surveys, the CDU is also on a worse course than ever in Hamburg with 12 percent.

Hamburg election: turnout is very high

2:59 p.m .: There is greater participation in the Hamburg elections than in the election five years ago. By 2:00 p.m., 46.4 percent of those entitled to vote cast their votes, as the state election office announced. Up to that point, 38.5 percent of those eligible to vote had voted in the 2015 general election. In 2015, voter turnout had dropped to a historic low of 56.5 percent. State election manager Oliver Rudolf had expressed confidence that this time the participation would increase to over 60 percent. How the Hamburgers chose will be seen in the first forecast at 6 p.m.

Hamburg election 2020: is there a green miracle? CDU and FDP face bitter day

Hamburg - What are the effects of political events across Germany on the 2020 Hamburg election ? This question is likely to move at least some of the major parties in advance, because the current situation has become very complicated for some of those involved before the citizens' election. The CDU and the FDP in particular have come under pressure. And that while they had to expect a difficult starting point in the Hanseatic city anyway.

+++ Here you will find an overview of all results, profits and losses on election evening +++

Hamburg election 2020: How will the CDU crisis affect?

The power struggle broke out in the CDU. It is clear that Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer will hand over the party presidency - several possible successors have already expressed public interest in the post. The conditions for Marcus Weinberg, top candidate of the CDU in Hamburg , are therefore anything but rosy. When it comes to his party, shortly before the election the focus is often on the federal political actors. A few weeks earlier, the CDU's poll values of 12 to 13 percent looked better by several percentage points in Hamburg.

The problems were triggered about three weeks before the Hamburg election by the scandal in the Thuringian state parliament. An FDP prime minister, who was elected with the votes of the CDU and AfD, became a scandal and even now the crisis in Thuringia continues and casts its shadow as far as Hamburg . The Liberals in Hamburg could also suffer damage. In mid-February, they were located for the first time in the months before the election by a large survey institute below the five percent hurdle . It is human judgment that there could be a conservative coalition after the 2020 elections in Hamburg . The AfD and the Left should each move into the citizenship with a single-digit result.

Hamburg, listen to the @hochbahn! # Go vote # Citizenship election pic.twitter.com/v6FgzCDOd1

- Alph Morgen (@Alph_Morgen) February 22, 2020

The last forecasts before the 2020 general election in Hamburg

Everything indicates that a red-green coalition is getting the majority in Hamburg. The SPD with its incumbent First Mayor Dr. Peter Tschentscher predicted a result well over 30 percent . Together with the Greens , whose poll values fluctuated between 23 and 29 percent, a completely stable majority is foreseeable. On the evening of the election, however, the question of whether the Greens can catch up will be exciting. In individual cases, they were located at or near the SPD in 2020. In the Hamburg election , Katharina Fegebank * still has a chance to become the green first mayor. The race at the top focuses on these two candidates and the result of the SPD and Greens.

Who will become head of government after the Hamburg election? Katharina Fegebank demands Dr. Peter Tschentscher out.

First result of the citizenship election in Hamburg can be expected on Sunday

The first forecasts of the electoral research institutes will appear as usual at 6:00 p.m. on Sunday . At this time it will probably be indicated whether Dr. Peter Tschentscher or Katharina Fegebank can prevail. Subsequently, the polling stations that have already been counted in are gradually included in the projections until a preliminary result of the citizens' election in Hamburg is available later in the evening.

Service for the Hamburg election 2020: Latest information for voters on Sunday

Anyone who is allowed to vote in Hamburg and is still undecided can also ask the Wahl-O-Mat for Hamburg directly before going to the polling station. The online tool compares the election programs of the parties that run in the Hanseatic city. This way, each user can determine which parties they have the most in common with.

You will also find further information on voting papers, postal voting and your election notification here.

* Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-02-23