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[Dismantling] The 23 games in Xia Luo's new game, three possibilities for Beijing's tough shot

2020-05-03T17:50:27.316Z


Since the return of 1997, "Article 23 of the Basic Law" has been the central word that influences the political situation of Hong Kong, and is also a taboo word for the election of the formation camp. The faction has proposed a high-profile initiative to complete 23 pieces of legislation as soon as possible. Are you afraid of sending ammunition for democracy? Morning glow will rain, and evening glow will be mainly sunny. The unusual behavior of the formed faction reflects to a certain extent Beijing ’s completely new deployment of 23 pieces of legislation, and even sets new tactics for the overall game of Hong Kong.


Political situation

Author: Sha Banshan

2020-05-04 01:40

Last update date: 2020-05-04 01:40

Since the return of 1997, "Article 23 of the Basic Law" has been the central word that influences the political situation of Hong Kong, and is also a taboo word for the election of the formation camp. The faction has proposed a high-profile initiative to complete 23 pieces of legislation as soon as possible. Are you afraid of sending ammunition for democracy?

Morning glow will rain, and evening glow will be mainly sunny. The unusual behavior of the formed faction reflects to a certain extent Beijing ’s completely new deployment of 23 pieces of legislation, and even sets new tactics for the overall game of Hong Kong.

The political situation in Hong Kong has become severe in recent years, and 23 legislative issues have been frequently raised. (Profile picture)

On the occasion of the 20th anniversary of the implementation of the Basic Law in Hong Kong, the issue of Article 23 legislation has re-entered the stage recently. Tan Yaozong, member of the Standing Committee of the National People ’s Congress, and Wu Qiubei, a representative of the People ’s Congress of the Hong Kong District, have been calling for a high profile for a few days. The former expressly hopes to complete legislation before August next year, and the latter threatens to include Article 23 in Annex III of the Basic Law for direct implementation in Hong Kong. Putting forward relevant proposals will affect the election of the formed faction in September.

According to traditional wisdom, on the eve of the decisive battle in direct elections in large regions, the establishment factions have managed to avoid political issues that provoke the fire, so as not to send ammunition to the democracy. Now they do the opposite, completely violating the laws and principles of political operations. ?

Luo Huining, director of the Liaison Office of the Communist Party of China, wrote an article earlier, stating that "one country, two systems" has reached the middle stage, and various contradictions have gradually emerged, reaching an important period that must be resolved.

Some high-ranking political parties said that Beijing ’s consideration of the 23 legislation ’s advancement and retreat has not focused on the small 1,106-square-kilometer internal affairs bureau in Hong Kong, but placed it on the world ’s largest chessboard between China and the United States. It seems that China has launched a "trade war" and "epidemic war". The United States has made every effort to crack down on China. Beijing has also lifted its sleeves to prepare for a hard fight. Under this special premise, Beijing ’s In the eyes of Hong Kong, 23 pieces of legislation must be completed to plug loopholes in national security.

Tan Yaozong threw out a "timetable"-the legislation was completed before August next year. The person "Wendy" reporter arrived at the important battlefield of the Election Committee elections by the end of next year. The next step is the heavyweight of the next chief executive election in March 2022 The Great War, so Beijing hopes to put an end to the controversial issue of 23 legislations before the recession of the Legislative Council in August next year.

However, on the one hand, Beijing hopes that the Legislative Council will pass 23 pieces of legislation next year, but on the other hand, it is burning this hot issue and weakening the election of the establishment faction. Is n’t it contradictory? The source pointed out that this is a reflection of Beijing's new legislation and new arrangements on the issue of 23 pieces of legislation. To put it simply, Beijing is not afraid that the democrats will win more than half of the so-called "35+" seats. There are at least three possibilities for tough moves:

1. DQ democratic candidates before the election. This move was not uncommon in the past parliamentary elections. Zhou Zhiting and Huang Zhifeng of Hong Kong were both questioned to advocate Hong Kong independence and suffered DQ and could not enter the election; even the current Legislative Council member Zhu Kaidi was also represented in the countryside In the election, the nomination was ruled invalid, and it is difficult to guarantee that other democrats will not fall into the trap. If the authorities greatly exclude the democratic candidates, the parliamentary layout of the democratic factions can be compressed and can only be maintained at the decimal faction. 23 votes will be enough to pass.

The two associations │ advocated the inclusion of Article 23 in Annex III of the Basic Law to implement Wu Qiubei: the sooner the better, there is no need to wait for elections

Tan Yaozong: The National People's Congress has not yet seen any Hong Kong-related affairs. He hopes to complete 23 pieces of legislation in August next year.

Within half an hour, three groups went to the U.S. consulate to demonstrate that Deng Jiabiao approves the U.S. obstruction of Article 23 of the Basic Law

2. Deprivation of membership as a member of parliament after the election. If the Democrats can successfully seize more than half of the seats, 23 bills can be blocked in the vote, but in the political game, Beijing still has a place to fight back, that is, if the Democrats obstruct the passage of 23, because the Basic Law specifies that the SAR needs to To make legislation for Article 23 on its own, the central government may determine that the relevant legislators have sincerely upheld the Basic Law and will DQ it.

3. Incorporate the new National Security Law or the existing "Anti-Secession Law" into Annex III of the Basic Law and implement it in Hong Kong. In this way, even if the democratic faction seizes more than half of the seats, it will not hinder the implementation of Article 23 in Hong Kong. At the local specific legislative stage, the method of point 2 above is used to deal with the blocked democratic parliamentarians. The Chinese Communist Party Office said that the Citizen Party Guo Rongkeng would prevent the "National Anthem Law" from passing through the paralysis, which is a violation of the oath.

Starting from the Fourth Plenary Session of the 19th CPC Central Committee at the end of last year, Luo Huining, Director of the Liaison Office of the Communist Party of China, and Xia Baolong, Director of the Hong Kong and Macao Office, took up their posts early this year. Article 23 legislation and even the mutation of Hong Kong's political situation under the Sino-U.S. Game, have completely jumped out of the past routines to think, and the moves are fast, fierce and new. Twenty-three years ago, 23 legislations failed, and next year's World War I will be even more aggressive.

Basic Law Article 23 Basic Law Legislative Council Election

Source: hk1

All news articles on 2020-05-03

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