Political situation
Written by: Chen Xiaoyu
2020-07-14 01:16
Date of last update: 2020-07-14 01:16The results of the electronic voting of the democratic primary elections came out first, and many Democratic candidates were ranked in the lower position. The ADPL paid more respect to the threshold of entry and exit at the Kowloon East. Cai Ziqiang, a senior lecturer in the Department of Political Science and Administration at CUHK, said that this result was a blow to the traditional democrats. "Natives and amateurs win." With this pattern and momentum, it is estimated that the Hong Kong government will respond with a tougher attitude, including A large number of DQ "respondents" may put aside the election of the Legislative Council on the grounds of the epidemic.
Cai Ziqiang estimated that after the September Legislative Council election, the political landscape of the democrats may be reshuffled. (Profile picture)
Cai Ziqiang believes that there are two reasons for the result of this election. One is that the composition of the electorate structure is different from the direct elections in the past, with the supporters of "deep yellow" as the mainstream, plus some voters who resisted electronic voting did not participate in the vote; first, Hong Kong politics is facing high pressure, and voters tend to vote " Candidates with obvious characteristics of the "Resistance", but the traditional moderation of the general public like the ADPL is a disadvantage.
Cai Ziqiang estimated that after the September Legislative Council election, the political landscape of the democrats may be reshuffled.
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Tsai also pointed out that since this primary election showed that the hard-line "resistance" candidates became mainstream, and that there were more citizens participating in the primary election than expected, the political atmosphere was fiercer than expected, and it is estimated that the government will adopt a tougher method Respond. Cai predicts that the Hong Kong government will have a large number of DQ "resistance" candidates, reducing the chances of the "resistance" entering the parliament, and the first shelving the September Legislative Council election on the grounds that the epidemic has returned.
Cai Ziqiang believes that the acceptance of this primary election is extremely high, and believes that the chances of participants to "reverse Taiwan" are very small. It also reflects that the public hopes that through the primary election, the democrats will win the most seats in the Legislative Council elections, so the democrats must vote. , More optimistic than before.
Legislative Council election 2020