The 2020 municipal elections or the triumph of leavers? Behind emblematic seesaws (Marseille, Lyon, Bordeaux, Tours, etc.), mainly for the benefit of the Greens, three-quarters of the mayors elected at the end of June in cities with more than 3,500 inhabitants were outgoing; and 83% of the outgoing mayors were re-elected (1). But, when we look at past polls, we see that this loyalty to the teams in place is not new.
The OpinionWay Institute has analyzed all municipal elections since 1977 in cities with more than 20,000 inhabitants.
Read also: Outgoing mayors, other municipal winners
One in 10 mayors who are not candidates
First lesson: while we predicted a “fed up” of leavers, the rate of mayors in place not representing themselves in 2020 was only 11.8%. This is barely more than the average of the eight polls analyzed (10.6%). In the 42 cities with more than 100,000 inhabitants, this was the case for five of them: Jean-Claude Gaudin in Marseille, Roland Ries in Strasbourg, Dominique Gros in Metz, Yvon Robert in Rouen and Jean-Louis
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