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Written by: Commentary Editing Room
2020-08-13 07:00
Last update date: 2020-08-13 07:00After the third wave of the new crown pneumonia epidemic in Hong Kong lasted for more than a month, the number of newly confirmed diagnoses has remained at double digits recently, showing signs of decline. But does this mean that this round of the epidemic has been brought under control?
The number of newly confirmed cases fell to less than 100, but the number still fluctuates. 33 cases were confirmed on Tuesday (11th). Although it was the lowest since the 27th, it nearly doubled to 62 cases on Wednesday. On the same day, 28 cases were of unknown origin, proving that the chain of community transmission has not been completely cut. At this time, it can be described as the dividing line of the epidemic situation. If it is relaxed too early, it will easily cause the epidemic to heat up again.
At present, excluding the units that are under maintenance and disinfection, there are 602 quarantine units that can be used immediately in Hong Kong. However, as the quarantine use of Block 1, 2, and 3 of Junyang Village is expected to be extended to mid-August, after the delivery of Junyang Village, there will be about 470 quarantine units in short. In other words, once the society relaxes its vigilance early due to the temporary decline in new diagnoses, the epidemic will face a more severe situation and test than before. On the one hand, the government has to speed up the completion of the 700 additional quarantine units in Penny's Bay, and on the other hand, society should not be discouraged at this time.
The first batch of 800 units of the Penny's Bay Quarantine Center was officially put into operation on July 18. (Chen Zhaoshi FB picture)
Strengthen tracking and expand detection
According to expert Yuan Guoyong's estimation, it will take another year at the earliest before effective vaccines become popular. Therefore, for at least this year, the government's grasp of the relaxation of epidemic prevention measures is crucial. In reviewing the outbreak of the third wave of the epidemic, the four government departments did not count the number of people exempted from quarantine and the number of crossings, which made it difficult for the government and expert teams to monitor the epidemic trend and make timely adjustments. In addition, the third round of the epidemic began in early July, and there have been double-digit new cases every day with a large number of cases of unknown origin. However, the government did not announce work from home until July 20, which was not timely. Therefore, before the popularization of vaccines, the government must establish a more systematic and unified recording and monitoring of epidemic prevention data in order to make the most timely adjustments to avoid the economic and human losses caused by the outbreak. Among them, the lesson that should be especially learned is to strengthen the control of the number of people exempted from quarantine in principle to avoid repeating the mistakes.
Second, the experience of the Mainland and the United Kingdom has shown that expanded testing can reduce the spread of the epidemic. At present, mainland experts have come to Hong Kong to share their experience. The government should seize the opportunity of the current decline in the epidemic, gradually expand testing according to groups and needs, and even establish a long-term mechanism to test citizens at regular intervals to identify potential patients, so that society and the economy Can operate in low-risk situations.
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