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Written by: Chen Qianting
2020-08-03 15:17
Last update date: 2020-08-03 15:18The novel coronavirus pneumonia epidemic continues to spread. A total of 3,512 confirmed cases (including one suspected) have been recorded in Hong Kong so far, with a total of 37 deaths, of which 30 died within the first 3 days of July and August, as recorded on August 1. The peak of seven deaths in a single day.
Liang Zichao, chairman of the Infectious Disease Advisory Committee of the Medical Association, believes that compared with the average death rate of more than 5% in other countries, the death rate of new pneumonia in Hong Kong is not high, but the epidemic is still not over, and the death rate is expected to continue to rise. He pointed out that the mortality rate only reflects the characteristics of patients in the third wave of the epidemic. For example, in the recent outbreak of multiple hospitals, people who are older and have long-term illnesses are originally a high-risk group, and the mortality rate after infection is also higher than that of March or April. The number of sick young people is high, and the data may not be linked to the local medical standards.
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Hong Kong has ushered in the third wave of the new type of pneumonia since July. Many hospitals and homes for the elderly have exploded in succession. Patients are as old as 80 or 90 years old. Many people have long-term illnesses. According to data from the Hospital Authority, there were a total of 37 deaths from new pneumonia in Hong Kong. The first 7 deceased died between February and June. However, since July, the number of confirmed patients has continued to increase. From July to August, the number of The death of 30 new patients also increased the mortality rate in Hong Kong to 1.05%.
The increase in mortality does not necessarily reflect the level of medical care
Liang Zichao, chairman of the Infectious Disease Advisory Committee of the Medical Association, said that the mortality rate mainly reflects the characteristics of patients in recent days and may not be linked to the local medical level. He mentioned that since last month, there have been outbreaks in many hospitals. Many patients are elderly people with long-term illnesses. They are at higher risk and are more likely to have complications after infection, resulting in death rates. Increase.
Hong Kong also recorded a peak in the number of confirmed diagnoses in March and April. Liang Zichao said that most of the patients at that time were young, asymptomatic or mildly symptomatic. They were imported cases and their condition was relatively stable, which was very different from the recent patients.
Liang Zichao, Chairman of the Infectious Disease Advisory Committee of the Medical Association. (Profile picture)
Less than 100 cases recorded for the first time since the 12th Liang Zichao: not equal to a fall
In the past 12 days, Hong Kong has recorded a single-day increase of "100%" cases. According to the news, about 80 confirmed cases were added today, which is the first decline in nearly two weeks. However, Liang Zichao reminded that 80 cases are still high and inconclusive. This is a fall, because there are still many outbreaks in different places in the community, and the public still cannot relax.
Should focus on strengthening the detection of confirmed persons related persons
In the face of the rapid increase in the number of confirmed cases, Hong Kong’s detection speed has lagged. Liang Zichao pointed out that the current test results have been delayed by about 6 days, making it impossible for the authorities to track close contacts in time, or for invisible patients to continue to move around in the community. The question, "The inspection is done for nothing."
Some people think that the mainland may send personnel to Hong Kong to carry out large-scale national testing. Liang Zichao disagrees with the suggestion. The reason is that Hong Kong had tested asymptomatic people earlier, and the positive rate was quite low. He suggested that testing should be concentrated. Speed up testing for people with a history of contact with the confirmed person, as well as people with acute respiratory symptoms and fever, to reduce detection delays and grasp the golden opportunity
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