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United States: why a second term for Trump risks being even more radical

2020-09-14T17:08:01.360Z


D-50. If he is re-elected, the head of the White House will no longer have the question of his re-election in mind. He will therefore have freer hands, with


The Republican convention at the end of August gave Americans an idea of ​​Donald Trump's program in the event of re-election during the American presidential election on November 3: more or less, the continuation of the strong themes of his first term.

But questions remain.

Internationally, "her only compass so far was the question of re-election," explains Célia Belin, specialist in transatlantic relations at the Brookings Institution and author of "Democrats in America."

The hour of choices facing Trump ”(Ed Fayard, 2020, 288 p.).

You had to be kind to Israel in order to get evangelical Christians back.

He did it.

You had to be aggressive towards China and start a trade showdown with Europe to gain points with farmers and other grassroots members who were at a disadvantage.

He did it too.

Once re-elected, what will be his compass?

The question is valid.

"

An alliance with Putin against Beijing?

If the stake of his re-election is no longer on the table, the American president could give free rein to his “anti-immigration, unilateralist and isolationist” instincts, continues the researcher.

“We know that he does not carry NATO in his heart: he could therefore disengage the United States from institutions like these, because he considers them unprofitable.

"

His lack of interest in multilateralism could have very concrete consequences from 2021 on the subject of the Covid-19 health crisis.

“The Trump administration has already said that it will not take part in international efforts to disseminate the coronavirus vaccine,” recalls Célia Belin.

Their goal is to have a vaccine of their own, to vaccinate Americans as a priority and not necessarily the rest of the world.

The fight against the climate crisis and nuclear proliferation - two subjects closely followed by Paris - could also suffer from this lack of collective play.

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US Presidential D-50: what if Donald Trump was reelected?


The relationship with Russia is also a subject of questioning, according to Célia Belin.

“Will Donald Trump finally be able to deal directly with Vladimir Putin?

We know that this is something he wanted, but that he was never really able to do for electoral reasons.

Once re-elected, he will have his hands free.

There is a fantasy among some, in Trump's entourage, of a possible alliance with Russia against China.

But that remains a big question mark.

"

Anti-abortion on his list for the Supreme Court

Domestically, the country's institutions could experience a profound change.

Starting with the judicial branch.

Two of the life-appointed Supreme Court justices - progressives Ruth Bader Ginsburg, 87 and Stephen Breyer, 82 - are over 80.

If they were to die, Trump would have the opportunity to consolidate the conservative majority in America's highest institution.

With crucial consequences, for example, on the issue of abortion.

The billionaire provided a list on September 9 of potential future judges.

Conservative and anti-abortion senators Ted Cruz and Tom Cotton are among them.

Some of his enemies, like his ex-lawyer Michael Cohen, believe that Donald Trump could even seek to amend the Constitution of the United States to remove the limit of two presidential terms.

A hypothesis rejected by many others, who believe that the institutions are strong enough to avoid such a situation.

Still, the Republican will ask himself the question of his succession.

His son, Donald Trump Jr., is highly regarded by the Republican base.

He is considered a potential candidate in 2024.

Source: leparis

All news articles on 2020-09-14

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