Political situation
Written by: Wu Zhuoan
2020-04-06 07:00
Last update date: 2020-04-06 07:00In November last year, the total voter turnout in the District Council elections was as high as 71.23%. Democrats took more than 380 seats in one fell swoop and became one of the most reference-valued elections in the history of Hong Kong. The Registration and Electoral Office has released detailed election data recently, analyzing the data by age group. The turnout rate of almost all age groups is higher than that of Hong Kong. Among them, the turnout rate of the 18 to 20-year-old group is the highest, as high as 74.5%, while 71 Voters aged one or more are far behind, with a turnout rate of only 60.45%.
Nonetheless, after further analysis of the number of voters of all ages, it was found that voters aged 71 or above are an important source of votes that cannot be ignored. A total of 346,367 people voted, the highest among all age groups; more noteworthy is that this group The number of voters in the group is as high as 570,000, which is the most in the same group. Last year, only 60.45% of the voters were elected in the district. That is, there are still four adults (about 230,000) who did not participate in the vote due to various reasons. The fact that the demand for senior citizens to vote preferentially is successful. Voters of this age may become the voting force with considerable growth potential in the September Legislative Council elections.
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21 to 25 years old turnout ranks second
By age group, voters with 18 to 20 years of age had the highest turnout rate of 74.5%, followed by voters with 51 to 55 and 61 to 65 years old, with 73.74% and 73.73% respectively. The age group with the lowest turnout rate is voters over 71 years old, only 60.46%. The voter turnout rate for 21 to 25 year olds is also lower than other age groups, only 71.74%. The vote rate for 56 to 60 year olds is 72.16%. three.
230 thousand elders over 71 years old did not vote
However, although the voter turnout for 18 to 20 years old is the highest, it actually only accounts for 82,000; on the contrary, the voter turnout is the second highest and third highest 51 to 55 year old and 61 to 64 year old group voters, accounting for 251,000 respectively Votes and 339,000 votes, accounting for 20% of the total number of voters, have a greater influence on the outcome. As for voters over 71 years old, although only 60% voted, the total number of voters was as high as 346,000, the highest among many age groups.
If the voters are divided into young, middle-aged and old-aged, 41-60 years old middle-aged people vote the most enthusiastically, with the highest voting rate among the three major age groups, reaching 73.17%, with a total of 900,000 voters; followed by the 18-40 year old youth class The voting rate is 72.38%, and the number of voters is 1.11 million; for the elderly class over 61, the voting rate is 67.96%, and the number of voters is 901,000.
From the above data, it can be seen that voters over the age of 61 did not vote the most last year, which has relatively high growth potential. Especially for the "oldest" group over 71, only 60.45% voted in the district election last year. Nearly four adults did not vote for various reasons, or became a "potential stock" for the election of military strategists in the Legislative Council in September. In fact, the EAC announced the details of the public consultation on the proposed guidelines for the Legislative Council ’s election activities, suggesting that the polling station director can make arrangements to facilitate electors in need, such as elders aged 70 or above. The new incentives to vote in elections are enough to affect the overall situation of the September election.
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Looking at the turnout of individual constituencies, in the Wong Tai Sin District, which has a total of 25 seats in the democratic constituency, the voter turnout rate of 18 to 20-year-old voters is as high as 80.42%. Tuen Mun District and Kwai Tsing District, also led by democratic parties, The turnout rate is much higher than that of Hong Kong, 77.06% and 76.99% respectively.
In the Shatin District with 41 directly elected seats, the Democrats won 40 seats in one fell swoop, and the remaining seat was only "fished by the DAB" because of the "collision zone", which in theory also belongs to the "Yellow Zone". However, Shatian has the highest voter turnout for electors aged 71 and above, at 62.95%; the turnout rate for people aged 71 and above in Kowloon City District is also 62.95%, and there are 10 formed members in the district, which are the most elected electoral districts.
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District Council Election 2019
