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Corona in Germany: Numbers are falling considerably - but that should prove to be deceptive

2020-08-31T13:49:50.447Z


The corona virus continues to spread, but the daily new infections in Germany remain at a largely constant level.


The corona virus continues to spread, but the daily new infections in Germany remain at a largely constant level.

  • In Germany, the number of corona infections has been rising again since mid-August.
  • Is the second wave really threatening in autumn?
  • The Robert Koch Institute publishes the latest figures on a daily basis.

Update from August 31, 1:25 p.m .: After the summer holidays, a mask is required in Bavaria , initially for nine school days . This was announced by the Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) on Monday * after discussions with parents, teachers and student representatives in Munich. The Free State is thus taking a similar path to the fight against corona infections as North Rhine-Westphalia (see update from August 31, 10:41 a.m.) .

Fear of Corona - fewer emergencies in the hospital

Update from August 31, 11:04 a.m .: For fear of Corona, fewer people with life-threatening illnesses were admitted to hospital as emergencies than usual. For heart attacks as well as strokes and mental illnesses , hospital admissions in March (lockdown) were sometimes around a quarter below the previous year's level, announced the health insurance DAK-Gesundheit on Monday after evaluating clinical data. 26 percent fewer patients with a heart attack came to a clinic than in the same month last year. A similar picture emerged in patients with stroke and cerebral haemorrhage. In June, however, the care for all serious illnesses normalized again, as the evaluation of the health insurance company with 5.6 million insured shows.

Meanwhile, the question of the danger of aerosols continues to arise. An infectiologist is now settling accounts with Drosten & Co. and sees a "completely exaggerated discussion."

Coronavirus in Germany: Mask requirement in the classroom ends in NRW

Update from August 31, 10:41 a.m .: In North Rhine-Westphalia , the mask requirement in class for students in secondary and vocational schools ends this Monday . However, the mask requirement remains in place in the schoolyards and in the building. NRW had limited the mask requirement until August 31 and did not extend it. Parents in particular had complained. They feared for the children's health. "Shortness of breath, dizziness, headaches, nosebleeds" are the result of wearing a mask. From Tuesday, the children will be sitting in class again without a mask and without a gap. In Bavaria, on the other hand, there is now discussion about a mask requirement in class. The summer vacation ends in a week (September 7th).

Corona in Germany: Politicians fear more infections because of the Berlin demo

Update from August 31, 8 a.m.: The number of new infections with the coronavirus has been rising for the first time since spring since mid-August, experts are already speculating about a possible second wave. Also SPD health politician Karl Lauterbach now expressed concern about possibly again rising infection levels in Germany. Accordingly, Lauterbach is particularly concerned about the demonstration in Berlin .

As the politician confirmed to the Funke media group on Sunday, it was the first large demonstration during the second wave of the pandemic: “It was the first large demonstration without masks and distance during the second wave of the pandemic , in which the number of infections rose again. There is a likelihood that infected people came from all over Germany and became super spreaders here. "

But according to Lauterbach, the demonstration itself is not the greatest risk . Traveling to and from the country in particular has many opportunities to infect others. "So I expect an impact on the number of infections both in Berlin and in Germany," predicts the SPD health politician.

Corona in Germany: Rober Koch Institute reports current infection numbers from Sunday

Update from August 31, 7 a.m.: The number of new infections in Germany continues to rise even after the weekend. As the Robert Koch Institute reported early Monday morning, the number of people officially tested positive for the coronavirus in Germany has increased by a further 610 cases in the past 24 hours. According to the RKI, there should be around 17,600 active corona cases in Germany. The death toll has risen by a further three people to around 9295.

Corona in Germany: Decline in the number of infections deceptive?

Update from August 30, 6:20 p.m .: A look at the corona-free counties in Germany shows that the decline in the number of infections is deceptive : After there were 26 counties on Saturday that had not reported any corona infection in the past seven days , on Sunday there are only 17. At least a good thing: In another 142 of the total of 401 German districts, the seven-day incidence is below 5.0 / 100,000 inhabitants. In twelve districts, however, there is also an increased seven-day incidence with at least 25 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The southern federal states are mainly affected, while the corona-free areas are mainly located in the east.

The corona-free districts of Germany

Bavaria : District-free city of Amberg, district of Coburg, district of Wunsiedel i. Fichtel Mountains

Brandenburg : District-free city of Cottbus, district-free city of Frankfurt (Oder), Oberspreewald-Lausitz district, Spree-Neisse district, Uckermark district

Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania : District of Rostock, District of Northwest Mecklenburg

Saxony-Anhalt : Harz district, Stendal district

Schleswig-Holstein : Ostholstein district

Thuringia : Hildburghausen district, Ilm district, Sonneberg district, Saalfeld-Rudolstad district

The counties worst affected by Corona (at least 25 cases per 100,000 inhabitants)

Baden-Württemberg : Stadtkreis Heilbronn (45.3), Stadtkreis Mannheim (29.1), Stadtkreis Ulm (25.3)

Bavaria : District-free city of Rosenheim (41.1 / 100,000), district-free city of Munich (33.1), district-free city of Ingolstadt (31.4), district of Dachau (29.2), district of Kehlheim (27.0), district of Neumarkt in der Oberpfalz (27.0), district-free city of Augsburg (26.8), district of Dillingen an der Donau (26.0)

Hesse : District-free city of Wiesbaden (27.4)

Update from August 30, 5.41 p.m .: The R value remains constant - above the critical level of 1.As the current management report of the Robert Koch Institute shows, the number of reproductions is 1.04, as on the previous day (data status: 30 August, midnight). The smoothed weekly R decreases from 1.01 to 0.95.

The institute also reported a decrease in the number of corona cases (see update at 8:30 a.m.). However, it remains to be seen how meaningful the information is. In the past, the number of infections was not sufficiently reported by all federal states. This is probably one of the reasons why the RKI wrote on Sunday: "Even if the number of cases is falling again in some federal states, the development of the past few weeks remains worrying." The current situation should not be underestimated.

Corona in Germany: first carnival procession in Cologne canceled

Update from August 30, 3:28 p.m .: The first carnival procession in Cologne has been canceled due to Corona. The " Zollstocker Tuesday Train " does not take place. The
board member Michael Siegenbruck announced on Saturday evening in a
live video that the participating schools and kindergartens could not be held responsible for waiting even longer with a decision . Health and financial risks are too high to continue planning the train. Health and financial risks are too high to continue planning the train. The association would have wanted to start building wagons as well as organizing chapels and security services shortly. But the carnival in Zollstock
should not be completely canceled in the coming year . They wanted to drive through the Veedel in a music car, said Siegenbruck. In the middle of the month, the Large Mülheim Carnival Society had already canceled its participation in the Cologne Rose Monday procession. Here, too, the management board stated the lack of planning security as the reason.

Stricter requirements for ventilation systems planned due to Corona

Update from August 30, 10.16 a.m .: The federal government wants to tighten the requirements for ventilation systems in public buildings and companies, according to a media report. "The ventilation of building interiors, in which several people stay not only for a short time, is to be improved in particular by increasing air exchange and outside air supply so that the risk of infection is largely minimized," according to the news portal "The Pioneer" in a template from the Ministry of Labor for a meeting of the Corona cabinet on Thursday.

It should be ensured across the board that suitable measures to protect against infection are implemented through professional ventilation . The government is therefore demanding that all types of ventilation systems be checked and modernized before the start of the heating season - for example for heating, cooling, humidifying and dehumidifying. In addition, she demands that the systems either run permanently or longer than before. In addition, less ambient and more fresh air should be used.

Ventilating indoor spaces is one of the measures to prevent new infections, in addition to hygiene and distance rules and wearing an everyday mask. The RKI also points this out. The Sars-CoV-2 coronavirus could be detected in droplets, but also in aerosols. However, it is still unclear in science whether the viral load in the air is sufficient to become infected.

Corona in Germany: RKI reports 785 new corona cases - a deceptive value

Update from August 30th, 8:30 a.m .: The health authorities in Germany have reported 785 new corona infections and six deaths in the past 24 hours , the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) announced early Sunday morning. According to the RKI, there are currently 17,576 active corona cases in Germany .

However, the numbers are not very meaningful with regard to the infection rate. Over the past weekends it has already been shown that not all health authorities transmit case numbers to the RKI. Nevertheless, according to the RKI, an increase in the number of cases can be observed in Baden-Württemberg , Bavaria and Bremen in the past week. It is noticeable that more and more younger people are becoming infected.

The RKI gives the reproduction number - R-value for short - 1.04 (previous day: 0.94). This means that one infected person infects a little more than one other person on average. The R-value depicts the infection rate about one and a half weeks beforehand. The RKI estimates the 7-day R at 1.01 (previous day: 1.01). The value reflects the infection rate from eight to 16 days ago.

  • Since the beginning of the corona pandemic, 241,771 Covid 19 cases have been officially registered in Germany.
  • 9,295 people have died so far in connection with the Sars-CoV-2 coronavirus .
  • The RKI estimates that around 214,900 infected people survived Covid-19.

Update from August 29, 10:30 p.m.: Many holidaymakers from Germany traveled here during the corona crisis : Croatia is increasingly coming into focus in the coronavirus pandemic . Holidays between Istria, Zagreb and Dalmatia remain popular. But there are allegations with regard to Covid-19.

Corona in Germany: Federal Interior Minister Horst Seehofer criticizes the supposed back and forth

Update from August 29, 4:36 p.m .: Federal Minister of the Interior Horst Seehofer has criticized the back and forth in dealing with return travelers in the Corona crisis. "We all need orientation and reliability in this crisis," said the CSU * politician to the Donaukurier . “That affects tens of thousands of people. That's why we mustn't change our strategy too often. "

Seehofer was referring to the change of course that was made on Thursday at the conference between Chancellor Angela Merkel * (CDU) and the Prime Ministers of the federal states. Thereafter, the rules for returnees from risk areas should be changed again after just a few weeks. In the meantime, the whole of Spain could soon be declared a risk area.

You should go into quarantine and in future be allowed to leave it at the earliest with a negative test carried out five days after entry . At the moment, it is still the case for these travelers that they can bypass the quarantine by presenting a test that is no more than 48 hours old upon arrival or by a test carried out in Germany by order of the authorities.

Corona in Germany: Seehofer finds Söder's test strategy "very convincing"

In addition, the federal and state governments have agreed to end the free corona tests for travelers from non-risk areas at the end of the summer holidays on September 15 . Bavaria's Prime Minister Markus Söder (CSU) wants to stick to his offer of free tests at airports, train stations and highways. Seehofer said: "I think the Bavarian way of testing, testing, testing is very convincing."

Regarding the demands that the police should monitor the quarantine of returning travelers, the interior minister was still cautious: “This is a new request. But there are many open questions that need to be clarified over the next few weeks. We'll talk about it and see what solutions we can find. "

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Federal Interior Minister Horst Seehofer (CSU) praises Bavaria's Prime Minister Markus Söder for his corona test strategy.

© Christoph Soeder / POOL / AFP

RKI names Corona numbers for Germany: District in Bavaria exceeds the limit - but statistics give hope

Update from August 29, 10:20 a.m.: The fact that the daily new infections in Germany have been at a constant level for several days can be seen as a sign that the impending second wave could not quickly get out of control. This impression is also borne out by another statistic which could even herald a negative trend.

The 7-day average of registered new infections fell by four percent compared to the previous week. This means that for the first time since July 16, the key figure has fallen below the level of the previous week. Although this observation does not yet confirm an actual trend, it does show that the increase in corona infections has slowed, at least for a short time. The numbers for the coming weeks will indicate the existence of a long-term trend.

The mother of all # Corona graphics, episode 4:

The 7-day average of the new cases is 4% BELOW the previous week - and thus for the first time since July 16 in the minus range. 🙏 🙏

The number of active cases is only 8% above the previous week = the lowest value since July 21. 🙏 🙏 @world pic.twitter.com/aHlXTCGEQ2

- Olaf Gersemann (@OlafGersemann) August 29, 2020

RKI names new corona numbers for Germany: Rosenheim exceeds the limit

Update from August 29, 8:35 a.m.: The number of new infections reported with the novel Sars-CoV-2 coronavirus remains largely constant on Saturday. The Robert Koch Institute states that 1,479 newly infected people were reported by the health authorities within the last 24 hours - 92 fewer than the day before.

The total number of Covid-19 cases in the Federal Republic rises to 240,986. Since the pandemic began , 9,289 people have died as a result of Covid 19 disease - one more than on Friday. The unofficial corona hotspot of the Federal Republic remains the independent city of Rosenheim in Upper Bavaria. There, 52.1 cases per 100,000 inhabitants were registered in the last seven days. This makes Rosenheim the only city in Bavaria where the government's limit of 50 cases per 100,000 inhabitants is exceeded.

Why do men get sick much more seriously than women with the coronavirus? Now there could be clarity.

Corona in Germany: Due to the impending second wave - Hungary closes its borders

Update from August 28, 8:15 p.m.: This message should also cause a lot of stir with the federal government in Berlin .

Corona hammer from Budapest! Due to the second wave of the coronavirus pandemic, Hungary is closing its borders with Austria, among others. Even your own citizens - those who live in Germany , for example - have to adapt properly with a view to their home country.

#Hungary closes from Sept. 1 its limits for all foreigners, including EU citizens. When asked about d. current Corona traffic light regulation said Chancellery Minister G. Gulyás: "Hungary is green, everything else is red!"

- Ernst Gelegs (@Gelegs) August 28, 2020

Coronavirus pandemic in Germany: number of corona cases more or less constant

Update from August 28, 7.15 p.m.: The number of new coronavirus infections every day is now more or less constant.

According to the ZDF news program today, an average of 1,330 newly reported corona cases per day in Germany were added over the past seven days . The federal government and the federal states tightened the protective measures on Thursday due to the increasing numbers and announced fines for mask refusers , among other things .

Corona pandemic in Germany: polarized demonstration against Covid-19 measures

Update from August 28, 6:40 p.m.: The corona pandemic is obviously increasingly polarizing in Germany .

After the Berlin administrative court overturned the ban on a demonstration against the Covid-19 measures planned for Saturday in the capital, dozens to hundreds of opponents of the corona policy of the federal government and the states gathered at the Brandenburg Gate near the Bundestag on Friday evening .

As the picture reports, face masks are not worn and distance and hygiene rules are not observed. On Saturday, up to 3,000 police officers will be on duty in Berlin around the demo. Strangers even called for violence against police officers on social media.

Corona pandemic in Germany: Angela Merkel calls coronavirus a "democratic imposition"

Update from August 28, 4:15 p.m.: Chancellor Angela Merkel spoke about the corona pandemic in Germany in her obligatory summer press conference, sometimes with emotional words .

“The virus is a democratic imposition. We will have to live with this virus for even longer, "said the German head of government:" Not everything will be the same as it was before the corona pandemic . That hits us hard and existentially. "

Chancellor #Merkel in the #summer press conference on the three goals that are particularly important for her in the #corona pandemic in the coming weeks: pic.twitter.com/DuzDQBD48m

- Steffen Seibert (@RegSsprecher) August 28, 2020

Merkel also commented on the horror scenario of a second lockdown: “I think that it will not happen again as it was in the first few weeks. (...) It won't be like that again, we will be able to do a little better. "

Corona pandemic in Germany: alcohol ban in Munich in public spaces

Update from August 28, 3:10 p.m.: In Munich, the number of new infections continues to rise, for this reason there is now a night-time alcohol ban in public spaces.

Since the early warning value of 35 infected people per 100,000 inhabitants was exceeded within seven days, this "general decree comes into force," as a city spokesman said.

Corona in Germany: Robert Koch Institute publishes current figures

Update from August 28, 6:30 a.m.: According to the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) , the health authorities in Germany reported 1571 new corona infections early on Friday morning within one day . The day before it was 1507. On Saturday, 2034 new cases had exceeded the 2000 mark for the first time since the end of April.

Since the beginning of the Corona crisis, at least 239,507 people in Germany have been shown to have been infected with the Sars-CoV-2 virus, as the RKI reported on the Internet on Friday morning (data as of August 28, 00:00 a.m.). According to the RKI, the number of deaths in connection with a corona infection is 9288. Three more deaths have been reported since the previous day. According to RKI estimates, around 213,200 people had survived the infection by Friday morning.

According to RKI estimates in Germany, the number of reproductions , or R-value for short, was 0.83 (previous day: 0.85) according to Thursday's announcement. This means that one infected person infects slightly less than another person on average. The R-value depicts the infection rate about one and a half weeks beforehand.

Corona in Germany: RKI expects a vaccine at the beginning of 2021

Update from August 27, 7.40 p.m.: Similar to the number of new infections every day , the R value reported by the RKI on Thursday also remains at a constant level. While the 4-day R-value fell slightly from 0.85 to 0.83, the 7-day R-value increased slightly compared to the previous day and is now given as 0.94. However, since the R value cannot be calculated precisely, but is estimated, such minimal changes can be attributed to measurement errors and can be neglected.

Update from August 27, 6:12 p.m.: The RKI now expects that there will be a vaccine against the coronavirus at the beginning of 2021 . "According to the current state of knowledge, it is expected that one or more Covid-19 vaccine (s) could be approved in the European Union and the first production batches distributed and sold by the beginning of 2021 ," said the latest epidemiological bulletin on Thursday.

However, it is not assumed that enough batches of the vaccine will be available from the start to supply all people in Europe with the substance. Therefore, the permanent vaccination commission should now work out a concept for distribution. By means of prioritization , the funds should be distributed in such a way that the number of serious illnesses and deaths is kept as low as possible.

Corona in Germany: Economic expert predicts another lockdown - "not necessarily a mistake"

Update of August 27, 16:51 , "If the infections continue to rise, then we are in Germany not to further restrictions come around," now says an expert from the economy - and he holds a new lockdown because of rising infection rates (see original message) alsofor economically viable : DIW boss Marcel Fratzscher told the Augsburger Allgemeine that a lockdown would be “not necessarily a mistake from an economic policy point of view”. For the long-term protection of many companies, it is better to fight the second wave * quickly and keep it so small, "than having big problems in the long term, as in the USA ".

"After a short, second lockdown , you could loosen the restrictions more quickly and return to normality," said the President of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW) . From his point of view, such a step should be avoided in the best case - but according to him it does not seem improbable at the moment. Against this background, he called on the country leaders to agree more on further corona resolutions . “It has to be spoken with a unified voice. This is the only way to establish trust and acceptance among the population, ”said Fratzscher.

Excellent interview with @MFratzscher about the honest handling of each other with the pandemic, about sensible long-term containment and why a 2nd lockdown could be quite useful. I am an economist myself and share these views. 1 / 11https: //t.co/D9oGxaIbi9

- KFL 🕊️🤍🕊️ (@ KFL3011) August 27, 2020

Coronavirus in Germany: Infection numbers remain high - significant shift in statistics about deaths

Original report from August 27 : In Germany , the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) recorded more than eleven million tests for the Sars-CoV-2 * coronavirus by last Sunday (August 23) . According to the RKI , the pathogen * was in a good 274,000 of themproven. Accordingly, the number of tests recorded (including multiple tests by people) has risen sharply since the start of the pandemic in this country, while the proportion of positive results fell significantly after the peak at the beginning of April .

More tests (for example in the case of travelers returning) with a decreasing proportion of positive results sound good at first - but overall the number of infections in Germany is increasing again according to the RKI. The seemingly paradox about it: The number of deaths in connection with infection with Sars-CoV-2, however, is not . According to information from Spiegel, around 230 Covid 19 patients are currently being treated nationwide in intensive care units - and the trend is falling . According to the statistics, there are currently an average of 5.7 additional deaths per day , the number recently fluctuating between 3.0 and 7.0 . Nothing compared to the increasing number of infections.

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The number of corona tests in Germany has increased - and the proportion of younger people among those who tested positive (symbol image).

© Oliver Berg / dpa

Coronavirus paradox in Germany? The age distribution has changed

According to the report, one possible explanation for this is that - unlike the outbreak of the pandemic - more and more younger people under the age of 35 are registered as positive (currently 60 percent of those who tested positive overall compared to 40 percent at the beginning of June). With them, the infection is usually milder and they are not included in the death statistics .

In contrast, in people older than 60 , the number of new infections has increased more slowly than the overall number of infections in recent weeks . In the age group between 60 and 79, new infections have risen by 59 percent since the beginning of July (59 per day compared to 38 previously) - but the number of positive tests across all age groups has also increased by 180 percent since then .

Coronavirus in Germany: Florida warning example - sharp increase in deaths

In view of these numbers, the magazine warns against negligence : The group 60+ currently seems to be a bit “decoupled” from the general corona development. “This could change in the coming weeks, as the example of Florida shows. There, infections among young people in particular rose sharply in June. In July, however, the number of elderly cases also skyrocketed - and with them the death rate, ”said Der Spiegel .

Before the Corona summit with Merkel: Debate about mask requirements at work

While Chancellor Angela Merkel (CDU) * is debating new Corona measures with the country leaders and heated discussions arise, organizers of Corona demos are mobilizing in Berlin. Angela Merkel will speak again on Friday (August 28). Then the traditional summer PK is on the agenda. Meanwhile, a survey showed that almost half of German citizens are in favor of a general mask requirement in the workplace . According to a representative survey by the opinion research institute Civey on behalf of the Augsburger Allgemeine , 46.5 percent of the 5003 respondents thought the corona protective measure was correct. 37 percent rejected it. 16.5 percent were undecided.

The rejection is therefore greatest among supporters of AfD * and FDP . About three out of four AfD voters speak out against it, according to the newspaper. The majority of the supporters of the other parties represented in the Bundestag are in favor. While around one in two people in the west of the country are in favor of compulsory masks, only around one in three people in the east .

Wearing #mouth and nose covers in public helps reduce the transmission of # COVID19 through droplets containing viruses. #BZgA info at https://t.co/jMH1DdII4s pic.twitter.com/UnbuMovRBU

- BZgA (@bzga_de) August 27, 2020

Coronavirus in Germany: A value is still over 1000

According to the RKI , the health authorities in Germany reported 1507 new corona infections early Thursday morning within one day . The day before it was 1576 . On Saturday, the 2000 mark was exceeded for the first time since the end of April with 2034 new cases .

The peak of new infections reported daily was at more than 6000 at the end of March / beginning of April . After the values were still over 1000 in May, the number had tended to decrease and has been increasing again since the end of July. Experts are concerned that there could be a sharp increase in the number of cases, which would push the health authorities to their limits when it comes to tracking chains of infection.

Since the beginning of the Corona crisis, at least 237,936 people in Germany have been shown to have been infected with the Sars-CoV-2 virus. According to the RKI, the number of deaths in connection with a corona infection is 9285 . According to RKI estimates , around 211,900 people had survived the infection by Thursday morning . (dpa / AFP / frs) * Merkur.de is part of the Ippen-Digital editorial network.

List of rubric lists: © Robert Michael / dpa

Source: merkur

All news articles on 2020-08-31

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