According to analysts: "Annexation changes opening conditions for future negotiations" • It is further argued: international criticism will soon wane

• Jordan Valley

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  Oren Ben Hakun

An analysis by the Ministry of Intelligence states that the present time is the most appropriate to implement the course of sovereignty in Judea, Samaria and the Jordan Valley. In addition, according to the firm's researchers, a security outbreak is not expected, and relations with the Arab states will soon be restored.

The position paper submitted to Minister of Intelligence Eli Cohen and reached by "Israel Today" presents the benefits of the application of sovereignty "This change the opening conditions for future negotiations with the Palestinians in favor of Israel and illustrates the cost of the Palestinian refusal to reach the negotiating table and therefore may urge them to return to the table. Stop further beats, ”it said.

Reminder - Netanyahu: "In a few months we will be able to exercise sovereignty" // Photo: GPO

According to analysts at the firm, international criticism will wane after a long period of time. "After a wave of political protests, especially from governments, annexation will not arouse the Arab street against the regimes. The development of unrest in the streets will clarify the Arab behavior for the absence of damage to the Palestinian issue for them. This insight can in the medium term provide a platform for improving relations with Israel. To an Israeli-Palestinian settlement. "

As a result, the Ministry of Intelligence believes that sovereignty may actually cause the Palestinians to sit in negotiations with Israel, and not keep them away. "After a period of acclimatization to the international system of annexation, the move will push Palestinians and regions and the world into solutions that are not fixed to the 1967 lines and mainly territorial aspects."

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As for the timing question, the recommendation is to annex now and not to postpone it, as there is no telling what the outcome of the US presidential election will be in November. It is also estimated there is "little unrest in Jordan, especially if it does not take place in Judea and Samaria." To apply sovereignty now is "the Palestinian Authority's opposition to the use of violence, because of its existential self-interest."

"The world is busy in Corona"

Other reasons for implementing the move at the present time are "the low international status of the Palestinian Authority due to the rift against the US, the lack of Hamas motivation to fight, the indifference of the Palestinian public in the US, which is mostly preoccupied today, the busy world in Corona and the troubled Arab public on local issues. ".