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Summer forecast 2020: A scenario scares even an expert - also because of Corona


This summer 2020 could break all records, there are many indications. A weather expert now makes a clear forecast - she speaks of extreme heat.

This summer 2020 could break all records, there are many indications. A weather expert now makes a clear forecast - she speaks of extreme heat.

  • The World Weather Organization (WMO) is now warning of a hot summer in 2020 .
  • The community and cities would have to prepare for the Corona * pandemic.
  • A brand new forecast for the summer of 2020 from a US weather service draws a " catastrophe scenario " for Germany and Europe ( see first report  on  May 27 ).    

Update May 31, 2020:  Provides the summer 2020 for record heat ? The meteorological summer starts on June 1st - and so far meteorologists have expressed concern that this could be accompanied by great drought ( see first report on May 27th ).

It is still unclear whether new heat records will actually be set in the summer of this year . Long-term models, however, predict at least an above-average hot summer start . “For some years now, we have been looking at summer forecasts with increasing concern. Extreme heat and a lack of precipitation seem to be slowly but surely becoming normal, ”says meteorologist Corinna Borau from the weather service 

Weather in Germany in summer 2020: Above average warm summer start?

A so-called rocking summer , in which hot, sunny and rainy days alternate, last occurred in 2007, 2011 and 2014 in Germany, according to the graduate meteorologist . During these summers, the average temperature was 16 to 17 degrees, which is in the range of the "normal climatological summer ". In the past two years, however, they were far from it. "The long-term forecasts for this year currently strongly suggest that we will be dealing with an above-average warm beginning of summer ," said Borau.

Summer forecast: new record? That speaks for a hot summer #wetter

- (@wettercom) May 14, 2020

After June , however, lower temperature deviations are expected for July and August . Heat days are still possible. Looking at the amount of precipitation is particularly worrying. "As things stand today, the summer in Central Europe will be far too dry," said the weather expert. 

Summer weather: A scenario scares even an expert - also because of Corona

First report from May 27, 2020:

Geneva / Munich - The first summer forecasts for 2020 were already available at the beginning of the year. The British weather service  Met Office immediately titled its forecast as a “shock forecast”. The first evaluations indicated record heat across Europe, including drought. A few days ago there were the latest summer forecasts from the state US weather service NOAA and the European weather service ECMWF , meteorologist Dominik Jung from the weather service Q.met  told the weather portal The two long-term forecasts for the weather * in Germany were in agreement on one thing: They predicted a rather dry summer. However, there were differences in the temperatures.

Weather: "Summer 2020 a European disaster scenario"  

Another forecast for summer 2020 is now available. The weather model from Accuweather , the U.S. private weather service . " Accuweather is drawing a European disaster scenario for the summer of 2020, " said weather expert Jung. "This forecast is really scary."

This scary forecast for the summer of 2020 by the private  US weather service Accuweather  has it all : top values ​​near the 40-degree mark and heat waves from Spain, France, Benelux and Germany to Poland are possible. Severe storms are also announced for Central Europe and Germany. Jung explains that in Germany we would be right in the middle between great dry heat and rather changeable cool air masses in the British Isles. This constellation would result in warm, humid to hot, humid weather and always dangerous thunderstorms with great storm potential. Dry heat could dominate from Austria to the bar. There would be a drought across Eastern Europe, as in the rest of Europe. This weather situation would cause violent forest fires, particularly in Spain, the weather expert continues.

" We want to hope that the colleagues are wrong in this case. That would really be the worst case for Europe and also for Germany - in addition to the Covid 19 pandemic, ” says meteorologist Jung. 

World Weather Organization (WMO) warns of hot summer 2020 

The World Weather Organization (WMO) also warns of a hot summer 2020 in the northern hemisphere. Already in the early months of the year, everything indicates that 2020 will be one of the hottest years since measurements began, WMO spokeswoman Clare Nullis said in Geneva on Tuesday, the news agency dpa said . Cities and towns should now prepare to protect people, even if the coronavirus pandemic makes it more complicated.

In other years, people in overheated apartments were recommended to go to refrigerated shopping centers, for example. Neighbors were asked to visit lonely and potentially vulnerable people regularly. On the other hand, many Corona advice now speak , such as the best to stay at home. In addition, hospitals might be less prepared to deal with heat stroke patients because they have to treat corona patients.

The WMO , together with the World Health Organization (WHO) and other partners online an information pack with ideas. It presents good examples from many countries. 

Weather in Germany: hot summer 2020 - these tips help with extreme temperatures

Among other things, a brochure of the Federal Environment Agency emphasizes that in heat recommends, among other things: 

  • to wear a wide-brimmed hat outside if possible
  • enough to drink
  • to let cool water run down your wrists
  • place damp compresses on the forehead or neck
  • Rub feet and back with Franzbrandwein
  • Switch off electrical devices and artificial lighting as a heat source more often.

When does summer 2020 start?

The meteorological summer begins on June 1 and ends on August 31.

The calendar summer 2020 begins on June 20 at 11:44 p.m. (CEST) with the solstice and ends on September 22, 2020 at 3:31 p.m. (CEST).

At Pentecost, the weather will probably not be perfect for the holidays either. So a "game spoiler" low is expected.

* is part of the nationwide Ippen-Digital editors network .

ml / dpa

List of rubric lists: © picture alliance / dpa / Ju lian Stratenschulte

Source: merkur

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