Hamburg election: So the CDU wants to react after the disaster result

The CDU and FDP crashed in the 2020 elections in Hamburg. The liberals have even landed below five percent. All information about the choice in the ticker.

• In the 2020 elections in Hamburg, voters voted for their new state parliament.
• The first mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) should remain in office according to the first projections.
• The CDU received its worst country result in 70 years. The FDP failed at the five percent hurdle.

Update from February 27, 9:55 p.m .:

Hamburg

CDU state chairman Roland Heintze

and top candidate Marcus Weinberg have assumed responsibility for the slump in the election of the citizens - but ruled out direct personnel consequences. Heintze spoke at a party conference on Thursday evening in view of the 11.2 percent of a "bitter" election result, Weinberg of a "bad". Changes also of a personal nature are necessary, said Heintze, but warned against "rapid fire".

After the election disaster, personnel consequences on the state board and at the top of the parliamentary group were requested, among others by former mayor Christoph Ahlhaus .

First of all, the CDU must be able to gain a profile and form a campaign-capable organization - "and then we have to decide which heads we can do that with," said Heintze, who, like Weinberg, had failed to do so via the state list in the To draw citizenship. The CDU state executive is to be newly determined by a party conference in June.

In the duel between the mayor candidates of the SPD and the Greens, the CDU "got under the wheel, we never came back," said Heintze. Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) managed to get an official bonus in a short time, which made him eligible in many areas, "also for our voters".

Update from February 26, 5.11 p.m .: After the citizens' election, the Hamburg SPD and Greens meet on Friday for a first exploratory talk. The chances for a red-green coalition are good. However, the SPD had made it clear on the evening of the election that it also wanted to probe with the CDU. But already in the election campaign, the SPD and the Greens had described a new edition of red-green as a preferred option. A new alliance of SPD and Greens is considered the most likely option in the Hanseatic city. The CDU agreed to probe the SPD, but was reluctant to participate in the government given its own performance.

Hamburg election 2020: bad accusations against Lindner - violent electoral glitches, ballot papers ended up in the waste paper

Update from February 24, 4:15 p.m .: In the Hamburg elections, several breakdowns occurred when the votes were counted. In an electoral district in Eimsbüttel, marked constituency ballot papers accidentally landed in the waste paper - and were later picked up by the garbage disposal, as regional election manager Oliver Rudolf said on Tuesday. Most of the ballot papers could be found and still counted on Monday, but 18 pieces of paper with five votes each remained missing. "However, these 90 votes are not relevant to the mandate," emphasized Rudolf. Nevertheless, it was "a very annoying incident".

Another “unsightly peculiarity”, as Rudolf called it, also existed in the Süderelbe constituency: There were a total of 16 incorrectly printed constituency ballots in circulation . A similar incident had already occurred in Wandsbek during the district assembly elections last year. According to Rudolf, this breakdown is also "not relevant to earnings".

In two polling stations, votes were exchanged when the national lists were first counted. In Langenhorn, the Greens were initially mistakenly assigned to the FDP - and vice versa. The error was later found and corrected. In Winterhude, too, voices had been temporarily exchanged.

Hamburg election 2020: vacation photo with girlfriend shortly before the FDP disaster - serious accusations against Lindner

1:21 pm: After the disastrous failure of the FDP in the Hamburg elections, a photo of party leader Christian Lindner apparently causes displeasure among his party colleagues. The picture shows Lindner and his girlfriend, journalist Franca Lehfeldt , on a short trip to Amsterdam . The FDP boss has spread the photo via his Instagram profile .

Christian Lindner was on vacation with his girlfriend Franca Lehfeldt shortly before the Hamburg election.

© Screenshot: Instagram

Hamburg: FDP chief Lindner has to face allegations after the disastrous election result

Why do some FDP members get annoyed by the at first glance harmless snapshot? Lindner took the selfie of all days on the last Sunday before the Hamburg elections . The fact that Lindner was enjoying a love holiday while the election campaign was in full swing in Hamburg is now falling on the feet of the FDP chief after the fatal election result. Because with only 4.9 percent , the FDP missed the entry into the citizenship almost a week later. In contrast, the Free Liberals had still got 7.4 percent five years ago in the Hanseatic city.

Party colleagues Lindners now complain, according to Bild.de , that the FDP leader was missing on a crucial day in the election campaign . On Instagram, the photo after the election causes ridicule and malice. "This is what a successful election campaign looks like," writes one user in the comments - and obviously means it ironically. Another comment: “The teeth are well bleached for that. You can't have all construction sites under control at the same time. "

So far, Lindner has not responded to the allegations and generally seems to be keeping a low profile. As reported by Bild.de , he is said to have canceled a request from Anne Will to participate in her talk show. Finally, instead of the current FDP boss, old liberal Gerhart Baum was with Will.

Hamburg: Controversial left-wing candidate Tom Radtke will not move into the citizenship

Update from February 25, 2020, 12:23 p.m .: The FDP missed the return to citizenship in Hamburg - possibly as a result of the events in Thuringia. Other state associations are also in need: A survey from Bavaria brings more bad news for the liberals, as Merkur.de * reports.

10:03 p.m .: Tom Radtke, a retrospective unwanted list candidate from the Hamburg left, will not belong to the new citizens. According to the preliminary official end result, the 18-year-old, who had caused national outrage at the end of January through a relativizing Holocaust tweet, did not receive the necessary votes. "I was not elected, but I will continue to do politics," he tweeted on Monday evening. Radtke was number 20 on the left country list. According to the left, party exclusion proceedings are now underway against him.

The student had introduced himself as a climate and network activist in his election application. Later he had made serious allegations online against leaders of the Fridays for Future movement as well as leftists and Greens. Most recently he had posted a picture of himself with a flag of the identity movement classified as extreme right by the intelligence agency - one day before the state election - from the memorial for the Nazi-murdered Communist leader Ernst Thälmann.

Hamburg: CDU top candidate misses entry into the citizenship

9:52 p.m .: CDU top candidate Marcus Weinberg has missed the entry into the Hamburg citizenship . As state returning officer Oliver Rudolf announced on Monday evening, all 15 mandates of the CDU were awarded through constituency mandates. The Altona member of the Bundestag only ran on the state list. His CDU had dropped to 11.2 percent historically bad for the Hanseatic city in the elections. Also without a mandate was the state chairman Roland Heintze, who had taken third place on the state list.

8:37 pm: The former CDU parliamentary group leader and candidate for party leadership Friedrich Merz described the Hamburg election result as a "disaster" for the CDU. Now the right analysis is important. This means that the Greens are probably the main opponent of the CDU in the next general election. "And I'm looking forward to it," said the 64-year-old.

20:22: The SPD in Hamburg wants to offer Greens and CDU appointments for exploratory talks this week. "We don't want Hamburg to wait any longer than necessary for a new government," said SPD state chair and social senator Melanie Leonhard on Monday evening on the sidelines of the state board meeting. Mayor Peter Tschentscher (SPD) emphasized: "We will now approach the Greens very soon, but in a second step we will also approach the CDU and offer a conversation." The "first option" is a red-green coalition agreement.

Guarantee election: FDP fails due to five percent hurdle in Hamburg

8:16 pm: According to the projections on Monday evening after the election, the disastrous result is at least provisionally official for the FDP . Accordingly, the Liberals did not make it (4.9 percent) into the state parliament. The loss of trust after the debacle in Thuringia seems to be too strong.

FDP top candidate Anna von Treuenfels secured a mandate for her constituency Blankenese after the results published on Monday by the state election office. Throughout Hamburg, the Liberals won 4.9 percent of the vote.

The fact that the FDP candidate Thomas Kemmerich from the CDU and the AfD had been elected Prime Minister in Thuringia is seen as a main reason for the poor performance of the Christian Democrats and the Liberals . Apparently, the constant and varied apologies from party leader Christian Lindner could not help to mobilize voters.

After the election in Hamburg , Lindner now wants to sharpen the course in his party. "In the near future we will very aggressively complain about our political position in the middle and also seek to deal with those who are trying to bring about a fundamental change in our political landscape from Erfurt's mistake ," said Lindner in Berlin after a presidential meeting of his party ,

5.41 pm: The reason for the continuing confusion about the FDP's remaining in the Hamburg state parliament is not just the counting mishap. The counting concept of the Hamburg state election is also extremely complex. After the first, simplified counting of the national votes, further counts follow. The next projection can be expected on Monday evening at 6.30 p.m.

Because of the so-called healing rule , there may still be shifts in the current results. In the course of this rule, votes that are initially invalid can be counted as valid during the second round of counting if the actual will to vote can be recognized . This would be the case, for example, if a voter on the national list of a single party gave six instead of the maximum of five votes available to him.

Hamburg election 2020: FDP fears for its place - SPD meanwhile celebrates a victory that raises questions

17:28: The FDP must continue to fear in Hamburg for the re-entry into the Hamburg state parliament . After a breakdown in the vote count on Sunday evening, it may be that the Liberals , who seemed to have barely made it past the five percent hurdle, could not collect enough votes.

In the Langenhorn electoral district , the results were confused by the Greens and the FDP : The 22.4 percent of the ecological party was accidentally attributed to the Free Democrats, as the district election officer in charge, Tom Oelrichs , said on Monday.

16:37: After the state elections in Hamburg , the SPD can celebrate a clear election victory after some time. This also admits party leader Saskia Esken . The Social Democrats were not so used to celebrating recently, "now we really have a reason," said Esken. But it is unlikely that she and her colleague Norbert Walter-Borjans can attribute this victory to themselves. The state representative in Hamburg had kept the new top duo of the SPD completely out of the election campaign.

The SPD leadership had not been invited to a single campaign event. Now Esken and Walter-Borjans have to put up with the accusation that they were probably ashamed of the two in Hamburg - or that they didn't believe they could win there with them. But the party, at the federal level and in Hamburg, has so far shown no great reaction - at least to the outside.

"The SPD is a really strong force," said SPD election winner Peter Tschentscher . He affirmed that for him in Hamburg the continuation of the government alliance with the Greens was the "obvious option". This also had "great support from the citizens" in the city. He was “very happy that we could start coalition building with this very, very strong result” in order to “continue the successful course into the future”.

Hamburg election 2020: bad awakening? "Results exchanged" - the FDP loses votes

11.49 a.m .: In Berlin , the parties have to deal with the results of the election in Hamburg on Monday. This process is particularly bitter for the FDP, among others, which has suffered a heavy loss in the Hanseatic city. At the moment, she even has to fear that she will remain in the state parliament because, due to a counting error on Sunday, more votes were attributed to the FDP than were cast for her. This is confirmed when the FDP in Berlin has already started discussing the future of the party. The electoral scandal in Thuringia caused a loss of trust among the citizens, said top candidate Anna von Treuenfels-Frowein before the meeting on Monday. "It was very, very difficult for us to catch up in a short time," she said.

The FDP came to exactly five percent on election Sunday after the simplified count in Hamburg . The provisional official final result is expected on Monday evening at 6.30 p.m. But it is already clear beforehand: There was an error in the first count. The party loses some votes.

The second round of counting in Hamburg , which had started in the morning, provides more clarity. This is about the counting of the district lists, after which it is then determined which candidates move into the citizenship . The national ballots are counted again. After the polling stations closed on Sunday, only the votes for the parties on the state ballot papers had been counted using a simplified procedure, so that in the late evening only the expected distribution of citizenship seats among the parties was known.

State election manager Oliver Rudolf only wants to comment on a possible confusion in the voting in the Hamburg-Langenhorn electoral district after all votes have been counted . "I will not announce anything about the Langenhorn result before the preliminary result," Rudolf told the German Press Agency on Monday. He does not disclose individual results on electoral districts during the day, said Rudolf. He pointed out that the results on the Internet are continuously updated, including the results in individual constituencies.

Hamburg election 2020: bad awakening? "Results exchanged" - the FDP loses votes

11:27: The suspicion seems to be confirmed. The FDP loses votes in Hamburg after a counting breakdown. Votes for other parties were inadvertently attributed to the Liberals. Due to a mix-up in the district of Langenhorn, the 22.4 percent of the Greens were inadvertently allocated to the Liberals, as the responsible district election manager Tom Oelrichs told the German Press Agency on Monday. The FDP was only a few votes above the five percent hurdle across Hamburg on Sunday evening.

8:58: In Hamburg , after the election, counting continues. At eight o'clock on Monday the counting of the district lists began, after which it is clear which candidates move into the citizenship . The national ballots are counted again . After the polling stations closed on Sunday, only the votes for the parties on the state ballot papers had been counted using a simplified procedure, so that in the late evening only the expected distribution of citizenship seats among the parties was known. For the FDP, which came to exactly 5.0 percent after the simplified count, it remains exciting. The provisional official final result is expected around 6.30 p.m.

Hamburg election 2020: continuation of the red-green coalition? Party researcher makes mistakes with Greens

8:29: What happens in Hamburg after the election ? Is there a continuation of the red-green coalition ? Hamburg party researcher Elmar Wiesendahl expects difficult coalition negotiations . “There will definitely be red-green. However, the Greens will flex their muscles. And the SPD will counteract this in the awareness of its success, ”he told the Hamburger Abendblatt (Monday). It will not be easy: “The Greens will demand more senate positions. Which departments they get should lead to a dispute. "

In his opinion, however, that the Greens had challenged the SPD with mayor candidate Katharina Fegebank was a mistake . The hurdle to overthrow Tschentscher was simply too high.

The SPD, however, did a lot right in the election campaign. “It accepted the challenge of the Greens and very subtly waged a counter-election campaign. Thematically, it has penetrated the core of the Greens brand - climate and environmental policy - and has successfully operated a kind of product piracy, ”said the 75-year-old political scientist.

Hamburg election 2020: Klingbeil is teaching the SPD

8:12 am: With a view to the federal party, SPD general secretary Lars Klingbeil told Bild : "Of course you can learn from Hamburg". There were clear topics in the Hanseatic city, future topics and a course of economic reason. In Hamburg they managed to talk about content - away from self-employment. At this point Klingbeil shot a tip against the Greens. While the Greens were still close to asking the Mayor of Hamburg a few weeks ago, the sentiment flipped as the election got closer. Klingbeil concludes that voters will have less trust in the Greens when it comes to government responsibility. Klingbeil says: "You won't get very far with the nice words you know from Robert Habeck."

Hamburg election 2020: SPD success because of distance to the federal party?

6:46 am: The SPD led by top man Peter Tschentscher clearly emerges as the winner of the election in Hamburg . And this despite the fact that the Social Democrats had to lose 6.6 percent of the vote compared to 2015. In comparison with the nationwide trend, however, this is a very good result. Now the question arises of how the Hamburg SPD managed this. Part of the answer is that the SPD in Hamburg went as far as possible from the federal party before the election. Saskia Esken and Norbert Walter-Borjans, the new rather left-wing party leader, did not appear in the election campaign, for example. Peter Tschentscher built his own profile and apparently had success with it.

A survey by infratest Dimap among Hamburg voters showed that the SPD in the Hanseatic city knows much more exactly what the party stands for than the Federal SPD. Among all voters, 60 percent of those questioned stated that they knew exactly what the SPD in Hamburg stood for. With regard to the federal party, only 23 percent answered positively to the same question. The difference between SPD voters was similarly clear: 86 percent knew what the Hamburg SPD stood for, whereas it was only 32 percent for the federal SPD.

Hamburg election 2020: AfD takes a deep breath - the FDP must continue to tremble

05.37: Already on election Sunday, Hamburg's regional election manager Oliver Rudolf announced the result of the simplified counting of the state list ballots. The turnout was 63.3 percent . “In the simplified counting, only the clearly valid ballot papers are taken into account. The result is based on the quick reports from all constituencies, ”says the state returning officer, explaining the current result. The state lists and constituency list ballots will be fully counted out on Monday from 8 a.m. Only then will the preliminary result be known.

According to the current result, both the FDP and the AfD make the leap into Hamburg citizenship. The Liberals were relieved on Sunday: “It was a tremendous game, of course. But we can do a lot. We are optimists. It's in our DNA. We did it, ”said FDP top candidate Anna von Treuenfels-Frowein late Sunday evening. However, it could become scarce for the FDP, as a possible “mix-up” of the votes was reported (see news from 5:28 am). A preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening.

The result after the simplified counting on Sunday:

For the entire view, please click on "Image zoom" in the top right corner.

© Regional Returning Officer Hamburg / hamburg.de

Hamburg election 2020: does the FDP still fall out of citizenship?

Update from February 24, 2020, 5:28 am: Does the FDP still fall out of Hamburg's citizenship? A possible confusion of votes currently jeopardizes the scarce re-entry. In the electoral district of Hamburg-Langenhorn, there could have been a mix-up in the voting. In a polling station, the Liberals came to 22.4 percent after the simplified count on Sunday evening, the Greens, however, only 5.1 percent. Nationwide, the result was reversed. "This is definitely noticeable," said regional election manager Oliver Rudolf of the German Press Agency. "I have already passed on the hint that there is an abnormality."

If there had been a mix-up of the assignment, the FDP would have 423 fewer votes than previously assumed. Since the party as a whole is only 121 votes above the five percent hurdle according to the preliminary figures, this could lead to it missing the entry into the city parliament. "That can be crucial," said Rudolf. All votes would be counted again on Monday anyway, so that an error would then also be found.

News from February 23: SPD goes to the 2020 Hamburg election

0.55 a.m . : Without a resilient end result, but with some knowledge, the election Sunday ends in Hamburg . Despite noticeable losses, the SPD can feel like a winner. The Social Democrats will continue to provide the First Mayor and, with the Greens and the CDU, have two potential partners who are ready to talk and who will enable a viable second coalition . A rare luxury, given the recent state election results in general and the SPD's weak state election results in particular. The Greens - as the most likely coalition partner - are likely to ask Peter Tschentscher and comrades for concessions. The eco-party has gained a lot.

The election day was bitter for the CDU , which had a historically poor performance and could now be exposed to a further intensified internal party debate. The FDP thought it was getting away with a black eye in the evening. However , the Liberals could still get counting errors out of the citizenship. The AfD also barely missed a debacle with 5.3 percent of the vote. All three results could have an impact on the further course of the parties.

The final and final count of votes on Monday will be exciting in any case. We'll keep you up to date on all important developments in Hamburg and Berlin from early morning. For today we are ending the election ticker from Hamburg and wish you a good night.

Hamburg Election 2020: Results of Greens and FDP swapped?

0.26 a.m .: Reports of the possibly interchanged results of the FDP and the Greens in a Hamburg polling station in the Hamburg-Langenhorn electoral district have also reached the regional election management. In fact, the liberals could still fall out of citizenship.

"This is definitely noticeable," said state returning officer Oliver Rudolf . "I have already passed on the information that there is an anomaly." If there was a mix-up of the assignment, the FDP would receive 423 fewer votes than previously assumed. Since the party as a whole is only 121 votes above the five percent hurdle according to the preliminary figures, this could lead to it missing the entry into the city parliament.

"That can be crucial," said Rudolf. All votes would be counted again on Monday anyway , so that an error would then also be found.

In this case, other results priced in at the current status may also have to be put to the test. Because in the meantime, observers have even noticed other oddities. For example, users reported on a post on the Wahlrecht.de portal on Twitter that the CDU may have been assigned too many votes in district 41008. The Christian Democrats here would have 34.9 percent, the Greens only 7.3 percent.

Citizenship election in Hamburg: FDP is happy about re-entry - but it could be different

0.19 a.m .: Despite the imponderables (see 11.31 p.m.), the FDP is relieved in the evening about the alleged re-entry into the Hamburg citizens .

"It was a tremor, of course. But we can do a lot. We are optimists. It's in our DNA. We did it, ”said FDP lead candidate Anna von Treuenfels-Frowein late Sunday evening. After an electoral crime, the Liberals had achieved exactly 5.0 percent after a simplified count of the votes cast for the parties on the national lists. The mood of the FDP members still present in the brewing inn "Altes Mädchen" was correspondingly frenetic.

0.00 am: The long Hamburg election evening is drawing to a close. A few questions are still unanswered - it will only be clear on Monday evening whether the FDP has actually made it into parliament. It is now clear: the CDU, FDP and AfD are among the losers of the election. That could have further consequences after Thuringia. You can read a first analysis in this article.

Hamburg election 2020: bad awakening for the FDP? Swap Results Report

11.31 p.m .: After the first results communicated by the state election management , the FDP has almost made the leap into Hamburg's citizenship. But in the opinion of the Wahlrecht.de portal, there could still be a bad awakening for the liberals: According to the website, in the counting district Tweltenbeek 27, an "obvious mistake" happened.

Here the FDP came in second with 22.4 percent of the vote, the Greens in sixth with 5.1 percent - apparently the results of the two parties had been mixed up. If that is correct and if the result is included in the overall figures, the FDP could lose a good 420 votes - and thus slip below the five percent hurdle. According to Wahlrecht.de , the liberals are currently separating 120 votes from disappearing from the state parliament .

In addition, there is an obvious mistake in the voting district 43202 at the expense of the #FDP. Here, the results of the FDP and the Greens were probably exchanged. If this is confirmed, the FDP will lose around 400 votes in this electoral district alone. pic.twitter.com/xJT8Ve8zEk

The results that have now been published are not yet the preliminary official results, but only a simplified pre-count. A preliminary official result is to be published on Monday evening.

11:20 p.m .: Now there is a first result of the Hamburg election : As the regional election management reports, the Social Democrats come to 39.0 percent after simplified counting of the votes cast for the parties on the state lists. AfD and FDP would therefore remain in the citizenship with 5.3 and 5.0 percent respectively. The Greens would be the second strongest force at 24.2, the CDU at 11.2 and the left at 9.1 percent. A preliminary official final result is not expected until Monday evening.

Hamburg election 2020: waiting for the result - one party must continue to tremble

10.45 p.m .: The next projection from Hamburg is available. The AfD figures from infratest dimap should give cause for joy: the party is now at 5.3 percent, and it is becoming increasingly clear that it will re-enter citizenship . The situation with the FDP is different - the liberals remain at 5.0 percent, they must continue to tremble. Possibly similar to that in Thuringia, even up to a second count of votes. However, there is no official information on this yet.

A result was announced by the Statistical Office for Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein for 10.30 p.m. So far, the authority has not provided any definitive figures.

10:20 pm: “Anne Will” in the first is currently debating the Hamburg elections. The most important comments from Robert Habeck, Norbert Röttgen and Co. can be found in our ticker for the broadcast.

10:16 p.m .: The Hamburg citizens' election on Sunday was not only a bitter experience for the CDU, FDP and AfD - a voter was faced with uncomfortable hurdles when it came to voting.

Turn in the Hamburg election? Weidel celebrates, FDP again threatened to be a long time

9.49 p.m .: According to the latest projections, the trembling part of the Thuringian state election could repeat itself for the FDP : ARD and infratest dimap continue to see the party at 5.0 percent - according to election moderator Jörg Schönenborn even 5.00 percent. The AfD, on the other hand, continues to head for Hamburg citizens. It is currently estimated at 5.2 percent. Bundestag faction leader Alice Weidel already wrote in a tweet about "today's re-entry".

9:17 p.m .: There are first press comments on the Hamburg elections - the reactions for the CDU are sometimes devastating.

9:02 pm: An interesting side aspect of the citizenship election : The first voters in Hamburg showed a clear preference on Sunday. The Greens account for 36 percent of their votes , according to an evaluation by the Infratest dimap institute for the ARD. The SPD follows in second place with 24 percent, the left receives 13 percent. According to this, seven percent of the first voters vote for the FDP - significantly more than the party as a whole is projected.

The CDU only gets six percent of the votes among the first-time voters, the AfD only records two percent of the votes, as can be seen from the age group survey. All citizens aged 16 and over were admitted to the Hamburg elections. The Hanseatic city had already lowered the voting age in 2013 in order to involve young people more in politics.

Citizenship election in Hamburg: AfD see further projections above the five percent hurdle

8:55 p.m .: The latest ARD projection now sees the AfD above the five percent hurdle - 5.1 percent are given as the current status. This would put the party ahead of the FDP, which remains at 5.0 percent. The ZDF currently leads the AfD and the FDP equally at exactly five percent each. By the way, the first tangible results have been announced by the State Office at 10.30 p.m.

8:50 p.m .: A topic on this election evening is also the coverage of the major television stations : While ARD man Jörg Schönenborn soberly announced the numbers of the first forecast at 6:00 p.m., there was suddenly cheers in the studio. Even an n-tv reporter was not particularly neutral about the result.

Hamburg election 2020: unexpected turn for FDP and AfD?

8:38 pm: Is there still a turning point for the AfD and FDP ? An extrapolation from the Statistical Office for Hamburg and Schleswig-Holstein could indicate this. The Office submitted a projection at 20.02 after counting 37.7 percent of the voting districts, which the AfD sees at 5.6 percent and the FDP at 5.1 percent . This would move both parties into citizenship.

Otherwise, this survey shows those tendencies that were most recently recognizable in the projections by ARD (infratest dimap) and ZDF (research group elections): the SPD is approaching the 40 percent mark (currently 39.6 percent), the Greens are emerging "Only" 23.6 percent . In the first forecast of the TV stations, the Greens were still well above 25 percent.

Election in Hamburg: no seat for CDU top candidate Weinberg?

8:28 p.m .: Top CDU candidate Marcus Weinberg does not rule out staying in Berlin after the state elections and continuing to exercise his Bundestag mandate - such a decision would obviously not be entirely voluntary.

Due to the complicated Hamburg electoral system, it is conceivable that in the end the CDU will only move into the citizenship with electoral mandates, says Weinberg in the NDR. This would prevent him from being the highest placed list candidate. Weinberg demands that one has to think about a change in the electoral system. This is also in the interests of many voters. If he does move into the citizenship, he will take on the task, he explains - promises must be kept.

2020 citizenship election in Hamburg: New projections - AfD and FDP hope and fear

8:16 pm: The ZDF has now also submitted a new projection . The numbers largely coincide with those of the ARD. Here, too, the SPD is growing, the FDP (5.0 percent) and AfD (4.9) must or may continue to fear and hope to gain entry into the citizenship.

8:00 p.m .: Things are moving slowly: another projection from Hamburg has been published. According to figures from infratest dimap / ARD, the SPD can once again grow significantly , also at the expense of the Greens. The Social Democrats now come to 38.6 percent, the Greens to 24.8. The AfD is getting a little closer to the five percent hurdle - 4.9 percent is currently on book. There is no new data from ZDF and the research group elections.

Elections in Hamburg: first projections are available - AfD threatens to leave parliament

7:25 p.m .: The first projections from Hamburg are now available. The figures do not differ too much from the 6:00 p.m. forecast. The most important finding is that the AfD is actually threatening to leave the citizenship . The party still sees the projection of infratest dimap at 4.7 percent. The FDP remains at 5.0 percent. The numbers of the current projections at a glance:

ARD / infratest dimap: SPD 37.6 percent (-8.0) / Greens 25.4 (+ 13.1) / CDU 11.4 (-4.5) / Left 9.1 (+ 0.6) / FDP 5.0 (-2.4) / AfD 4.7 (-1.4)

ZDF / Research Group Elections: SPD 37.8 percent (-7.8) / Greens 25.4 (+13.1) / CDU 11.3 (-4.6) / Left 9.5 (+ 1.0) / FDP 5.0 (-2.4) / AfD 4.7 (-1.4)

19:23: The Hamburg AfD top candidate Dirk Nockemann sees the possible withdrawal of his party from the citizenship as "the result of a maximum exclusion campaign". The Hamburg-based AfD has long been consistently at seven to eight percent in surveys, said Nockemann on Sunday evening in the Norddeutscher Rundfunk. "Then it went down to Thuringia," he added.

With regard to the apparently racially motivated attack in Hesse, he said that "after Hanau, it was pretended that the AfD had its finger on the trigger". "It is unbearable what has happened here in Hamburg in the past three days," he said with regard to hostility towards his party. "This campaign was designed to take away the essential percentage points." In a survey published on Sunday, 60 percent of the respondents consider the AfD to be jointly responsible for the apparently racially motivated attack in Hesse.

Cheers about a nationwide demolition of the rising AfD results would be premature, meanwhile commented the Munich Merkur *.

2020 Citizenship Election in Hamburg: Bitter loss for CDU, FDP and AfD - a consequence of Thuringia?

7:13 p.m .: Left Party, SPD and Greens in Thuringia also see the Hamburg election result as a consequence of the events in their state. "The heavy losses for the CDU, FDP and AfD show how much the voters are punishing the breaking of the taboo on February 5 at the ballot box," said Susanne Hennig-Wellsow, Thuringia's left-wing state chairwoman, in the evening in Erfurt.

"The citizens of Hamburg showed the right-wing populists the red card and also made it clear to the FDP that there should be no indirect cooperation with this party," explains Thuringia's SPD leader Wolfgang Tiefensee. "The result of the AfD shows that machinations are condemned by the voters at the expense of democracy," said the Thuringian Greens chairmen Ann-Sophie Bohm-Eisenbrandt and Bernhard Stengele.

7:06 p.m .: The CDU would also be ready for a red-black alliance in Hamburg . "We do not rule it out," it is about setting the course for Hamburg, says top candidate Marcus Weinberg on ZDF: "We are ready for talks." However, the ball was in the SPD field.

The round of top candidates in the ZDF election program also ventured initial analyzes: Thuringia was “a heavy mortgage,” says FDP politician Anna-Elisabeth von Treuenfels-Frowein. The result also has something “to do with Hanau and Thuringia,” assumes left front woman Cansu Özdemir.

7:00 p.m .: Meanwhile , the first projection is still a long time coming. ARD and ZDF had expected the first numbers around 7:00 p.m. to 7:15 p.m. The reason for the late publication of the first counting evaluations was the complicated Hamburg election system.

18:57: SPD top candidate Peter Tschentscher has the first forecasts positive as expected. If the “result is confirmed”, you can be satisfied. At the same time, the possible resignation of the AfD from the citizenship is a "great message that comes from Hamburg." His first choice for the future is a red-green coalition , he explains. However, other alliances are also possible.

Citizenship election in Hamburg 2020: FDP fears and looks for reasons - "Thuringia was quite important"

6:51 p.m .: FDP leader Christian Lindner was considered ailing even before the first forecasts were announced - also due to his role in the Thuringian prime minister election . When asked by ZDF presenter Bettina Schausten , however, he rejected that he had "washed too long" in the Thuringia case. It is true that Hamburg was a difficult place for the FDP even before Thuringia. The head-to-head race of the SPD and the Greens cost the liberals, Lindner speculates.

"No legend building" Lindner asked when asked whether the FDP had received a receipt for supporting AfD advances. In the past, Hamburg had supported "harmless AfD applications", for example on the subject of cigarette butts on sidewalks - but: "This will not happen again" after "Erfurt and the cunning of the AfD", emphasizes the FDP leader. "Even with harmless applications from the AfD" there will be no more approval from the FDP.

Earlier, Lindner had said at the FDP election party in Berlin that the party needed "strong nerves" again this evening. A result like in Hamburg is "a defeat" for the FDP.

6.43 p.m .: Hamburg's FDP leader Katja Suding shares the events in Thuringia for the weak performance of her party. “We already know the first numbers that show that this was of great importance to our voters. That is why it was very important that we in Hamburg clearly distanced ourselves from the events in Thuringia, ”says Suding in the NDR.

6.30 p.m .: The Green Katharina Fegebank sees on the ARD microphone a "very clear mandate from voters that it should go on like this" - the Greens have been governing with the SPD since 2015.

According to the latest figures, the party is the only one in Hamburg's citizenship that has grown significantly. The eco party can wave 20 additional seats; the left could win a mandate. At the same time, the Greens in Hamburg posted their second best result in state elections.

18:26: CDU General Secretary Paul Ziemiak finds clear words in Berlin for the emerging election result: It was a " bitter day for the CDU Germany " and "a historically bad election result" for the Hamburg CDU. The events in Thuringia did not help the Hamburg CDU to point out their programmatic points, he states.

You can also find further reactions to the Hamburg election result in this overview at Merkur.de *.

Hamburg election 2020: Kipping sees clap for "Kemmerich coalition" - CDU with historically poor results

6.15 p.m .: Left-wing leader Katja Kipping interprets the result as a punishment for those parties who "vote with the AfD in case of doubt" - of course an allusion to the events in Thuringia. "The Kemmerich coalition has lost," she says to comrades in Berlin. In fact, according to the first forecasts, the CDU, FDP and AfD only get around 21 percent of the vote. Until 2008, conservative to right-wing forces in Hamburg regularly had more than 50 percent of the vote. In 2001, the Schill party had received almost 20 percent. Compared to the previous state election, the cumulative loss of the CDU, FDP and AfD is currently “only” around eight percentage points.

6:14 p.m .: According to the latest figures, the CDU is slipping to its nationwide worst result in state elections in almost 70 years.

6.10 p.m .: For comparison, the numbers of the first forecast of the ZDF or the research group elections: Here the SPD comes to 38.0 percent, the Greens to 25.5. The CDU is slightly weaker than the ARD (11.0 percent). The FDP is also 5.0 percent, the AfD slightly better than in the figures from infratest dimap, but also below the five percent hurdle (4.8 percent).

6:08 p.m .: Green top candidate Katharina Fegebank shows up at her party's election party at Club Knust in Hamburg-St. Despite the clear second place, Pauli is satisfied: "I am totally touched," she says. CDU top candidate Marcus Weinberg speaks openly to his party friends about a "bad result".

Citizenship election 2020 in Hamburg: SPD can choose between Greens and CDU

6:05 pm: Mathematically, it would be possible for the SPD both a renewed alliance with the Greens and a shift to a “grand coalition” - which, of course, no longer deserves the name in Hamburg given the CDU result. Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz is already giving the direction at the ARD microphone: A coalition that enjoys as much trust among the population as red-green has priority in the negotiations, says Peter Tschentscher's predecessor. Nevertheless, the decision of the Hamburg SPD is incumbent.

6:03 p.m .: The Greens should see the result with a laughing and a crying eye: on the one hand, the eco-party has more than doubled compared to the 2015 mayoral election - on the other hand, Katharina Fegebank's grip on the post of mayor has failed comparatively clearly.

Election in Hamburg: FDP and AfD must fear for citizenship - CDU punished again

6:02 p.m .: It already seems clear: Peter Tschentscher (SPD) may well defend the office as the first mayor. The CDU receives a bitter slag. The FDP has to worry about moving into the citizenship - it already looks comparatively bleak for the AfD .

6:01 p.m .: Here is the first forecast based on figures from infratest dimap on behalf of the ARD: SPD: 37.5 / Greens: 25.5 / CDU: 11.5 / Left: 9.0 / FDP: 5.0 / AfD: 4 , 7 / other: 6.8

Citizenship election in Hamburg: provisional final result probably not until Monday

17:56: In a few minutes there are first forecasts from Hamburg . Hamburgers will have to wait a long time for the preliminary official final result . Due to the complicated electoral system, there will probably only be one on Monday evening. The first projections are also not expected until 7.15 p.m.

After the polling stations have closed, only the votes for the parties will be counted on the state ballots, so that only the expected distribution of the 121 citizenship seats among the parties will be known by late Sunday evening. How these votes are distributed among the individual candidates on the state lists is determined by recounting the state ballot papers, which begins on Monday morning together with that of the constituency ballot papers.

5.44 p.m .: At the CDU , the anticipation for the announcement of the first forecasts should be rather low. In the polls, the Christian Democrats have been descending steadily since the end of 2019 - most recently, only twelve percent of those surveyed stated that they wanted to vote for the party of top candidate Marcus Weinberg. A remarkable failure story could thus continue: In February 2008, the CDU still held 42.6 percent of the vote in the general election. Since then, the party may have lost nearly three-quarters of its voters, the latest polls agree.

Public election in Hamburg: AfD is also afraid - election calls on Twitter

5:32 p.m .: The election results of the AfD are also looked forward to in Hamburg . In contrast to the past state elections, the right-wing populist party in the Hanseatic city is likely to have to struggle to jump over the five percent hurdle. The AfD recently saw 5-6 percent of the vote.

Politicians and activists are campaigning for the ballot box on Twitter - with the declared aim of keeping the AfD out of the public. "It has never been easier to kick the AfD out of a parliament - when many vote democratically and anti-fascistly," wrote SPD vice -president Kevin Kühnert . Even the AfD itself is apparently not sure of moving in: the party needs “every vote,” tweeted MP Bundestag member Stephan Brandner at 5 p.m.

Ass up, #Hamburg. It has never been easier to kick the #AfD out of a parliament - when many vote democratically and anti-fascist. Spread the word! pic.twitter.com/AHTIq1d23e

5.20 p.m .: There is a clear increase in voter turnout in the Hamburg state elections . By 4 p.m., 57 percent of those entitled to vote cast their vote, as the state election management announced. In the 2015 general election, an hour later, at 5:00 p.m., only 52.3 percent of those entitled to vote had voted. In the end, the stake was 56.5 percent, the lowest level since 1949. The polling stations close at 6 p.m.

Citizenship election Hamburg shortly after Thuringia: Does the voter penalty for Lindner and the FDP follow?

4:41 pm: The FDP has to tremble this evening to re-enter the Hamburg citizenship . According to the ZDF Politbarometer , the liberals currently have five percent. A pretty tight forecast. In 2105 the FDP in Hamburg still had 7.4 percent. If the FDP does not make it into the citizenship, this can be seen as a penalty for the voters for the election debacle in Thuringia . Not only had the FDP candidate Thomas Kemmerich been elected to the prime ministerial office with AfD votes. Even today, the role of FDP leader Christian Lindner does not seem very clear. Lindner had repeatedly apologized for the debacle and his first reaction to it. But in Hamburg it currently does not look as if the FDP and he could pull themselves out of the affair so easily.

4.10 p.m .: Vice Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD), the former Mayor of Hamburg, has unexpectedly made his way to the Hanseatic city. The Hamburg election 2020 coincides with the closing day of the G20 finance ministerial meeting in Riyadh. From there, Scholz embarked on the journey home early, as the Handelsblatt reports. To justify his return trip to Hamburg, he therefore said succinctly: "Because I live there." The Vice Chancellor probably wants the expected election victory of his successor Dr. Celebrate Peter Tschentscher (also SPD) together with his Hamburg party friends.

3:05 p.m .: What does the election mean for the CDU and FDP ? According to the current state of affairs, the two parties face the next catastrophe after the election debacle in Thuringia . According to the latest forecast, the FDP could even fall below the five percent hurdle. That would be fatal and could also mean the end for Linder as head of the FDP. According to surveys, the CDU is also on a worse course than ever in Hamburg with 12 percent.

Hamburg election: turnout is very high

2:59 p.m .: There is greater participation in the Hamburg state elections than in the election five years ago. By 2:00 p.m., 46.4 percent of those entitled to vote cast their votes, as the state election office announced. Up to that point, 38.5 percent of those eligible to vote had voted in the 2015 general election. In 2015, voter turnout had dropped to a historic low of 56.5 percent. State election manager Oliver Rudolf had expressed confidence that this time the participation would increase to over 60 percent. How the Hamburgers chose will be seen in the first forecast at 6 p.m.

Hamburg election 2020: is there a green miracle? CDU and FDP face bitter day

Hamburg - What are the effects of political events across Germany on the 2020 Hamburg election ? This question should at least move some of the major parties in advance, because the current situation has become very complicated for some of those involved before the citizens' election. The CDU and the FDP in particular have come under pressure. And that while they had to expect a difficult starting point in the Hanseatic city anyway.

+++ Here you will find an overview of all results, profits and losses on election evening +++

Hamburg election 2020: How will the CDU crisis affect?

The power struggle broke out in the CDU. It is clear that Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer will hand over the party chair - several possible successors have already expressed public interest in the post. The conditions for Marcus Weinberg, top candidate of the CDU in Hamburg , are therefore anything but rosy. When it comes to his party, shortly before the election the focus is often on the federal political actors. A few weeks earlier, the CDU's poll values ​​of 12 to 13 percent looked better by several percentage points in Hamburg.

The problems were triggered about three weeks before the Hamburg election by the scandal in the Thuringian state parliament. An FDP prime minister, who was elected with the votes of the CDU and AfD, became a scandal and even now the crisis in Thuringia continues and casts its shadow as far as Hamburg . The Liberals in Hamburg could also suffer damage. In mid-February, they were located for the first time in the months before the election by a large survey institute below the five percent hurdle . It is human judgment that there could be a bourgeois-conservative coalition after the 2020 elections in Hamburg . The AfD and the Left should each move into the citizenship with a single-digit result.

Hamburg, listen to the @hochbahn! # Go vote # Citizenship election pic.twitter.com/v6FgzCDOd1

The last forecasts before the 2020 general election in Hamburg

Everything indicates that a red-green coalition is getting the majority in Hamburg. The SPD with its incumbent First Mayor Dr. Peter Tschentscher predicted a result well over 30 percent . Together with the Greens , whose poll values ​​fluctuated between 23 and 29 percent, a completely stable majority is foreseeable. On the evening of the election, however, the question of whether the Greens can catch up will be exciting. In individual cases, they were located at or near the SPD in 2020. In the Hamburg election , Katharina Fegebank * still has a chance to become the green first mayor. The race at the top focuses on these two candidates and the result of the SPD and Greens.

First result of the citizenship election in Hamburg can be expected on Sunday

The first forecasts of the electoral research institutes will appear as usual at 6:00 p.m. on Sunday . At this time it will probably be indicated whether Dr. Peter Tschentscher or Katharina Fegebank can prevail. Subsequently, the polling stations that have already been counted in are gradually included in the projections until a preliminary result of the citizens' election in Hamburg is available later in the evening.

Service for the Hamburg election 2020: Latest information for voters on Sunday

Anyone who is allowed to vote in Hamburg and is still undecided can also ask the Wahl-O-Mat for Hamburg directly before going to the polling station. The online tool compares the election programs of the parties that run in the Hanseatic city. This way, each user can determine which parties they have the most in common with.

You will also find further information on voting papers, postal voting and your election notification here.

After the disastrous results for the CDU in Thuringia and Hamburg: Kramp-Karrenbauer attacks the SPD general secretary Lars Klingbeil - the SPD is supposed to "leave this government".

* Merkur.de is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network

List of rubric lists: © dpa / Daniel Reinhardt