Political situation
Written by: Wu Zhuoan
2020-07-11 08:15
Last update date: 2020-07-11 08:15The Legislative Council elections will be held in September. The establishment faction has already completed the arrangement. The democrats will hold their primary elections this Saturday (11th) and Sunday (12th) to select the warriors representing the democratic factions. As for the "Hope Alliance" regarded as a representative of the centrist camp, it is expected that people will be sent to the three districts for direct election. In the "post-national security law era", can the centrists make a breakthrough under the proportional representation system, and obtain seats as a "key minority"?
An interview with "Hong Kong 01" by the former Financial Assistant of the Financial Secretary, Luo Yongcong, who participated in the "Hope Alliance" revealed that the "Hope Alliance" had conducted a poll on issues such as "speculation" and found that nearly half of the supporters of the Democrats did not Agreeing to refute the "budgeting" by means of vetoing the "Budget" and so on, describing that not supporting the "scramble" is across different political spectrums, reflecting the voters' demand for the middle line.
Former Financial Secretary Zeng Jun Huawei Alliance "help boxing". (Photo/Photo by Luo Guohui)
Luo Yongcong pointed out that there is a need for the middle route
. The "Hope Alliance" formed by the Honorary Chairman of the Liberal Party, Tian Beijun, can be described as star-studded. The former Financial Secretary Zeng Junhua also helped the alliance "help boxing", shooting promotional videos and showing up at ticket stations to assist the potential of the alliance. Candidate "platform". The Alliance plans to send three people to the three districts for direct elections. Among them, Li Qidi, former editor of the Hong Kong University "Academy", actively considers running in the New Territories East, Pan Zhuhong, managing director of China Science, and direct elections in Kowloon West. Honorary lecturer in the Department of Political and Public Administration of the University of Hong Kong Yuan Michang intends to enter the Hong Kong Island direct election.
Whether the middle route has market and demand in Hong Kong has been debated endlessly. In the 2016 Legislative Council General Election, the democratic ideas and new ideas that focused on the middle line were also sent to the election. Among them, the democratic ideas led by Tang Jiahua sent two people to the election. Huang Ziqian, who played on the Hong Kong Island District, only won 10,028 votes. Mai Jiajin, who chose New Territories East, lost by 8,084 votes. The two received less than 3% of the votes. New thinking Di Zhiyuan also returned. The record of the last centrists makes one wonder whether the middle line has a foothold in Hong Kong in 2020 when the political spectrum is more polarized.
Luo Yongcong admitted that it was an objective fact that the centrists had "no meat" in past elections, but he believed that it had something to do with the candidate and the environment. Luo Yongcong pointed out that the "Hope Alliance" had conducted a public opinion survey on issues such as "lanking speculation", and found that nearly half of the supporters of the democratic group did not agree to veto the "lanking speculation" by means of vetoing the "Budget" and described it as not supporting the "lanking speculation". "Speculation" is across different political spectrums, reflecting the electorate's need for the middle course.
Tian Beijun led the establishment of the Hope Alliance. (Profile picture/photo by Luo Junhao)
Democrats' primary elections draw a crossbow, "Dark Yellow" blackmails "Light Yellow"
The National Security Act of the Minato District was formally implemented in Hong Kong on the 30th of last month. There are voices that the national security strategy has strengthened the support of the traditional establishment system on the one hand, and on the other hand, it is like helping the democratic elections in the Legislative Council elections. The factions are going to extremes, has the middle school caught in the slit been affected? Luo Yongcong described the "National Security Law" as a process of "adding firewood and adding fire". "Together adding firewood to the fire, the whole process will force the number of votes to go on both sides (establishment, pan-population), which is more extreme." But Luo Yongcong pointed out that the centrist is not To become a "majority", but to "enough to fly", "enough to fly" means that under the proportional representation example, as long as there is a sufficient proportion of support, the centrist can be elected, so the key is not whether to become a majority, but whether there is Enough votes.
In the democratic primary election forum, traditional democrats and locals fought against each other. The traditional democrats were attacked by locals on issues such as abstaining from voting in Parliament and whether the rule of law is dead. Luo Yongcong, who claimed to be a supporter of the traditional Democratic Party, also felt the situation of the primary election forum. He pointed to the extreme line of democratic parties "bundling" and "blackmailing" traditional democratic parties, which narrowed the spectrum of the democratic parties and described it. The situation "I don't think it's the right way", "I want to be a primary target? I want to consolidate and broaden the spectrum of democrats, but on the forum, I see "deep yellow" and continue to "hold" "light yellow" "Dark Yellow" must support the "Deep Yellow" route if it is light yellow. The objective effect is not to widen to a spectrum, but to narrow it tightly. Many friends don’t know how to cast a good edge."
Luo Yongcong frankly expressed concern about the "deep yellow" holding "light yellow", but he laughed that it might be helpful to the election of the "Hope Alliance". The faction is tied up by extreme forces, and the number of votes may fall in the middle of the route with the gentle route."
Luo Yongcong frankly expressed concern about the "deep yellow" holding "light yellow".
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