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Interview | Yuan Guoyong promotes the implementation of three strategies to prevent winter explosion

2020-08-09T04:13:21.504Z


The third wave of new crown pneumonia in Hong Kong lasted for more than a month, and only showed signs of a decline in the past six days. This effect is not easy to come by, including restaurants banning evening meals, tightening the gathering order to two people, compulsory wearing of masks, and even increasing the amount of testing to nearly 10,000 samples. Behind these measures, many local cases come from restaurants, hospitals and markets. Professor Yuan Guoyong of the Department of Microbiology of the University of Hong Kong, in an interview with "Hong Kong 01", pointed out that if everyone clings to the slack thinking after the epidemic, it will cost several billions more, and the nationwide testing will be required. He asked whether he would have to pay the price. . He called on the society to be vigilant. The winter epidemic may be more severe. Three major precautions must be taken, including border control, high-risk prevention and control, and sufficient number of tests. "It must be implemented, not just talk about it."


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Written by: Zhang Meilan and Li Enci

2020-08-09 12:00

Last update date: 2020-08-09 12:00

The third wave of new crown pneumonia in Hong Kong lasted for more than a month, and only showed signs of a decline in the past six days. This effect is not easy to come by, including restaurants banning evening meals, tightening the gathering order to two people, compulsory wearing of masks, and even increasing the amount of testing to nearly 10,000 samples. Behind these measures, many local cases come from restaurants, hospitals and markets.

Professor Yuan Guoyong of the Department of Microbiology of the University of Hong Kong, in an interview with "Hong Kong 01", pointed out that if everyone clings to the slack thinking after the epidemic, it will cost several billions more, and the nationwide testing will be required. He asked whether he would have to pay the price. . He called on the society to be vigilant. The winter epidemic may be more severe. Three major precautions must be taken, including border control, high-risk prevention and control, and sufficient number of tests. "It must be implemented, not just talk about it."

Originally, I didn't make it so, and it cost billions of dollars. It was meaningless and unnecessary.

Yuan Guoyong

Every time it fails, it will cost billions of dollars. Should we waste Hong Kong's reserves in this way?

Yuan Guoyong

Yuan Guoyong said that although there is a community outbreak in Hong Kong, the number of infections per million people is still very low compared to Brazil, the United States, and the United Kingdom. (Photo by Liang Pengwei)

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Extended reading: Interview|Yuan Guoyong said that nationwide testing is a good thing: 7500 people will be tested as soon as possible

The results of the epidemic control in Hong Kong were affirmed by the outside world before July. When the outbreak was severe in various countries around the world, the infection route of patients in Hong Kong was roughly traced. As of July 4, the cumulative number of cases was 1,259, and the death toll was 7. However, in the third wave of the epidemic, more than 2,700 cases have skyrocketed in just one month, and 40 people have passed away. The number is far higher than the sum of the previous six months, and the source of about 40% of cases is unknown.

"Originally, I didn't get it."

Yuan Guoyong said in an interview that although there is a community outbreak in Hong Kong, the number of infections per million people is still very low compared to Brazil, the United States, and the United Kingdom. "Hong Kong is still successful today because it has never tried lockdown. (Closed the city), I have never tried to stop completely, unlike New York and London, so I still have confidence in the Hong Kong model." He pointed out that this outbreak also has pros and cons. The advantage is to learn to prevent the next outbreak, but the disadvantage is "the original Don't you get it, it cost billions of dollars, it's meaningless, it's unnecessary."

According to his analysis, in the third wave of patients, two-thirds are related to restaurants, as well as market stalls, direct selling company Star Global group, etc., these places will not wear masks. He joked, "If everyone in the world wears a mask, the epidemic should disappear after 14 days," but reality is impossible.

Yuan Guoyong emphasized that three things were not done well before. The first is that too many people are exempted from quarantine, the second is that when the epidemic prevention measures are relaxed, there are many high-risk environments that have not implemented prevention and control, and the third is that the daily inspection of 7,500 samples has not been achieved. (Photo by Liang Pengwei)

Three things without epidemic prevention

Yuan Guoyong emphasized that there were three things that did not do well before. The first is that too many people are exempted from quarantine; the second is that when the epidemic prevention measures are relaxed, there are many high-risk environments that have not been implemented for prevention and control; the third is that 7,500 samples are not tested daily. For example, he said that many experts recommend that citizens should be required to check the heat, wear masks, and use alcohol handrub before entering the market. "When shopping for goods, the virus will be spread. Check if you have a fever, wear a mask, and rub your hands. Going to see a lot of supermarkets is nothing at all."

Father's Day restaurant lifts ban

Another example is that he has repeatedly emphasized that on Father's Day in June, the government decided to lift the ban on the number of restaurants and relax the gathering restriction to 50 people. He saw many restaurants with crowds and people who did not wear masks. There is no 1.5-meter distance between stations as required by law. "In restaurants, people will remove their masks, breathe out particles, speak loudly and spew out more particles, singing is very sharp. There are millions of particles when you cough, and 45 million particles are tight."

He emphasized that the government relaxes social distancing measures, and other measures to control high-risk points must be implemented, such as improving the ventilation of hospitals and restaurants, and maintaining the distance between platforms. "If you want to implement it, don't just talk about it, you talk about it. Will anyone listen to you?" He said that no matter what penalties or inspections are used, we must also find ways to achieve the goal.

As for when the ban on food can be relaxed, he said: “(If you don’t comply with the measures), you should not let it go. It should not be relaxed, or something will happen. Because that is a high-risk place.” He also pointed out when the students would return to school for classes. The best policy is to prevent the epidemic, reduce school time as much as possible, and not eat lunch at school.

The test must be sent to the hospital if the diagnosis is confirmed within two days

Yuan Guoyong predicts that the outbreak of the epidemic in winter may be much more serious than in summer. The government needs to carefully relax measures and strengthen testing. Will do well."

The outside world is worried about the shortage of medical staff and how to deal with a large number of patients. Yuan Guoyong believes that the deployment of manpower should be asked to the Hospital Authority. "It is a problem of deployment. All non-emergency services are out of service. As the workload of people is reduced, manpower can be deployed."

He said that it will take another 9 months to a year to wait for an effective vaccine. If the government's measures are not implemented, they will have to pay a great price. "Each time they fail to be implemented, it will cost billions of dollars. Is this a waste of Hong Kong's reserves?

Yuan Guoyong predicts that the outbreak in winter will be much more serious than in summer, and the government needs to carefully relax measures and strengthen testing. (Photo by Liang Pengwei)

▼In the third wave, the government has extended the restrictions on gatherings and banned food in the evening market.▼

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Interview|Yuan Guoyong said that nationwide testing is a good thing: 7500 people will be tested as soon as possible

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Source: hk1

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