[Diamond Princess] Daily analysis card 80-year-old Hong Kong Weng may not be an expert on drug sowing

01 Investigation

Written by: Li Yinglin

2020-02-25 19:26

The first diagnosed diamond princess, 80-year-old Hong Kong passenger Wu Bo, recently accepted an exclusive interview with "Hong Kong 01" and denied that it was the source of the disease on board. Japanese government data also showed that on the day of Wu Boden's ship (ie, 12 days before his diagnosis) People are already sick.

Infectious and infectious disease specialist Zeng Yin analyzed Japanese data and pointed out that Wu Bo may not be the source of transmission on the Princess Diamond, but may be infected on the ship. For the outbreak on the cruise ship, Zeng Qiyin proposed three possibilities.

Diamond Bo, the first 80-year-old Hong Kong passenger who was diagnosed with Wuhan pneumonia, previously denied an exclusive interview with "Hong Kong 01" and denied that he was the source of the shipborne poison. (Profile picture / Photo by Liang Zurao)

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Japanese data indicates that someone was sick on the day Wu Bo got on board

The National Institute of Infectious Diseases, an agency of the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan, released the Diamond Princess data on the Internet last Wednesday (19th), showing that the day Wu Bo boarded the cruise ship (January 20), there were more than one passenger on board. Symptoms did not begin until February 6th. Infectious and infectious disease specialist Zeng Qiyin estimated that the virus was carried on board by passengers.

According to data released by the National Institute of Infectious Diseases of Japan's Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare last week, more than one passenger became ill on the day that Wu Bo boarded the cruise ship (January 20). (Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare)

In the case of Wu Bo, the Center for Health Protection once said that he had a cough when traveling in Japan on the 19th (the day before he boarded the ship), but before Wu Bo's illness, more than one person on the ship had the disease. Zeng Qiyin reasoned that Wu Bo may not be the source of transmission, but he is more likely to be infected by passengers who have become ill earlier and become the "first generation infected" on board.

Infectious and Infectious Disease Doctors: Passengers or a party before getting on board

Zeng Qiyin bluntly said that there is no such thing as the floor plan of the cruise ship, the records of the facilities visited by the diagnosed persons on board, and the contact records. It is difficult to infer what is the relationship between people with the disease on different days. analysis. However, regarding the outbreak of the epidemic on board, Zeng Qiyin proposed three possibilities.

Someone on the boat got sick before Wu Bo. Zeng Qiyin speculated that Wu Bo may not be the source of transmission, but more likely to be the "first generation infected" on board. (Profile picture / Photo by Yu Ruijing)

For one possibility, Zeng Qiyin pointed out that the virus was transmitted to other people by the passengers who became sick on January 20, which eventually caused an outbreak of the epidemic. The second possibility is that different passengers may be in different places before boarding the ship. Infected and spread on board.

The last possibility comes from Japanese data showing that only passengers became ill before February 6, Zeng Qiyin speculated that it might be that individual passengers had met at the same place before boarding the boat and returned to the boat after being infected with the virus. However, due to the different incubation period, They developed illnesses one after another on board.

Infectious and infectious disease specialist Zeng Yin pointed out that there is not much information about the floor plan of the cruise ship, the on-board facilities and contact records visited by the diagnosed persons, and it is difficult to make epidemiological analysis. (Profile picture / photo by Lao Minyi)

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