The United States exceeded 190,000 deaths from the COVID-19 pandemic and with more than 6 million cases recorded it remains the country in the world most affected by the disease, according to independent figures from NBC News.
It is followed by India, which, with more than 90,000 cases registered in the last 24 hours, adds more than 4.2 million reported patients and ahead of Brazil in the number of infections.
In just over twenty days, infections in the United States went from 5 million cases to 6.3 million, with California leading the way with
740,056 infections and 13,730 deaths
.
Texas is the second most affected state by the disease with a total of 665,191 infections and 13,736 deaths and in third position is Florida with 648,269 infected and 12,022 deaths.
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New York, New Jersey, California, Texas and Florida are the five states that have already exceeded 10,000 deaths.
New York remains the state with the highest number of deaths.
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Authorities fear a spike in cases after the Labor Day holiday weekend with beaches and parks packed with millions of people, as already happened in early summer with the Memorial Day holiday.
Added to this factor is the reopening of the country's schools that was completed a week ago, as well as all kinds of businesses, as well as bars and restaurants.
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The death toll exceeds the lowest projection of the White House that estimated 100,000 deaths at best and at worst about 240,000 from the pandemic.
In addition, a new predictive model ensures that the United States faces the possibility of reaching up to 400,000 deaths from coronavirus by the end of 2020, due to the beginning of the winter season and the relaxation of measures to prevent its spread, such as the use of mask and social distancing.
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That means an average of more than 50,000 deaths per month for the remainder of the year.
In the previous projection, it was expected that there were no more than 35,000 deaths per month.
This is established by the Institute for Health Evaluation and Metrics (IHME) of the University of Washington, in its first global predictive model for COVID-19, which establishes that 770,000 lives could be saved worldwide if the recommendations of the health authorities.
If the measures are not followed, deaths worldwide could triple and exceed 2.8 million, with a total of 30,000 daily deaths in December.
The University of Washington projection model is frequently cited by the White House and constantly updates its forecasts.
Last June, he had anticipated that the United States would add at least 60,000 deaths during the summer, to reach 170,000 by the end of September.
As of today, there are 186,000 deaths.
Last month, the IHME projection established that the deceased could reach 300,000 by the beginning of December.
The increase currently established by the model is partly explained by the increase in COVID-19 cases that will be seen in the Northern Hemisphere due to the arrival of winter.
In this new model, the IHME made projections for each region of the world, including data up to August 31.
The model uses the mortality rate per infected case (TLI), "which substantially affects the number of infections and deaths estimated in our model, particularly in the younger age groups," they explain.
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The model establishes three scenarios:
The worst case
: mask use is maintained at current rates and governments continue to relax the rules of social distancing.
Up to 4 million people could die by the end of the year worldwide.
The best case
: the use of a mask becomes universal and governments impose social distancing when the death rate exceeds 8 per million inhabitants.
2 million people could die
Most likely scenario
: mitigation measures remain unchanged.
Almost 3 million people could die by the end of 2020.
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With information from NBC News and AP